Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 13 August 2026: Precious and Base Metals Lead as Crude Retreats Below Rs 8,000 and Gold Hits Rs 1,53,859
- August 12, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: Predictions
Wed MCX: Crude Rs 7,910 (-0.38%, below Rs 8,000); Gold +0.83% Rs 1,53,859; Silver +1.64%; Zinc +0.85%; Copper +0.41%; Gas +0.53%. Metals broadly bullish.
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Thursday 13 August 2026 is shaped by Wednesday’s pivotal session on Dalal Street. Nifty 50 closed at 24,435.95 (-0.15%) after testing 24,265.95 intraday and recovering 170 points ; a textbook DII accumulation pattern. Bank Nifty surged to a closing-high of 57,885.85 (+0.77%), SBI posted its Day 4 recovery at +1.50% to Rs 1,082, and TCS crashed 3.93% to Rs 2,349.70 in a sharp IT sector reversal. Most critically for tomorrow, MCX Crude Oil pulled back below Rs 8,000 to Rs 7,910 (-0.38%) on Wednesday ; the first close below Rs 8,000 since Tuesday’s surge ; providing partial relief to crude-sensitive sectors.
Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Thursday using Groww-confirmed Wednesday data. All entry, target and stop-loss levels are observation-based and not guaranteed returns. MCX Gold surged 0.83% to Rs 1,53,859, Silver bounced 1.64% to Rs 2,40,650 and MCX Zinc gained 0.85% to Rs 396.70 ; confirming commodities had a broadly positive Wednesday while equities showed sector rotation.
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Wednesday Market Recap for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
| Indicator | Wed 12 Aug (Groww) | Change | Signal for commodity market prediction for tomorrow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,435.95 | -0.15% | L: 24,265.95 tested; 170-pt recovery; DII floor confirmed |
| Bank Nifty | 57,885.85 | +0.77% | Closing-high pattern; SBI +1.50%; ICICI touched Rs 1,435 |
| MCX Crude | Rs 7,910/bbl | -0.38% | Fell below Rs 8,000; partial relief for auto, FMCG, cement |
| MCX Gold | Rs 1,53,859/10g | +0.83% | Safe-haven demand; near session high Rs 1,53,879 |
| MCX Silver | Rs 2,40,650/kg | +1.64% | Strong bounce; recovering from Tuesday reversal |
| MCX Zinc | Rs 396.70/kg | +0.85% | Supply deficit; second positive session |
| MCX Copper | Rs 1,384.75/kg | +0.41% | Industrial demand intact |
| MCX Nat Gas | Rs 266.80/MMBTU | +0.53% | Consolidating above Rs 265 |
| TCS | Rs 2,349.70 | -3.93% | IT sector reversal; L: Rs 2,300.10; bounce opportunity |
| SBI | Rs 1,082 | +1.50% | Day 4 booking exhausted; H: Rs 1,085.50 |
| Bharti Airtel | Rs 1,945 | +1.56% | Post-Q1 booking absorbed; ARPU Rs 261 intact |
| India VIX | Est. 13.20-13.80 | Rising | Below 14 panic threshold; orderly correction |
Key Factors for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
- The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is shaped by Wednesday’s most significant commodity development: MCX Crude retreated from Tuesday’s Rs 8,024 close to Rs 7,910 (-0.38%) on Wednesday ; the first close below Rs 8,000 since Tuesday’s surge. for tomorrow, crude below Rs 8,000 provides partial relief to auto, FMCG and cement sectors while reducing the inflation-hedge pressure on gold. Ankit Jaiswal identifies crude’s Rs 7,910 close as tomorrow’s primary structural change from Wednesday.
- Five of the six MCX commodities tracked ; Gold, Silver, Copper, Zinc and Natural Gas ; all gained on Wednesday while crude fell. for tomorrow, this five-commodity positive (with only crude negative) is the broadest commodity market rally of the week. Kunal Singla notes that when precious metals (gold +0.83%, silver +1.64%) and base metals (zinc +0.85%, copper +0.41%) all gain simultaneously, global commodity demand is sending a strong risk-on signal that supports the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- MCX Silver’s +1.64% bounce is tomorrow’s most technically significant signal after Tuesday’s bearish reversal. Silver reversing from its Tuesday reversal (Rs 2,43,000 high to Rs 2,37,600 close) and bouncing strongly to Rs 2,40,650 confirms the Rs 2,37,000-2,38,000 zone is a structural commodity floor for tomorrow.
- for tomorrow, crude at Rs 7,910 creates a binary: if it sustains below Rs 8,000 Thursday, auto, FMCG and cement sectors get continued input cost relief in the equity market ; a broad-based positive beyond just metals. If crude recovers above Rs 8,000 from fresh Iran news, the commodity market prediction for tomorrow energy component turns negative again.
Technical Levels for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
| Level | Zone | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| Primary Support | Crude Rs 7,820-7,900; Gold Rs 1,52,800-1,53,200 | Confirmed buyer zone from Wednesday’s session |
| Secondary Support | Crude Rs 7,650-7,750; Gold Rs 1,51,200 | Deeper correction floor if primary breaks |
| Immediate Resistance | Crude Rs 7,980-8,050; Gold Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 | First recovery target for Thursday |
| Key Resistance | Crude Rs 8,200; Gold Rs 1,56,000 | Extended target if momentum builds |
Stocks to Watch for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
| Stock | CMP (Wed) | Entry Zone | Target | Stop Loss | Analyst | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONGC | Rs 239.05 (-0.17% Wed) | Rs 236-241 | Rs 254 | Rs 228 | Ankit Jaiswal | ONGC upstream realization benefits from gas at Rs 266.80. Flat equity despite commodity positives = commodity market prediction for tomorrow catch-up opportunity. |
| Hindustan Zinc | Rs 586.65 (Tue; Wed est. +1%) | Rs 592-602 | Rs 628 | Rs 572 | Kunal Singla | Hindustan Zinc covers both zinc (+0.85%) and silver (+1.64%) in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow ; the two strongest commodity gainers Wednesday. |
| Reliance Industries | Rs 1,329 (+0.39% Wed) | Rs 1,322-1,330 | Rs 1,358 | Rs 1,300 | Ankit Jaiswal | Reliance provides balanced commodity market prediction for tomorrow exposure: KG-D6 gas realization plus crude-neutral Jio/Retail businesses. |
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Strategy for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow Session
- For the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, gold at Rs 1,52,800-1,53,200 is Ankit Jaiswal’s highest-conviction precious metals entry. Silver at Rs 2,37,000-2,39,000 on any Thursday morning dip is the secondary commodity market prediction for tomorrow precious metals long.
- for tomorrow, zinc at Rs 393-395 is the base metals buy-on-dip entry. Copper at Rs 1,378-1,383 is the secondary base metals entry for Thursday.
- Monitor Brent Crude below USD 92/bbl pre-market as the commodity market prediction for tomorrow crude moderation confirmation for Thursday.
- Kunal Singla recommends ONGC at Rs 236-241 as the commodity market prediction for tomorrow energy equity long ; crude’s Wednesday close at Rs 7,910 may be re-pricing higher Thursday with analyst catch-up on gas realization.
Risks to the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
- Iran deal news reversing overnight: if deal confirmed, crude gaps down further but gold and silver defensive premium also reduces in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Silver reversing Wednesday’s +1.64% bounce below Rs 2,37,000, creating broad precious metals profit-booking in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Crude recovering above Rs 8,000 from fresh geopolitical news, reversing auto/FMCG/cement relief and reactivating crude-inflation in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Conclusion
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Thursday 13 August 2026 is shaped by Wednesday’s dominant themes: Bank Nifty’s closing-high (+0.77%), TCS’s sharp reversal (-3.93%), SBI’s Day 4 recovery (+1.50%) and crude oil retreating below Rs 8,000 to Rs 7,910. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest identifies Crude Rs 7,820-7,900; Gold Rs 1,52,800-1,53,200 as the primary support and Crude Rs 7,980-8,050; Gold Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 as the immediate resistance for tomorrow on Thursday. The partial crude relief ; crude below Rs 8,000 for the first time since Tuesday’s surge ; is the most important macro change for crude-sensitive sectors in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Kunal Singla of Univest recommends using GIFT Nifty above 24,460, ICICI Bank above Rs 1,435 and TCS direction at Thursday’s open as the three pre-market signals that unlock the full commodity market prediction for tomorrow strategy. Check Brent Crude below USD 92/bbl as confirmation that crude’s Wednesday retreat is sustaining overnight.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Commodity Market Prediction For Tomorrow, 13 August 2026
What is the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 13 August 2026?
Ans. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is broadly bullish for precious and base metals, and cautiously watchful on crude. MCX Crude retreated to Rs 7,910 (-0.38%, below Rs 8,000) while Gold +0.83%, Silver +1.64%, Zinc +0.85%, Copper +0.41% and Nat Gas +0.53% all gained. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is dominated by the five-metal positive and crude’s retreat.
Which commodity leads the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. MCX Silver’s +1.64% recovery from Tuesday’s bearish reversal leads the commodity market prediction for tomorrow momentum on Thursday. Gold’s +0.83% near-high close provides safe-haven confirmation, and zinc’s +0.85% confirms base metals supply-deficit pricing is sustaining in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Which analysts prepared the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the commodity market prediction for tomorrow using Groww-confirmed Wednesday data across all MCX segments.
What is Crude Oil support and resistance for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Crude support is Rs 7,820-7,900 and Rs 7,650-7,750. Resistance is Rs 7,980-8,050 and Rs 8,200 in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow. Crude below Rs 7,900 sustaining Thursday = auto, FMCG, cement relief continues.
How does crude falling below Rs 8,000 affect equities in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Crude at Rs 7,910 below Rs 8,000 provides partial input cost relief to auto, FMCG and cement sectors that were pressured when crude was at Rs 8,024. UltraTech cement (-2.14% Tuesday) could bounce in Thursday’s commodity market prediction for tomorrow equity session if crude sustains below Rs 7,950.
