Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday: Sensex Monthly Expiry Outlook for 29 June 2026
- June 25, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: News
Nifty PSU Bank closed 8,636.10 on 25 June 2026 (+7.90, +0.09%). Prev 8,628.20. Nifty 24,056.00. VIX 13.05. Sensex monthly expiry 29 June 2026. S1:8,580. R1:8,720.
The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is shaped by today’s close at 8,636.10 (+7.90, +0.09%) as the Nifty 50 settled at 24,056.00 (+0.14%) and the Sensex closed its weekly options expiry at 77,100.47, above 77,000 max pain. India VIX fell to 13.05, a multi-week low. Nifty PSU Bank gained +0.09% modestly as state-owned banks showed resilience despite energy sector PSU names facing crude oil pricing headwinds. A critical context for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day, which creates wider-than-normal intraday volatility in Sensex-linked names between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM. Additionally, Monday is June month-end, adding institutional rebalancing flows to the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday complexity.
Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Associate Director Kunal Singla have reviewed today’s Nifty PSU Bank price action, Sensex monthly expiry setup, and global cues to present the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday. The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday for Monday is also shaped by the Iran-US weekend outcome from Switzerland talks.
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Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday: Today’s Close Summary
- Close and Change: Nifty PSU Bank settled at 8,636.10 (+7.90, +0.09%) on 25 June 2026 from 8,628.20. Nifty PSU Bank gained a modest +0.09% as state-owned banks showed defensive resilience despite Coal India’s -1.44% decline putting pressure on energy-linked PSU stocks.
- Weekly Context: This week saw three index expiries: Nifty 50 (Tuesday), Bank Nifty (Wednesday), and Sensex weekly (today). The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday starts Monday from a post-expiry-cycle clean slate with VIX at 13.05.
- Monday Events: 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly expiry AND June month-end. Both events create institutional flows that will influence the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday throughout Monday. No direct Nifty PSU Bank F&O expiry on Monday. SBI carries Sensex weight, creating mild Sensex monthly expiry sensitivity for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday afternoon.
Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday: Key Levels
Trend: Cautiously Positive | Support 8,580 | Resistance 8,720
| Level | Nifty PSU Bank |
|---|---|
| Support 1 | 8,580 |
| Support 2 | 8,480 |
| Resistance 1 | 8,720 |
| Resistance 2 | 8,800 |
The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday from Ankit Jaiswal places 8,580 as the immediate floor for Monday. A hold above 8,580 supports the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday constructive bias targeting 8,720. Jaiswal emphasises that the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday for Monday carries weekend gap risk: the Iran-US Switzerland talks outcome over the weekend will determine the Monday opening direction and may gap the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.
Nifty PSU Bank F&O and Sensex Monthly Expiry for 29 June 2026
- Sensex Monthly Expiry Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry. This adds cross-index volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM that influences the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday through shared Sensex constituents and broad market sentiment. Reduce Nifty PSU Bank positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.
- July Series Opening: The Nifty PSU Bank F&O July series begins building fresh OI from Monday. Initial July Put OI concentration near 8,480 in the new series would confirm the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming weeks.
- June Month-End Institutional Flows: Monday is the last trading day of June for most institutional portfolios. June-end rebalancing creates additional sector-specific flows in the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday that may not reflect the underlying technical trend.
Global and Macro Cues for Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday
- Iran-US Weekend Outcome: Switzerland negotiations (Day 5 on Friday) may produce a confirmed deal or breakdown over the weekend. This is the primary macro swing factor for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday. Check Saturday-Sunday news before placing Nifty PSU Bank positions at the Monday open.
- GIFT Nifty Monday Morning: Check GIFT Nifty between 7:00 and 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026. GIFT Nifty above 24,100 supports the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday positive opening; below 23,900 signals weekend risk-off that challenges the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday support levels.
- VIX at 13.05: Multi-week low VIX entering the weekend provides a stable baseline for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday assuming no major weekend macro shock. Low VIX limits the probability of extreme Nifty PSU Bank intraday moves on Monday.
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Trading Strategy: Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday
- Check GIFT Nifty 7:00 to 9:15 AM: The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday Monday direction starts with GIFT Nifty. Confirm the opening bias before entering Nifty PSU Bank positions at the Monday 9:15 AM open.
- 8,580 as Monday Pivot: The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday is constructive above 8,580 and cautious below. Use this as the entry confirmation level for Monday directional trades in Nifty PSU Bank after the opening range settles at 9:30 AM.
- Reduce Before Sensex Monthly Expiry: Between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM, Sensex monthly expiry creates cross-index volatility. Reduce Nifty PSU Bank leveraged positions before 2:00 PM on Monday for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday.
- July Series Signal Watch: Monitor July Nifty PSU Bank F&O Put OI build on Monday. Strong Put OI at 8,480 or below in the new series confirms the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming month.
What Data Indicates for nifty psu bank prediction for Monday
The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday is supported by VIX at 13.05 entering the week and Sensex weekly expiry settling at 77,100.47 above 77,000 max pain. Ankit Jaiswal notes that low VIX and clean expiry resolution historically support range-bound to positive outcomes for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday in the following session. The primary risk factor for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday is the Iran-US weekend binary event.
Kunal Singla observes that DII buying of Rs 66,215 crore MTD in June provides structural support for all sector indices including Nifty PSU Bank. June month-end DII portfolio positioning on the last Monday may add buying pressure that supports the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday above 8,580 even if FIIs sell on month-end redemptions.
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Risks to Nifty PSU Bank Prediction for Monday
- Iran Weekend Collapse: A breakdown in Switzerland would create a Monday gap-down risk that challenges the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday’s 8,580 support on open.
- ONGC Weakness: ONGC fell -2.88% today. If energy sector PSU names continue declining on Monday, it would drag the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday below 8,580 support via the broader PSU sector sentiment.
- Sensex Monthly Expiry Cascade: A sharp Sensex monthly expiry move on Monday afternoon could create sympathy volatility in Nifty PSU Bank that temporarily breaks the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday support level between 2:00 and 3:30 PM.
- FII June-End Redemptions: Month-end FII selling on the last Monday of June could pressure the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday below 8,580 even if global cues are positive.
Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day and June month-end, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweights in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM expiry window.
| Stock | CMP (25 June 2026) | Entry Zone | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | Rs 1,387.50 | Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 | Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420 | Rs 1,368 |
| HDFC Bank | Rs 796.30 | Rs 793 to Rs 799 | Rs 812 to Rs 818 | Rs 783 |
| Reliance Industries | Rs 1,318.10 | Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 | Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345 | Rs 1,300 |
ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) leads momentum into Monday. Jaiswal flags entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 targeting Rs 1,412. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see direct Sensex monthly expiry positioning on Monday. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex weight and the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor for Monday. Singla flags entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude weakness reducing downstream costs. Entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338, stop Rs 1,300.
Conclusion
The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is cautiously positive with support at 8,580 and resistance at 8,720. Ankit Jaiswal notes that VIX at 13.05 and the clean Sensex weekly expiry at 77,100.47 provide a stable base for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday. Sensex monthly expiry and June month-end on Monday are the primary intraday complexities. Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM and Iran-US weekend news before placing Nifty PSU Bank positions on Monday.
Disclaimer: Data and figures are sourced from publicly available information. Please verify with NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs
What is the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday, 29 June 2026?
Ans. The nifty psu bank prediction for Monday is cautiously positive for 29 June 2026 with support at 8,580 and resistance at 8,720. Nifty PSU Bank closed at 8,636.10 (+0.09%) on 25 June 2026. Sensex monthly expiry on Monday and Iran-US weekend outcome are the primary swing factors.
How does Sensex monthly expiry affect nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday?
Ans. BSE Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 creates cross-index volatility between 2:00 and 3:30 PM that can temporarily breach the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday support and resistance levels. Reduce Nifty PSU Bank positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.
What is Nifty PSU Bank support for Monday 29 June 2026?
Ans. Support at 8,580 and 8,480 for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday. Resistance at 8,720 and 8,800. Iran-US weekend outcome may gap the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday opening beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.
Is 29 June 2026 a special expiry day?
Ans. Yes. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry AND June month-end, making it one of the more complex sessions for the nifty psu bank prediction for Monday. Expect wider intraday swings in all indices including Nifty PSU Bank on Monday.
What stocks to watch alongside nifty psu bank prediction for Monday on Monday?
Ans. ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338) are the Monday stock picks.
