Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow | MCX Outlook 26 June 2026
- June 25, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Gold 0.49%, Silver 2.24%, NatGas 2.44%, Copper 1.69%, Zinc +0.68%, Crude -1.11% on 25 June 2026. Nifty 24,056.00. VIX 13.05.
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 26 June 2026, shows a broadly positive MCX picture for the first time in three sessions, with gold (+0.49%), silver (+2.24%), copper (+1.69%), and natural gas (+2.44%) bouncing today. Only crude oil continued its decline (-1.11%) on Iran deal supply expectations. The Nifty 50 closed at 24,056.00 as the Sensex settled at 77,100.47 on its weekly expiry day, above the 77,000 max pain zone. India VIX fell to 13.05, the lowest level of the week, creating a stable backdrop for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest present the commodity market prediction for tomorrow with a focus on the Iran-US Switzerland talks (Day 5) as the primary binary event for Friday and the weekend positioning dynamics that will affect MCX commodity prices.
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Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: MCX Recap 25 June 2026
| Commodity | MCX Close (25 Jun) | Change | S1 (26 Jun) | R1 (26 Jun) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (Aug Ten Fut) | Rs 1,44,024/10g | +0.49% | Rs 1,43,000 | Rs 1,45,000 |
| Silver (Jul Fut) | Rs 2,17,850/kg | +2.24% | Rs 2,15,000 | Rs 2,20,000 |
| Crude Oil (Jul Fut) | Rs 6,595/bbl | -1.11% | Rs 6,540 | Rs 6,669 |
| Copper (Jul Fut) | Rs 1,263.10/kg | +1.69% | Rs 1,250 | Rs 1,280 |
| Natural Gas (Jul Fut) | Rs 315.50/MMBtu | +2.44% | Rs 308 | Rs 320 |
| Zinc (Jul Fut) | Rs 353.30/kg | +0.68% | Rs 349 | Rs 358 |
Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Key Themes
- Precious Metals Bounce: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for gold and silver is cautiously positive after today’s bounce. Gold at Rs 1,44,024 (+0.49%) and silver at Rs 2,17,850 (+2.24%) suggest the Iran deal may not be finalised yet, allowing safe-haven demand to partially recover. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for gold and silver remains binary on Iran deal outcome.
- Crude Still Weak: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for crude oil (-1.11% today) remains the most directionally bearish. MCX crude at Rs 6,595 continues to factor in Iran deal supply increase expectations. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for crude is cautiously bearish below Rs 6,669 resistance.
- Base Metals and Nat Gas Positive: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for copper (+1.69%), natural gas (+2.44%), and zinc (+0.68%) is cautiously positive. Natural gas surged +2.44% on renewed US weather demand signals. Copper and zinc bounced on LME inventory drawdown data.
- Weekend Positioning Risk: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Friday carries specific weekend carry risk. Any unresolved Iran-US outcome by Friday close would leave commodity positions exposed to gap risk when MCX reopens on Monday.
Global Cues for Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow
- Iran-US Talks Day 5: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for all MCX commodities hinges on whether Switzerland talks produce a confirmed deal or definitive breakdown on Friday. A deal would extend crude weakness and pressure gold; a breakdown would sharply reverse the commodity market prediction for tomorrow across all assets.
- Dollar Index (DXY): DXY direction overnight affects the commodity market prediction for tomorrow for all rupee-denominated MCX prices. A softer dollar supports the commodity market prediction for tomorrow bounce thesis for gold, silver, copper, and zinc.
- US Weather Data: US weather forecasts will drive the commodity market prediction for tomorrow for natural gas specifically. Continued heat wave signals support the commodity market prediction for tomorrow for natural gas above Rs 308 support.
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Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Friday Strategy
- Gold and Silver: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow favours buying gold dips near Rs 1,43,000 and silver near Rs 2,15,000 if Iran deal is not confirmed overnight. Target Rs 1,45,000 for gold and Rs 2,20,000 for silver. A deal confirmation reverses this commodity market prediction for tomorrow setup.
- Crude Oil: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for crude remains bearish below Rs 6,669. Short near Rs 6,595 targeting Rs 6,540 and Rs 6,450 on continued Iran deal optimism.
- Copper and Zinc: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for copper (buy near Rs 1,250, target Rs 1,280) and zinc (buy near Rs 349, target Rs 358) is cautiously positive on LME strength and improving global demand signals.
- Weekend Risk: Reduce all commodity positions by 30% before Friday MCX close. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow carries significant weekend carry risk from the unresolved Iran-US situation.
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Risks to Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow
- Iran Deal Confirmation: A confirmed Iran deal overnight would sharply extend the commodity market prediction for tomorrow bearish bias for crude and gold, potentially breaking below key supports set in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Iran Deal Collapse: A breakdown in Switzerland would sharply reverse the commodity market prediction for tomorrow across all assets, spiking crude above Rs 6,851 and gold above Rs 1,45,500 in a risk-off move that overrides current technicals.
- Weekend Gap: Any Iran-US development after Friday MCX close creates Monday opening gap risk for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow’s open positions.
Stocks to Watch Tomorrow, 26 June 2026
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest identify three equity stocks for Friday 26 June 2026. There is no major index expiry on Friday, making it a cleaner directional trading session. Picks are based on today’s post-Sensex expiry close and sector momentum.
| Stock | CMP (25 June 2026) | Entry Zone | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | Rs 1,387.50 | Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 | Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420 | Rs 1,368 |
| HDFC Bank | Rs 796.30 | Rs 793 to Rs 799 | Rs 812 to Rs 818 | Rs 783 |
| Reliance Industries | Rs 1,318.10 | Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 | Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345 | Rs 1,300 |
ICICI Bank closed at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01%) today, the standout banking performer on Sensex expiry day. Jaiswal flags Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 as the entry zone with target Rs 1,412 given continued momentum. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 +0.39%) is the largest Sensex constituent and remains constructive above Rs 793 support. Singla places target at Rs 812 to Rs 818 with stop at Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 (+0.34%) benefits from continued crude oil weakness (Iran deal), which reduces input costs for its downstream business. Jaiswal sees Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 as the entry zone with target Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345 and stop at Rs 1,300.
Conclusion
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow on 26 June 2026 is broadly positive for gold, silver, copper, natural gas, and zinc after today’s bounce, while crude remains cautiously bearish. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is dominated by the Iran-US Switzerland talks (Day 5) and weekend positioning dynamics. Ankit Jaiswal recommends reducing commodity positions by 30% before Friday MCX close given the unresolved binary event risk that shapes the commodity market prediction for tomorrow and the weekend carry-forward scenario.
This commodity market prediction for tomorrow is based on MCX data as of close of trade on 25 June 2026. Monitor COMEX, NYMEX, LME, and Iran-US news overnight for the commodity tomorrow Friday view inputs on Friday.
Disclaimer: Data and figures are sourced from publicly available information. Please verify all data with NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs
What is the commodity tomorrow Friday view, 26 June 2026?
Ans. The commodity tomorrow Friday view shows Gold at Rs 1,44,024 (+0.49%), Silver Rs 2,17,850 (+2.24%), Crude Rs 6,595 (-1.11%), Copper Rs 1,263.10 (+1.69%), Nat Gas Rs 315.50 (+2.44%), Zinc Rs 353.30 (+0.68%). Iran-US Day 5 and Friday weekend positioning are key.
Why did gold and silver bounce in today’s commodity market?
Ans. Gold (+0.49%) and silver (+2.24%) bounced today after two sessions of Iran deal-driven selling, suggesting the deal is not yet confirmed. For the commodity tomorrow Friday view, this bounce signals cautious safe-haven demand returning if Iran talks extend into Friday without a definitive outcome.
What is the commodity tomorrow Friday view for crude oil?
Ans. The commodity tomorrow Friday view for crude is cautiously bearish at Rs 6,595 (-1.11% today), the only commodity still declining. Support is Rs 6,540 and resistance Rs 6,669. A confirmed Iran deal overnight would push the commodity tomorrow Friday view for crude toward Rs 6,450.
How does weekend positioning affect commodity tomorrow Friday view?
Ans. Friday commodity tomorrow Friday view carries specific weekend carry risk from the unresolved Iran-US situation. If the deal is not finalised by Friday MCX close, positions held over the weekend face gap risk on Monday. Reduce all commodity positions by 30% before Friday close in the commodity tomorrow Friday view.
What stocks should traders watch alongside commodity tomorrow Friday view?
Ans. Alongside the commodity tomorrow Friday view, ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance Industries (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338) are the key equity picks for Friday’s no-expiry session.
