Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow | MCX Outlook 25 June 2026
- June 24, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Gold 1,44,352/10g (-1.53%), Silver 2,23,050/kg (-2.14%), Crude 6,851/bbl (-2.04%), Copper 1,280/kg, NatGas 305.4/MMBtu, Zinc 353.8/kg. VIX 13.33. Sensex expiry 25 June 2026.
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 25 June 2026, shows a uniformly bearish MCX picture for the second consecutive session as Iran-US deal optimism continues to suppress safe-haven demand and energy prices. Gold fell to Rs 1,44,352 per 10g, silver declined to Rs 2,23,050 per kg, and crude oil slipped further to Rs 6,851 per barrel on 24 June 2026. The Nifty 50 surged +0.83% to 24,021.65 on Bank Nifty expiry-day buying, while the Sensex (Thursday’s expiry index) closed at 76,991.22, just 9 points below the 77,000 max pain zone.
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest present the commodity market prediction for tomorrow with a specific focus on the Iran-US talk binary event and the Sensex weekly expiry on Thursday 25 June 2026, both of which will significantly influence MCX commodity prices via energy, rupee, and risk-sentiment channels.
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Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: MCX Recap 24 June 2026
| Commodity | MCX Close (24 Jun) | Change | S1 (25 Jun) | R1 (25 Jun) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (Aug Fut) | Rs 1,44,352/10g | -1.53% | Rs 1,43,500 | Rs 1,45,500 |
| Silver (Jul Fut) | Rs 2,23,050/kg | -2.14% | Rs 2,21,000 | Rs 2,26,000 |
| Crude Oil (Jul Fut) | Rs 6,851/bbl | -2.04% | Rs 6,780 | Rs 6,994 |
| Copper (Jul Fut) | Rs 1,280.30/kg | -2.57% | Rs 1,265 | Rs 1,305 |
| Natural Gas (Jul Fut) | Rs 305.40/MMBtu | -1.20% | Rs 300 | Rs 312 |
| Zinc (Jul Fut) | Rs 353.80/kg | -1.99% | Rs 349 | Rs 360 |
Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Key Themes
- Iran Deal Continues to Dominate: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is primarily driven by the Iran-US Switzerland talks (Day 4). For the second consecutive session, all MCX commodities fell as the market prices in an imminent oil supply increase and reduction in geopolitical risk premium. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow turns sharply bullish for gold and silver if talks collapse overnight.
- Gold and Silver Bearish: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for gold (Rs 1,44,352) is cautiously bearish below Rs 1,45,500 resistance. Silver (Rs 2,23,050) remains under pressure below Rs 2,26,000. Both reverse sharply in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow if Iran deal breaks down.
- Crude Oil Most Sensitive: MCX crude at Rs 6,851 is the most directly affected commodity in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow by the Iran deal. A confirmed deal could push crude toward Rs 6,600; a breakdown reverses toward Rs 7,150 in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Sensex Expiry Impact on MCX: Thursday 25 June 2026 Sensex expiry at 77,000 max pain will create Indian equity market volatility between 2:00 and 3:15 PM that influences rupee and risk appetite, affecting the commodity market prediction for tomorrow in the afternoon MCX session.
Global Cues for Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow
- Iran-US Talks Day 4: The Switzerland negotiations are on Day 4. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for all MCX commodities — especially crude, gold, and silver — depends on whether a deal is confirmed or denied overnight.
- Dollar Index (DXY): DXY direction overnight directly affects all rupee-denominated MCX prices in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow. A softer dollar supports the commodity market prediction for tomorrow bounce scenario for gold, silver, and copper from current support levels.
- Sensex Expiry Thursday: A positive Sensex expiry outcome near 77,000 on Thursday would strengthen the rupee slightly, creating modest downward pressure on the commodity market prediction for tomorrow for MCX commodities in the afternoon session.
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Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Trading Strategy
- Gold and Silver: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow favours selling gold rallies toward Rs 1,45,500 and silver toward Rs 2,26,000 if Iran deal is confirmed. If deal collapses: buy gold near Rs 1,43,500 targeting Rs 1,45,500.
- Crude Oil: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for crude is the most binary play. Short crude below Rs 6,851 targeting Rs 6,780 on deal confirmation. Buy crude near Rs 6,780 targeting Rs 6,994 on deal collapse in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Copper and Zinc: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for base metals is cautiously bearish. Buy copper near Rs 1,265 targeting Rs 1,305 on reversal; sell rallies to Rs 1,305 on continued weakness. Zinc: buy near Rs 349 targeting Rs 360.
- Avoid Sensex Expiry Window: For the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, avoid new MCX positions between 2:00 and 3:15 PM when Sensex expiry creates rupee and equity volatility that can spike MCX spreads unexpectedly.
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Risks to Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow
- Iran Deal Reversal: A collapse in Switzerland would reverse the commodity market prediction for tomorrow entirely — crude spikes toward Rs 7,150, gold surges above Rs 1,46,600, creating sharp moves against current positioning.
- Dollar Spike: A sharp DXY surge would add to the commodity market prediction for tomorrow downward pressure across all MCX commodities simultaneously.
- Sensex Expiry Volatility: Thursday Sensex expiry between 2:00 and 3:15 PM can create unexpected rupee and risk-sentiment swings that override the commodity market prediction for tomorrow’s technical framework in the MCX afternoon session.
Stocks to Watch Tomorrow, 25 June 2026
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Thursday’s session. Note that 25 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex weekly options expiry (Thursday), adding volatility to Sensex heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Infosys, and TCS in the 2:00 to 3:15 PM expiry window.
| Stock | CMP (24 June 2026) | Entry Zone | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | Rs 1,373.60 | Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378 | Rs 1,400 to Rs 1,410 | Rs 1,350 |
| Infosys | Rs 1,056.60 | Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060 | Rs 1,082 to Rs 1,090 | Rs 1,032 |
| HDFC Bank | Rs 793.20 | Rs 790 to Rs 796 | Rs 810 to Rs 815 | Rs 778 |
ICICI Bank closed at Rs 1,373.60 (+2.64%) today as the standout banking performer on Bank Nifty expiry day. Jaiswal flags entry at Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378 targeting Rs 1,400 — noting that ICICI Bank is also a key Sensex constituent, making it sensitive to Thursday’s Sensex expiry max pain near 77,000. Infosys at Rs 1,056.60 (+2.65%) continues the IT recovery; Singla sees Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060 as a dip-buying zone targeting Rs 1,082 to Rs 1,090. HDFC Bank at Rs 793.20 (+2.39%) is the primary Sensex heavyweight — Jaiswal flags Sensex expiry positioning on Thursday as a specific driver for HDFC Bank’s intraday action, with entry at Rs 790 to Rs 796 targeting Rs 810 to Rs 815.
Conclusion
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow on 25 June 2026 is uniformly cautious across MCX after the second consecutive day of Iran deal-driven selling. Gold at Rs 1,44,352, silver at Rs 2,23,050, and crude at Rs 6,851 all face continued downside if Switzerland talks confirm a deal overnight. Thursday’s Sensex expiry at 77,000 adds Indian market volatility to the commodity market prediction for tomorrow in the 2:00 to 3:15 PM MCX afternoon window. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow carries a significant binary risk: Iran deal confirmation deepens losses; a breakdown creates a sharp commodity market prediction for tomorrow reversal.
This commodity market prediction for tomorrow is based on MCX data as of close of trade on 24 June 2026. Monitor COMEX, NYMEX, and Iran-US news overnight for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on Thursday.
Disclaimer: Data and figures are sourced from publicly available information. Please verify all data with NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs
What is the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 25 June 2026?
Ans. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is uniformly bearish: gold Rs 1,44,352 (-1.53%), silver Rs 2,23,050 (-2.14%), crude Rs 6,851 (-2.04%), copper Rs 1,280 (-2.57%), nat gas Rs 305.4 (-1.20%), zinc Rs 353.8 (-1.99%). Iran-US deal optimism and Sensex Thursday expiry are the two key swing factors for the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook.
How does Sensex expiry affect commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook?
Ans. Thursday Sensex expiry creates equity market volatility 2:00 to 3:15 PM that affects rupee and risk sentiment. For the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook, this MCX afternoon impact is most acute for gold and silver. Avoid new commodity positions during the Thursday Sensex expiry window in the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook.
What is the MCX crude prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. MCX crude at Rs 6,851 is the most binary play in the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook. A confirmed Iran deal pushes the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook for crude toward Rs 6,780 and Rs 6,650. A deal collapse reverses the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook for crude above Rs 6,994.
What is the MCX gold prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. The commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook for gold is cautiously bearish at Rs 1,44,352 with support Rs 1,43,500 and resistance Rs 1,45,500. An Iran deal confirmation pushes the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook for gold toward Rs 1,42,500. A deal collapse reverses the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook for gold above Rs 1,46,600.
What stocks to watch with commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook?
Ans. Alongside the commodity tomorrow Thursday outlook, ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378, target Rs 1,400), Infosys (entry Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060, target Rs 1,082), and HDFC Bank (Sensex expiry play, entry Rs 790 to Rs 796, target Rs 810) are the key equity picks for Thursday.
