{"id":333893,"date":"2026-10-30T17:06:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T11:36:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=333893"},"modified":"2026-10-30T17:06:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T11:36:38","slug":"anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/","title":{"rendered":"Anthropic IPO Valuation: Aswath Damodaran Values the Claude Maker at $1.475 Trillion, Just Below the Reported $1.5 to $2 Trillion IPO Range, With Scenarios From Negative $373 Billion to $4.04 Trillion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Damodaran values Anthropic at $1.475 trillion. Reported IPO range $1.5 to $2 trillion. Worst case -$373 billion, best $4.04 trillion. S-1 filed 26 Oct, Nasdaq ticker ANT.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Aswath Damodaran, the NYU Stern valuation professor, values Anthropic&#8217;s equity at about $1.475 trillion, which is just below the $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion range reported for its IPO. His own scenarios run from negative $373 billion, if the company fails as a going concern, to $4.04 trillion in the best case. Anthropic filed its S-1 on 26 October 2026 for a Nasdaq listing under the ticker ANT, showing first-half revenue of $16.3 billion against a net loss of $80.7 billion, most of it a non-cash charge. Damodaran says he would sit out an IPO priced well above his number, but he is not recommending a short and expects the stock to become a buy at some price.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> debate has its first heavyweight voice: <strong>Aswath Damodaran<\/strong>, the New York University finance professor known as the Dean of Valuation, published a full valuation on 28 October 2026 that puts Anthropic&#8217;s equity at about $1.475 trillion. That is just under the $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion range that has been reported for the <strong>Anthropic IPO<\/strong>, and it comes two days after the Claude maker filed its <strong>S-1 filing<\/strong> with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n<p>This article explains what Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> assumes, how his worst and best cases of negative $373 billion and $4.04 trillion are built, what the S-1 shows on revenue and losses, why he is wary of the share structure, and what the <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> means for investors who may follow the listing from India. Every figure below comes from Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s post, Anthropic&#8217;s filing or reporting on them.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=discover\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Anthropic_IPO_Valuation_at_a_Glance_Aswath_Damodarans_Numbers\" title=\"Anthropic IPO Valuation at a Glance: Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Numbers\">Anthropic IPO Valuation at a Glance: Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Numbers<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#How_Aswath_Damodaran_Values_Anthropic_The_Story_Behind_the_Number\" title=\"How Aswath Damodaran Values Anthropic: The Story Behind the Number\">How Aswath Damodaran Values Anthropic: The Story Behind the Number<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#The_Worst_Case_Negative_373_Billion\" title=\"The Worst Case: Negative $373 Billion\">The Worst Case: Negative $373 Billion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#The_Best_Case_404_Trillion\" title=\"The Best Case: $4.04 Trillion\">The Best Case: $4.04 Trillion<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_Anthropics_S-1_Filing_Shows_Revenue_Losses_and_Compute_Costs\" title=\"What Anthropic&#x27;s S-1 Filing Shows: Revenue, Losses and Compute Costs\">What Anthropic&#x27;s S-1 Filing Shows: Revenue, Losses and Compute Costs<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Is_the_Anthropic_IPO_Valuation_Cheap_or_Expensive_The_Multiples\" title=\"Is the Anthropic IPO Valuation Cheap or Expensive? The Multiples\">Is the Anthropic IPO Valuation Cheap or Expensive? The Multiples<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Why_Aswath_Damodaran_Is_Wary_of_the_Share_Structure\" title=\"Why Aswath Damodaran Is Wary of the Share Structure\">Why Aswath Damodaran Is Wary of the Share Structure<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_Other_Analysts_Say_About_the_Anthropic_IPO\" title=\"What Other Analysts Say About the Anthropic IPO\">What Other Analysts Say About the Anthropic IPO<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_Indian_Investors_Should_Know_About_the_Anthropic_IPO\" title=\"What Indian Investors Should Know About the Anthropic IPO\">What Indian Investors Should Know About the Anthropic IPO<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions_on_Anthropic_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions on Anthropic IPO Valuation\">Frequently Asked Questions on Anthropic IPO Valuation<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_is_Aswath_Damodarans_Anthropic_IPO_valuation\" title=\"What is Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Anthropic IPO valuation?\">What is Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Anthropic IPO valuation?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#When_did_Anthropic_file_for_its_IPO_and_what_is_the_ticker\" title=\"When did Anthropic file for its IPO and what is the ticker?\">When did Anthropic file for its IPO and what is the ticker?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_revenue_and_loss_did_Anthropic_report_in_its_S-1\" title=\"What revenue and loss did Anthropic report in its S-1?\">What revenue and loss did Anthropic report in its S-1?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Will_Aswath_Damodaran_buy_Anthropic_shares_at_the_IPO\" title=\"Will Aswath Damodaran buy Anthropic shares at the IPO?\">Will Aswath Damodaran buy Anthropic shares at the IPO?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#How_is_the_404_trillion_best_case_for_Anthropic_calculated\" title=\"How is the $4.04 trillion best case for Anthropic calculated?\">How is the $4.04 trillion best case for Anthropic calculated?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Why_did_Anthropic_report_an_807_billion_loss\" title=\"Why did Anthropic report an $80.7 billion loss?\">Why did Anthropic report an $80.7 billion loss?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#What_is_Damodarans_concern_about_Anthropics_share_structure\" title=\"What is Damodaran&#x27;s concern about Anthropic&#x27;s share structure?\">What is Damodaran&#x27;s concern about Anthropic&#x27;s share structure?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-19\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-1-475-trillion-claude-maker-ant\/#Can_Indian_investors_buy_Anthropic_shares_in_the_IPO\" title=\"Can Indian investors buy Anthropic shares in the IPO?\">Can Indian investors buy Anthropic shares in the IPO?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Anthropic_IPO_Valuation_at_a_Glance_Aswath_Damodarans_Numbers\"><\/span><strong>Anthropic IPO Valuation at a Glance: Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Numbers<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> of $1.475 trillion is his base case, which he describes as an upbeat story, and it sits at the lower end of the offer pricing range of $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion that he cites. The company has not yet set a price or share count for the <strong>Class A shares<\/strong>, so that range is a reported expectation rather than an announced figure.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Item<\/th>\n<th>Detail<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Who<\/td>\n<td>Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern, Musings on Markets blog<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Date published<\/td>\n<td>28 October 2026, two days after the S-1 filing<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Base case equity value<\/td>\n<td>About $1.475 trillion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Reported IPO pricing range<\/td>\n<td>$1.5 trillion to $2 trillion (not set by Anthropic)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Worst case<\/td>\n<td>Negative $373 billion, the company does not survive as a going concern<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Best case<\/td>\n<td>$4.04 trillion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Base case revenue assumption<\/td>\n<td>Close to $1 trillion by 2036<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Base case target operating margin<\/td>\n<td>27.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>His stance<\/td>\n<td>Would sit out an IPO priced well above $1.48 trillion; does not advise shorting<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Source: Aswath Damodaran, Musings on Markets, 28 October 2026, and his posts on X on 28 October. The base case revenue figure is from Invezz&#8217;s reading of his post.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_Aswath_Damodaran_Values_Anthropic_The_Story_Behind_the_Number\"><\/span><strong>How Aswath Damodaran Values Anthropic: The Story Behind the Number<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Aswath Aswath Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s method is to attach a story to each number, and the story behind his <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> is that artificial intelligence agents will expand into new markets, including drug research and testing, taking a share of the revenue those markets generate. With that story he believes it is plausible that Anthropic&#8217;s revenue could approach a trillion dollars in a decade, with a target operating margin of 27.5%, reinvestment that delivers three dollars of revenue for every dollar of capital invested, and a cost of capital he sets in his model.<\/p>\n<p>That is why the Anthropic IPO valuation from Aswath Damodaran should be read as a story with numbers attached, not a forecast of the share price. He adds a second argument for the upbeat case: as a trillion-dollar public company, Anthropic would have access to capital. He also treats the company&#8217;s large compute commitments as debt-like obligations in his inputs, which lowers the equity value and shows how <strong>compute costs<\/strong> drive the <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong>, and he applies a regulatory drag to margins in the base case.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Worst_Case_Negative_373_Billion\"><\/span><strong>The Worst Case: Negative $373 Billion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In the worst <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> scenario the company does not survive as a going concern, and the model produces a negative equity value of $373 billion, which in practice means the shares would be worth nothing. The uncertainty he highlights spans revenue, margins, <strong>compute costs<\/strong>, competition and regulatory pressure.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Best_Case_404_Trillion\"><\/span><strong>The Best Case: $4.04 Trillion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In the best Anthropic IPO valuation scenario revenue reaches $1.5 trillion in 2036, margins converge on those of premium markets at 40%, computing becomes cheaper so that each dollar of capital supports four dollars of sales, the cost of capital falls to 7.79%, and regulation has no effect on margins. Those assumptions together give an equity value of $4.04 trillion, nearly three times his base case.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Check the Univest Screener for global technology stocks and sector trends<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Anthropics_S-1_Filing_Shows_Revenue_Losses_and_Compute_Costs\"><\/span><strong>What Anthropic&#x27;s S-1 Filing Shows: Revenue, Losses and Compute Costs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Anthropic IPO valuation rests on Anthropic&#8217;s <strong>S-1 filing<\/strong>, made public on 26 October 2026, is for <strong>Class A shares<\/strong> to be listed on the <strong>Nasdaq<\/strong> Global Select Market under the ticker ANT, with the share count, price range and listing date left blank. Anthropic had filed a confidential draft on 1 June 2026. Reports point to a November <strong>Nasdaq<\/strong> listing, but no date is confirmed.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Metric from the filing<\/th>\n<th>Figure<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Revenue, first half of 2026<\/td>\n<td>About $16.29 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Revenue, first half of 2025<\/td>\n<td>About $1.16 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Revenue, full year 2025<\/td>\n<td>About $4.59 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q1 2026 revenue<\/td>\n<td>About $4.7 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q2 2026 revenue<\/td>\n<td>About $11.6 billion (about 145% above Q1, our calculation)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Q3 2026 revenue<\/td>\n<td>$16.8 billion, shared with investors on 14 October, about 45% above Q2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Net loss, first half of 2026<\/td>\n<td>About $80.7 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Share of the loss that is non-cash<\/td>\n<td>Roughly $72 billion, from the rising value of convertible notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Compute commitments<\/td>\n<td>More than $600 billion, per Benzinga&#x27;s reading of the filing<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Source: Anthropic&#8217;s S-1 as reported by Reuters, Benzinga, Stocktitan and Techloy. The third-quarter figure is not in the filing; it was given to investors on 14 October.<\/p>\n<p>The headline <strong>net loss<\/strong> of $80.7 billion looks alarming in any Anthropic IPO valuation against $16.3 billion of revenue, but about $72 billion of it is a non-cash charge created when convertible notes held by investors rose in value along with the company. Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s Anthropic IPO valuation does not depend on the one-off accounting gain, only on how fast the business grows. Strip that out and the operating picture, judged on <strong>run-rate revenue<\/strong> and reported revenue, is of a business whose revenue grew about 14 times year on year in the half, though Aswath Damodaran points to heavy <strong>compute costs<\/strong> and high operating leverage as the main risks, since <strong>compute costs<\/strong> are the largest fixed commitment in the model.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_the_Anthropic_IPO_Valuation_Cheap_or_Expensive_The_Multiples\"><\/span><strong>Is the Anthropic IPO Valuation Cheap or Expensive? The Multiples<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>At the $1.475 trillion Anthropic IPO valuation from Aswath Damodaran, Anthropic would trade at about 32 times its second-quarter revenue annualised, or about 22 times its third-quarter revenue annualised, using the $11.6 billion and $16.8 billion quarterly figures. Both are our calculations on quarterly figures, not the company&#8217;s <strong>run-rate revenue<\/strong>, and the <strong>run-rate revenue<\/strong> figure in the prospectus itself, which is measured as of 31 October 2026, is left blank. If revenue growth keeps slowing from the roughly 145% sequential gain in Q2 to the 45% gain in Q3, the multiple on a growing base falls, but only if growth does not decelerate sharply.<\/p>\n<p>Aswath Damodaran flags the same slowdown, and it is the central tension in the <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong>, and it is why the Anthropic IPO valuation range is so wide. Quarterly growth fell from about 145% to 45% in one quarter, and any further fall changes how much the market will pay for each dollar of revenue. The Anthropic IPO valuation base case from Aswath Damodaran already requires revenue to grow from an annualised figure near $67 billion based on Q3 to close to $1 trillion by 2036, which is roughly 15 times in 10 years.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track US technology and AI stocks and IPO news in one place.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Aswath_Damodaran_Is_Wary_of_the_Share_Structure\"><\/span><strong>Why Aswath Damodaran Is Wary of the Share Structure<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Aswath Damodaran has criticised the governance behind the <strong>Anthropic IPO<\/strong>, according to BigGo Finance&#8217;s account of his comments. Anthropic&#8217;s five-class share structure gives the co-founders 50.1% of the voting power and lets the Long-Term Benefit Trust elect a majority of the board, so holders of <strong>Class A shares<\/strong>, the <strong>Class A shares<\/strong> being offered to the public, do not control the board. Aswath Damodaran said the structure would make him demand a deeper discount before buying a single share.<\/p>\n<p>Aswath Damodaran also said his Anthropic IPO valuation will leave him on the sidelines at the IPO if the price is well above $1.48 trillion, since the rumoured pricing is $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion, but he added that this is a story with twists and turns, and that as value and price both change over time he is convinced it will become a buy at some point. Invezz notes that he cautions against shorting the stock as well.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Other_Analysts_Say_About_the_Anthropic_IPO\"><\/span><strong>What Other Analysts Say About the Anthropic IPO<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Not every voice on the Anthropic IPO valuation is cautious. Against the Anthropic IPO valuation from Aswath Damodaran, Dan Ives of Yorkville Ives has said he expects strong appetite if the deal prices near $1.5 trillion, though he would not be an assertive buyer at $2 trillion and would decide on entering after the IPO depending on the final price. The gap between that view and Damodaran&#8217;s shows how wide the range of the <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> is before a price is set. India IPO&#8217;s report notes there is no comparable listed company for the Anthropic IPO valuation, so the IPO will become the benchmark that others are measured against.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Indian_Investors_Should_Know_About_the_Anthropic_IPO\"><\/span><strong>What Indian Investors Should Know About the Anthropic IPO<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Anthropic IPO will be on the <strong>Nasdaq<\/strong>, not on an Indian exchange, so Indian residents who want exposure would need to use a platform that offers US stocks and follow the RBI&#8217;s Liberalised Remittance Scheme rules and the applicable tax treatment, which they should check for the current limits. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor and a tax adviser before investing in an overseas IPO, and note that the IPO price, share count and date are still unknown.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=discover\"><strong>Subscribe to Univest Pro for premium research on IPOs and global stocks<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The <strong>Anthropic IPO valuation<\/strong> of $1.475 trillion from Aswath Damodaran is not a prediction of where the shares will trade; it is his estimate of what the equity is worth if Anthropic&#8217;s revenue approaches a trillion dollars by 2036 at a 27.5% margin. The <strong>S-1 filing<\/strong> shows revenue growing about 14 times year on year to $16.3 billion in six months, a $80.7 billion loss that is mostly non-cash, and compute commitments above $600 billion. Until Anthropic sets a price and the Anthropic IPO valuation meets reality, the practical question for investors is how far above $1.5 trillion they would be willing to pay, and Aswath Damodaran&#8217;s answer to the Anthropic IPO valuation question is that he would wait.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions_on_Anthropic_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions on Anthropic IPO Valuation<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_Aswath_Damodarans_Anthropic_IPO_valuation\"><\/span><strong>What is Aswath Damodaran&#x27;s Anthropic IPO valuation?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Aswath Damodaran, the NYU Stern professor known as the Dean of Valuation, values Anthropic&#x27;s equity at about $1.475 trillion in a post published on 28 October 2026. That is just below the $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion IPO pricing range reported for the offering. His scenarios range from negative $373 billion in the worst case, where the company does not survive as a going concern, to $4.04 trillion in the best case.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"When_did_Anthropic_file_for_its_IPO_and_what_is_the_ticker\"><\/span><strong>When did Anthropic file for its IPO and what is the ticker?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on 26 October 2026, after a confidential draft on 1 June 2026. The company plans to list its Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker ANT. The filing left the number of shares, the price range and the listing date blank, and reports point to a November listing that has not been confirmed.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_revenue_and_loss_did_Anthropic_report_in_its_S-1\"><\/span><strong>What revenue and loss did Anthropic report in its S-1?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Anthropic reported revenue of about $16.29 billion in the first half of 2026, up from about $1.16 billion in the same period of 2025 and compared with about $4.59 billion for all of 2025. Second-quarter revenue was about $11.6 billion. The company reported a net loss of about $80.7 billion for the half, of which roughly $72 billion is a non-cash charge caused by the rising value of convertible notes. It told investors that third-quarter revenue was $16.8 billion.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_Aswath_Damodaran_buy_Anthropic_shares_at_the_IPO\"><\/span><strong>Will Aswath Damodaran buy Anthropic shares at the IPO?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Aswath Damodaran has said his $1.475 trillion valuation will leave him on the sidelines at the IPO if the price is well above his estimate, since the rumoured pricing range is $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion. He also said he is convinced Anthropic will become a buy at some point as value and price change over time, and he has cautioned against shorting the stock. He added that his decision on buying or selling will be informed by his Anthropic IPO valuation but that investors should value the company themselves.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_is_the_404_trillion_best_case_for_Anthropic_calculated\"><\/span><strong>How is the $4.04 trillion best case for Anthropic calculated?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> In Damodaran&#x27;s best case, Anthropic&#x27;s revenue reaches $1.5 trillion in 2036, operating margins converge on the premium market level of 40%, computing becomes cheaper so that each dollar of capital supports four dollars of sales, the cost of capital falls to 7.79%, and regulation has no effect on margins. These assumptions together give an equity value of $4.04 trillion, nearly three times his base case of $1.475 trillion.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_Anthropic_report_an_807_billion_loss\"><\/span><strong>Why did Anthropic report an $80.7 billion loss?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Anthropic&#x27;s net loss of about $80.7 billion in the first half of 2026 is mostly a non-cash accounting charge. Roughly $72 billion of it arose because convertible notes sold to investors rose in value as the company&#x27;s valuation rose, and under accounting rules that increase is booked as a loss. The remainder reflects operating costs, including heavy spending on computing infrastructure, which was about $9 billion in the first six months of 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_Damodarans_concern_about_Anthropics_share_structure\"><\/span><strong>What is Damodaran&#x27;s concern about Anthropic&#x27;s share structure?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> According to BigGo Finance&#x27;s account, Aswath Damodaran criticised Anthropic&#x27;s five-class share structure, which gives the co-founders 50.1% of the voting power and the Long-Term Benefit Trust the right to elect a majority of the board. Holders of Class A shares, the stock being offered in the IPO, would not control the board. He said this governance setup would make him demand a far deeper discount before buying a single share.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Can_Indian_investors_buy_Anthropic_shares_in_the_IPO\"><\/span><strong>Can Indian investors buy Anthropic shares in the IPO?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Anthropic IPO will be on the Nasdaq, not an Indian exchange, so Indian residents would need a platform that offers US stocks and would have to follow the RBI&#x27;s Liberalised Remittance Scheme rules and the applicable tax treatment, whose current limits should be checked. The IPO price, share count and date have not been announced. This is not investment advice, so consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor and a tax adviser before investing in an overseas listing.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is Aswath Damodaran's Anthropic IPO valuation?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Aswath Damodaran, the NYU Stern professor known as the Dean of Valuation, values Anthropic's equity at about $1.475 trillion in a post published on 28 October 2026. That is just below the $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion IPO pricing range reported for the offering. His scenarios range from negative $373 billion in the worst case, where the company does not survive as a going concern, to $4.04 trillion in the best case.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"When did Anthropic file for its IPO and what is the ticker?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on 26 October 2026, after a confidential draft on 1 June 2026. The company plans to list its Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker ANT. The filing left the number of shares, the price range and the listing date blank, and reports point to a November listing that has not been confirmed.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What revenue and loss did Anthropic report in its S-1?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Anthropic reported revenue of about $16.29 billion in the first half of 2026, up from about $1.16 billion in the same period of 2025 and compared with about $4.59 billion for all of 2025. Second-quarter revenue was about $11.6 billion. The company reported a net loss of about $80.7 billion for the half, of which roughly $72 billion is a non-cash charge caused by the rising value of convertible notes. It told investors that third-quarter revenue was $16.8 billion.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Will Aswath Damodaran buy Anthropic shares at the IPO?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Aswath Damodaran has said his $1.475 trillion valuation will leave him on the sidelines at the IPO if the price is well above his estimate, since the rumoured pricing range is $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion. He also said he is convinced Anthropic will become a buy at some point as value and price change over time, and he has cautioned against shorting the stock. He added that his decision on buying or selling will be informed by his Anthropic IPO valuation but that investors should value the company themselves.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How is the $4.04 trillion best case for Anthropic calculated?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"In Damodaran's best case, Anthropic's revenue reaches $1.5 trillion in 2036, operating margins converge on the premium market level of 40%, computing becomes cheaper so that each dollar of capital supports four dollars of sales, the cost of capital falls to 7.79%, and regulation has no effect on margins. These assumptions together give an equity value of $4.04 trillion, nearly three times his base case of $1.475 trillion.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did Anthropic report an $80.7 billion loss?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Anthropic's net loss of about $80.7 billion in the first half of 2026 is mostly a non-cash accounting charge. Roughly $72 billion of it arose because convertible notes sold to investors rose in value as the company's valuation rose, and under accounting rules that increase is booked as a loss. The remainder reflects operating costs, including heavy spending on computing infrastructure, which was about $9 billion in the first six months of 2026.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is Damodaran's concern about Anthropic's share structure?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"According to BigGo Finance's account, Aswath Damodaran criticised Anthropic's five-class share structure, which gives the co-founders 50.1% of the voting power and the Long-Term Benefit Trust the right to elect a majority of the board. Holders of Class A shares, the stock being offered in the IPO, would not control the board. He said this governance setup would make him demand a far deeper discount before buying a single share.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Can Indian investors buy Anthropic shares in the IPO?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Anthropic IPO will be on the Nasdaq, not an Indian exchange, so Indian residents would need a platform that offers US stocks and would have to follow the RBI's Liberalised Remittance Scheme rules and the applicable tax treatment, whose current limits should be checked. The IPO price, share count and date have not been announced. This is not investment advice, so consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor and a tax adviser before investing in an overseas listing.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aswath Damodaran values Anthropic at $1.475 trillion, just below the reported $1.5 to $2 trillion IPO range, with scenarios from negative $373 billion to $4.04 trillion. What the S-1 shows.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":333892,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[1248,18854,4378,17492,18851,18852,18853],"class_list":["post-333893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-ai-stocks","tag-ant","tag-anthropic-ipo","tag-anthropic-valuation","tag-aswath-damodaran","tag-claude","tag-nasdaq-ipo"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["333892"],"rank_math_title":["Anthropic IPO Valuation: Damodaran Says $1.475 Trillion"],"rank_math_description":["Anthropic IPO valuation: Aswath Damodaran values the Claude maker at $1.475 trillion, below the $1.5 to $2 trillion IPO range. Cases run from -$373B to $4.04 trillion."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["Anthropic IPO valuation"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/anthropic-ipo-valuation-aswath-damodaran-values-the-claude-maker-at-1-475.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=333893"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333893\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":333894,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333893\/revisions\/333894"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/333892"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=333893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=333893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=333893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}