{"id":330503,"date":"2026-10-28T13:01:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T07:31:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=330503"},"modified":"2026-10-28T13:01:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T07:31:19","slug":"us-fed-meeting-today-expectations-time-in-ist-where-to-watch-kevin-warsh-speech-and-how-the-rate-decision-may-impact-gold-and-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/us-fed-meeting-today-expectations-time-in-ist-where-to-watch-kevin-warsh-speech-and-how-the-rate-decision-may-impact-gold-and-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"US Fed Meeting Today: Expectations, Time in IST, Where to Watch Kevin Warsh’s Speech and How the Rate Decision May Impact Gold and Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US Fed meeting ends today, Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026, with the policy statement due at 2:00 PM ET, which is 11:30 PM IST (my conversion), and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference at 2:30 PM ET, or 12:00 AM IST on 29 Oct. The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75% to 4.00% at its previous meeting on 16 Sep, and markets expect a hold, with the chance of another hike put at about 7% to 10%.<\/em><\/p>\n

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Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n

The US Fed meeting is expected to keep the federal funds target range at 3.75% to 4.00%, with market pricing of about 93% for a hold and about 7% for a 25-basis-point hike, but analysts expect a hawkish pause because September CPI inflation was 3.7% and a December hike looks more likely. The decision comes at 11:30 PM IST and Kevin Warsh’s press conference follows at 12:00 AM IST, so Indian markets react on Thursday, 29 Oct. A hawkish tone can lift the US dollar and Treasury yields, which usually weighs on gold and on foreign flows into India, while a softer tone can help both. This is educational and not a recommendation.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

The US Fed meeting is the main global event this week, and it lands on a day when the Sensex fell as much as 995 points on crude above USD 115 and FII selling. This article explains the US Fed meeting schedule in IST, what markets expect from the Fed rate decision, what Kevin Warsh may say, where to watch the speech, and how the outcome may affect gold, the dollar and Indian markets, using data as of 12:58 PM IST.<\/p>\n

The decision has not been announced as I write, so nothing here is a result. Sources differ on the hike probability (about 6.6% to 10% for October), on August PCE inflation and on the US 10-year yield, and I show the differences instead of choosing one. I did not retrieve a live gold spot price in dollars. It is educational and not advice.<\/p>\n

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