{"id":311408,"date":"2026-10-15T17:15:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T11:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=311408"},"modified":"2026-10-15T17:15:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T11:45:01","slug":"icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/","title":{"rendered":"ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, Axis Bank: Which Banking Stock to Buy Ahead of Q2 Results &#8211; What Experts Suggest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank report Q2 FY27 results on Saturday 17 Oct 2026. Brokerages expect healthy loan growth, with Systematix seeing about 15% profit growth for banks excluding IndusInd, but net interest margins are expected to fall by about 7 basis points QoQ as FCNR(B) deposits raise funding costs. Every brokerage I found keeps a Buy on the large private banks and SBI, with ICICI Bank and SBI named as top picks by Systematix and Axis Securities.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Brokerages expect healthy Q2 FY27 earnings from large bank stocks, with Systematix forecasting about 15% year on year profit growth for the banks it covers excluding IndusInd, helped by loan growth and lower provisions. The pressure point is margin, because FCNR(B) deposits of about 132.9 billion dollars lift deposit costs and Systematix expects net interest margins to fall by about 7 basis points on average from the June quarter. ICICI Bank and SBI are the most repeated top picks, named by both Systematix and Axis Securities, while Jefferies sees the highest upside in Axis Bank and IndusInd. These are brokerage views and not a recommendation, so check the results of HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank on 17 October before you buy.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Bank stocks have fallen this year even as loan growth has picked up, and the Q2 FY27 results season is the next test. The headline question is which of ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI and Axis Bank experts prefer before the numbers arrive.<\/p>\n<p>This guide sets out what brokerages expect from bank stocks in Q2, how FCNR(B) inflows affect margins, the target price views on each bank and the risks. Figures come from brokerage notes reported by the press, and I flag where they disagree.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_Brokerages_Expect_From_Bank_Stocks_in_Q2_FY27\" title=\"What Brokerages Expect From Bank Stocks in Q2 FY27\">What Brokerages Expect From Bank Stocks in Q2 FY27<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#FCNRB_Inflows_Why_Margins_May_Squeeze\" title=\"FCNR(B) Inflows: Why Margins May Squeeze\">FCNR(B) Inflows: Why Margins May Squeeze<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Bank_Stocks_Target_Price_View_ICICI_Bank_HDFC_Bank_SBI_Axis_Bank\" title=\"Bank Stocks Target Price View: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, Axis Bank\">Bank Stocks Target Price View: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, Axis Bank<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Q2_Business_Updates_and_Result_Dates\" title=\"Q2 Business Updates and Result Dates\">Q2 Business Updates and Result Dates<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Which_Bank_Stocks_Look_Best_Placed_Before_Q2\" title=\"Which Bank Stocks Look Best Placed Before Q2?\">Which Bank Stocks Look Best Placed Before Q2?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_to_Watch_Next_for_Bank_Stocks\" title=\"What to Watch Next for Bank Stocks\">What to Watch Next for Bank Stocks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Which_bank_stocks_do_brokerages_recommend_before_Q2_results\" title=\"Which bank stocks do brokerages recommend before Q2 results?\">Which bank stocks do brokerages recommend before Q2 results?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#When_do_HDFC_Bank_ICICI_Bank_and_Axis_Bank_report_Q2_FY27_results\" title=\"When do HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank report Q2 FY27 results?\">When do HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank report Q2 FY27 results?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_do_brokerages_expect_for_bank_profits_in_Q2_FY27\" title=\"What do brokerages expect for bank profits in Q2 FY27?\">What do brokerages expect for bank profits in Q2 FY27?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Why_could_margins_of_bank_stocks_fall_in_Q2\" title=\"Why could margins of bank stocks fall in Q2?\">Why could margins of bank stocks fall in Q2?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_is_the_ICICI_Bank_target_price\" title=\"What is the ICICI Bank target price?\">What is the ICICI Bank target price?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_is_the_HDFC_Bank_target_price\" title=\"What is the HDFC Bank target price?\">What is the HDFC Bank target price?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#What_are_the_main_risks_for_bank_stocks_now\" title=\"What are the main risks for bank stocks now?\">What are the main risks for bank stocks now?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/icici-bank-hdfc-bank-sbi-axis-bank-which-banking-stock-to-buy-ahead-of-q2-results-what-experts-suggest\/#Is_this_article_investment_advice\" title=\"Is this article investment advice?\">Is this article investment advice?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Brokerages_Expect_From_Bank_Stocks_in_Q2_FY27\"><\/span><strong>What Brokerages Expect From Bank Stocks in Q2 FY27<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Expectation<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">View<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Source<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Profit growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 15% YoY, excluding IndusInd, on loan growth and lower provisions<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Net interest margin<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Down about 7 bps QoQ on average; about 10 bps lower for several lenders<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix; Axis Securities<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systemic credit growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 18.8% YoY<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Securities<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Asset quality<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fresh slippages to fall QoQ on KCC loan seasonality; overall healthy<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix; Axis Securities<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Treasury income<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Likely to fall at most banks as higher G-Sec yields cut trading gains<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fee income<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Expected to grow ahead of advances at HDFC Bank and SBI<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Nirmal Bang noted in early September that loan growth across its covered banks rose to 17.2% YoY in Q1 FY27 from 15.1% in Q3 FY26, while deposit growth was slower at 12%. Q2 is the quarter in which deposits caught up for bank stocks, and that is where the margin story comes from.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> Brokerage estimates for bank stocks are made before results, and a margin miss at one large bank can pull down all bank stocks together.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Screen bank stocks on the Univest Screener<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FCNRB_Inflows_Why_Margins_May_Squeeze\"><\/span><strong>FCNR(B) Inflows: Why Margins May Squeeze<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Data point<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Date<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">FCNR(B) inflows under the RBI swap window<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">$132.9 billion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">31 Aug 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">System deposit growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">17.3% YoY, 6.9% QoQ<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">15 Sep 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Advances against fixed deposits, including FCNR(B)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 43.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">August 2026 RBI data<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Bank advances excluding FCNR(B)-linked loans<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 18.8% YoY<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 business update<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Bank deposits excluding FCNR(B)-linked<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 17.0% YoY<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 business update<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Systematix says that for bank stocks a higher share of term deposits is expected to raise deposit costs, lower CASA ratios and weigh on margins and loan yields. Jefferies takes a milder view: underlying loan growth excluding FCNR(B)-linked lending remained broadly steady, and banks used part of the FCNR(B) money to replace relatively expensive funding and to strengthen liquidity coverage ratios.<\/p>\n<p>Both views can be right for bank stocks. The deposit mix is better in quality, but the cost is higher, so the net interest margin may fall even as funding improves. Watch the CASA ratio and the cost of deposits in the Q2 results of each of the bank stocks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> If FCNR(B) money leaves or is not lent at good yields, margins at bank stocks could fall further than the 7 basis points that brokerages expect.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track bank stocks and get price alerts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bank_Stocks_Target_Price_View_ICICI_Bank_HDFC_Bank_SBI_Axis_Bank\"><\/span><strong>Bank Stocks Target Price View: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, Axis Bank<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Bank<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Systematix (6 Oct)<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Jefferies (7 Oct)<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Nirmal Bang (6 Sep)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">ICICI Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,700; NIM down more than 10 bps; top pick<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,750 vs Rs 1,343 (about 30% upside)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,820<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">HDFC Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 870; NIM down 5 to 10 bps<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 880 vs Rs 706 (about 25% upside)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">SBI<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,220; top pick; higher credit costs expected<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not covered in my source<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,275<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 1,500; NIM down 5 to 10 bps<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,700 vs Rs 1,243 (about 37% upside)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not covered in my source<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak Mahindra Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, Rs 515; top pick<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 460 vs Rs 434 (about 6% upside)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not covered in my source<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">IndusInd Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Hold, Rs 950<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,250 vs Rs 898 (about 39% upside)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not covered in my source<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Upside for Jefferies is my calculation from its target price and the share price on 7 October, so it is out of date today. The HDFC Bank target price ranges from Rs 870 to Rs 1,020 across the three brokerages, which shows how wide the views are even on the largest private bank.<\/p>\n<p>Axis Securities also lists ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, SBI, Federal Bank, AU Small Finance Bank, Bajaj Finance and Shriram Finance among its top picks for the quarter. Systematix and Axis Securities both name ICICI Bank and SBI, so those two are the most repeated bank stocks across the notes I found.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> A Buy rating and a target price are not a guarantee, and bank stocks have fallen by up to 29% this year, with the BSE Bankex down about 8%.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Q2_Business_Updates_and_Result_Dates\"><\/span><strong>Q2 Business Updates and Result Dates<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Bank<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Advances<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Deposits<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Result date<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">HDFC Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 33,075 billion, up about 15.3% YoY<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 33,275 billion, up about 18.8% YoY<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Saturday 17 Oct 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gross Rs 13,846 billion, up 22.7% YoY and 8.8% QoQ<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 14,521 billion, up 20.7% YoY and 5.8% QoQ<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Saturday 17 Oct 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">ICICI Bank<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">No Q2 business update found<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">No Q2 business update found<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Saturday 17 Oct 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">SBI<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not found<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not found<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Date not found<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Jefferies puts HDFC Bank loans up 16% and deposits up 19% for the quarter, which differs slightly from the 15.3% and 18.8% above, and the sources do not say if the figures are standalone or consolidated. Use the Q2 results on 17 October for the final numbers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> Results on a Saturday mean the share price reaction of bank stocks comes on the next trading day, Monday 19 October.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_Bank_Stocks_Look_Best_Placed_Before_Q2\"><\/span><strong>Which Bank Stocks Look Best Placed Before Q2?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">If you care most about<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">What the notes suggest<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Repeated top picks<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">ICICI Bank and SBI, named by Systematix and Axis Securities<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Upside to target price<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jefferies shows the most upside in Axis Bank and IndusInd, from older prices<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Margin pressure<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix expects the largest NIM fall at ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank, over 10 bps<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Loan growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Bank at 22.7% YoY and Kotak Mahindra Bank at 25% in the Jefferies note lead HDFC Bank<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Asset quality<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Systematix expects higher credit costs only at SBI; others stable or lower<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>No single bank wins on every measure, and the reason is that bank stocks differ in margin, growth and credit cost. A diversified basket of bank stocks, or waiting for the 17 October results, may suit investors who do not want to bet on one number.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> Buying before results is a bet on estimates, and the same stock can rise or fall on a small surprise.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_Watch_Next_for_Bank_Stocks\"><\/span><strong>What to Watch Next for Bank Stocks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank results on 17 October<\/li>\n<li>Net interest margin and CASA ratio of bank stocks against the 7 basis point fall that brokerages expect<\/li>\n<li>Management comments on FCNR(B) deposits and how they will be lent<\/li>\n<li>The SBI Q2 results date and its credit costs<\/li>\n<li>Fresh target price changes from Jefferies, Systematix and Nirmal Bang after results<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Brokerages expect healthy Q2 earnings but weaker margins, and they back the large bank stocks, with ICICI Bank and SBI the most repeated top picks. Wait for the 17 October results or size your position for the margin risk.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_bank_stocks_do_brokerages_recommend_before_Q2_results\"><\/span><strong>Which bank stocks do brokerages recommend before Q2 results?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Systematix and Axis Securities both name ICICI Bank and SBI among their top picks. Jefferies has Buy calls on ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and IndusInd Bank.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"When_do_HDFC_Bank_ICICI_Bank_and_Axis_Bank_report_Q2_FY27_results\"><\/span><strong>When do HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank report Q2 FY27 results?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> All three are scheduled to report on Saturday 17 October 2026. I could not find the SBI date.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_do_brokerages_expect_for_bank_profits_in_Q2_FY27\"><\/span><strong>What do brokerages expect for bank profits in Q2 FY27?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Systematix expects about 15% year on year profit growth for the bank stocks it covers, excluding IndusInd, driven by loan growth and lower provisions.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_could_margins_of_bank_stocks_fall_in_Q2\"><\/span><strong>Why could margins of bank stocks fall in Q2?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> FCNR(B) inflows of 132.9 billion dollars raise term deposits and deposit costs, and Systematix expects net interest margins to fall about 7 basis points QoQ on average.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_ICICI_Bank_target_price\"><\/span><strong>What is the ICICI Bank target price?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Systematix has Rs 1,700, Jefferies has Rs 1,750 and Nirmal Bang has Rs 1,820, all with a Buy view.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_HDFC_Bank_target_price\"><\/span><strong>What is the HDFC Bank target price?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Systematix has Rs 870, Jefferies has Rs 880 and Nirmal Bang has Rs 1,020, which shows a wide range of views.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_main_risks_for_bank_stocks_now\"><\/span><strong>What are the main risks for bank stocks now?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Margin pressure from FCNR(B) deposits, lower treasury income, higher credit costs at some banks and a market where bank stocks are down by up to 29% this year.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_this_article_investment_advice\"><\/span><strong>Is this article investment advice?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which bank stocks do brokerages recommend before Q2 results?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Systematix and Axis Securities both name ICICI Bank and SBI among their top picks. 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I could not find the SBI date.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What do brokerages expect for bank profits in Q2 FY27?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Systematix expects about 15% year on year profit growth for the bank stocks it covers, excluding IndusInd, driven by loan growth and lower provisions.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why could margins of bank stocks fall in Q2?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"FCNR(B) inflows of 132.9 billion dollars raise term deposits and deposit costs, and Systematix expects net interest margins to fall about 7 basis points QoQ on average.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the ICICI Bank target price?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Systematix has Rs 1,700, Jefferies has Rs 1,750 and Nirmal Bang has Rs 1,820, all with a Buy view.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the HDFC Bank target price?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Systematix has Rs 870, Jefferies has Rs 880 and Nirmal Bang has Rs 1,020, which shows a wide range of views.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What are the main risks for bank stocks now?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Margin pressure from FCNR(B) deposits, lower treasury income, higher credit costs at some banks and a market where bank stocks are down by up to 29% this year.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is this article investment advice?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Which bank stocks to buy before Q2 results? See brokerage views on ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI and Axis Bank, target prices, FCNR(B) and margin risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":311407,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[586,1162,12536,208,1252,7670],"class_list":["post-311408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-axis-bank","tag-bank-stocks","tag-banking-stocks-to-buy","tag-hdfc-bank","tag-icici-bank","tag-sbi"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["311407"],"rank_math_title":["Bank Stocks to Buy Before Q2 Results: Expert Views"],"rank_math_description":["Which bank stocks to buy before Q2 results? 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