{"id":310882,"date":"2026-10-15T15:08:22","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T09:38:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=310882"},"modified":"2026-10-15T15:08:22","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T09:38:22","slug":"for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/","title":{"rendered":"For BHEL, a Muted Order Inflow Upsets the Apple Cart: What It Means for the Stock After Q2 FY27 Results"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>BHEL&#8217;s Q2 FY27 order inflow was only about Rs 4,000 crore against about Rs 30,000 crore for the half year, and Nuvama says fresh inflow fell 85% from a year earlier. Profit still rose 119% to Rs 820.94 crore and the order book stands at Rs 2,57,571 crore. The shares fell nearly 5% on 15 Oct 2026 after a 4.9% gain on 14 Oct.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">BHEL&#8217;s order inflow was muted in Q2 FY27 at about Rs 4,000 crore, well below Q1, and Nuvama says fresh order inflow fell 85% from a year earlier, even though consolidated profit more than doubled to Rs 820.94 crore. The order book is still large at Rs 2,57,571 crore, about 7.6 times FY26 sales, which gives years of revenue visibility. Nuvama and JM Financial both kept a Buy rating with targets of Rs 540 and Rs 535, but the shares fell nearly 5% on 15 October after rising 4.9% the day before. The key question is whether weak order inflow is a one quarter dip or the start of a slowdown, and the next two quarters will answer it.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>BHEL, or Bharat Heavy Electricals, builds power plant equipment and industrial products, and its results look very different depending on whether you look at profit or at new orders. Profit and margins surprised on the upside, while new orders disappointed.<\/p>\n<p>This guide explains the order inflow numbers, why the order book still matters, how the quarter compared with estimates, what brokerages said and what could go wrong. Some figures come from secondary sources and differ slightly, and I flag where.<\/p>\n<p>BHEL also appeared in an earlier Univest piece on the post results fall, and this article looks only at the order inflow side.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#BHEL_Order_Inflow_in_Q2_FY27_The_Numbers\" title=\"BHEL Order Inflow in Q2 FY27: The Numbers\">BHEL Order Inflow in Q2 FY27: The Numbers<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Why_the_BHEL_Order_Book_Still_Cushions_the_Miss\" title=\"Why the BHEL Order Book Still Cushions the Miss\">Why the BHEL Order Book Still Cushions the Miss<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#BHEL_Q2_FY27_Profit_and_Margins_Beat_Estimates\" title=\"BHEL Q2 FY27 Profit and Margins Beat Estimates\">BHEL Q2 FY27 Profit and Margins Beat Estimates<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#BHEL_Brokerage_Views_and_Share_Price_Move\" title=\"BHEL Brokerage Views and Share Price Move\">BHEL Brokerage Views and Share Price Move<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#What_to_Watch_Next_for_BHEL_and_Its_Order_Inflow\" title=\"What to Watch Next for BHEL and Its Order Inflow\">What to Watch Next for BHEL and Its Order Inflow<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#What_was_BHELs_order_inflow_in_Q2_FY27\" title=\"What was BHEL&#8217;s order inflow in Q2 FY27?\">What was BHEL&#8217;s order inflow in Q2 FY27?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#What_is_BHELs_order_book\" title=\"What is BHEL&#8217;s order book?\">What is BHEL&#8217;s order book?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Why_did_BHEL_shares_fall_on_15_October_2026\" title=\"Why did BHEL shares fall on 15 October 2026?\">Why did BHEL shares fall on 15 October 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#How_did_BHELs_profit_do_in_Q2_FY27\" title=\"How did BHEL&#8217;s profit do in Q2 FY27?\">How did BHEL&#8217;s profit do in Q2 FY27?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#What_are_the_brokerage_targets_for_BHEL\" title=\"What are the brokerage targets for BHEL?\">What are the brokerage targets for BHEL?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Does_a_low_order_inflow_hurt_BHELs_revenue_now\" title=\"Does a low order inflow hurt BHEL&#8217;s revenue now?\">Does a low order inflow hurt BHEL&#8217;s revenue now?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#What_is_the_BHEL_order_inflow_against_revenue\" title=\"What is the BHEL order inflow against revenue?\">What is the BHEL order inflow against revenue?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock-after-q2-fy27-results\/#Is_this_article_investment_advice\" title=\"Is this article investment advice?\">Is this article investment advice?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"BHEL_Order_Inflow_in_Q2_FY27_The_Numbers\"><\/span><strong>BHEL Order Inflow in Q2 FY27: The Numbers<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 FY27 order inflow<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 4,000 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Well below Q1, per one report<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">H1 FY27 order inflow<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 30,000 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Implies about Rs 26,000 crore in Q1 (my calculation)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Year on year change<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Down 85% (Nuvama)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Implies about Rs 26,700 crore in Q2 FY26 (my calculation)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Order book, 30 Sept 2026<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 2,57,571 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 17.3% from Rs 2,19,641 crore<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Order book against FY26 sales<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 7.6 times<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Reported by Nuvama<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Order inflow against Q2 revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 0.43 times<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">My calculation: 4,000 divided by 9,300<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Order inflow of 0.43 times revenue means BHEL booked less than half a rupee of new orders for each rupee of sales in the quarter. A ratio below one reduces the order book over time unless inflow recovers.<\/p>\n<p>Power equipment orders come in large and irregular lumps, so a single quarter of order inflow can mislead. The half year inflow of about Rs 30,000 crore is a better guide than Q2 alone.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> If order inflow stays low for several quarters, revenue growth will eventually slow.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Screen power equipment stocks on the Univest Screener<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_BHEL_Order_Book_Still_Cushions_the_Miss\"><\/span><strong>Why the BHEL Order Book Still Cushions the Miss<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Detail<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Order book<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 2,57,571 crore, about 7.6 times FY26 sales<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Revenue (Q2 FY27)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 9,300 crore, up 23.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Power segment<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Revenue Rs 6,638 crore, up 17%; segment margin 12.93%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Industry segment<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Revenue Rs 2,662 crore, up 45%; segment margin 19.46%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Collections<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 13,179 crore, up 33%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Receivable days<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Down from 120 to 94<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>A book of 7.6 times annual sales is years of work, so a weak quarter of order inflow does not hurt near term revenue. What it affects is the growth rate that investors can expect beyond FY28.<\/p>\n<p>Faster collections also help, because they release cash and cut borrowing. Nuvama and JM Financial both point to better execution as a reason for their positive views.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> Execution delays or commissioning slippage can push revenue out even with a large order book.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track BHEL and set price alerts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"BHEL_Q2_FY27_Profit_and_Margins_Beat_Estimates\"><\/span><strong>BHEL Q2 FY27 Profit and Margins Beat Estimates<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Q2 FY27<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Q2 FY26<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consolidated net profit<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 820.94 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 374.89 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 119%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Operating EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,026 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 581 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 76.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">EBITDA margin<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">11.0%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">7.7%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 330 basis points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gross margin (Nuvama)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">36.5%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 30.6%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 590 basis points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Poll estimate for EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 881 crore, 9.5% margin<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Not applicable<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Actuals beat both<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Nuvama attributes the margin gain to newer orders at better prices, and it cut its FY27 EPS estimate by 12% after management&#8217;s commissioning guidance. That means profit may be pushed out by timing even as margins improve.<\/p>\n<p>Different sources show slightly different revenue and profit figures, such as total income of Rs 9,553 crore and revenue of about Rs 9,300 crore, and the EBITDA definitions differ, so compare numbers from the same source.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> A beat driven by margin and not by volume depends on pricing holding.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"BHEL_Brokerage_Views_and_Share_Price_Move\"><\/span><strong>BHEL Brokerage Views and Share Price Move<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Detail<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nuvama<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, target Rs 540 (raised from Rs 530), 38 times estimated FY28 EPS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">JM Financial<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Buy, target Rs 535, 30 times estimated September 2028 EPS; net cash of Rs 4,600 crore<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">14 Oct close<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 464, up about 4.9% (another report says nearly 4%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">15 Oct range on BSE<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">High Rs 453.40 and low Rs 441.20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fall on 15 Oct<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nearly 5%, which fits the low against the 14 Oct close (my calculation)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Market capitalisation about Rs 1.62 lakh crore; trailing P\/E about 56 (derived, not reported)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Both brokerages kept a Buy even after the share price had run up, and their targets are about 15% to 20% above the 15 October range (my calculation). The headline fall of nearly 5% was attributed to profit booking by one report, but the body gave no specific cause.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risk:<\/strong> A trailing P\/E near 56 leaves little room for disappointment on order inflow.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_Watch_Next_for_BHEL_and_Its_Order_Inflow\"><\/span><strong>What to Watch Next for BHEL and Its Order Inflow<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Q3 FY27 order inflow, which will show if Q2 was a one quarter dip<\/li>\n<li>Large thermal power orders that BHEL has been bidding for<\/li>\n<li>Commissioning of projects and the timing of revenue<\/li>\n<li>EBITDA margin staying near 11% as the order mix changes<\/li>\n<li>Brokerage target price changes after the next results<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BHEL&#8217;s order inflow was weak in Q2 FY27 even as profit more than doubled and the order book stayed large. The shares fell on profit booking, and the answer to whether the weak orders matter will come in the next two quarters.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_was_BHELs_order_inflow_in_Q2_FY27\"><\/span><strong>What was BHEL&#8217;s order inflow in Q2 FY27?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> About Rs 4,000 crore in the quarter and about Rs 30,000 crore for the half year, with Nuvama saying fresh inflow fell 85% from a year earlier.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_BHELs_order_book\"><\/span><strong>What is BHEL&#8217;s order book?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Rs 2,57,571 crore at 30 September 2026, up 17.3% year on year and about 7.6 times FY26 sales.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_BHEL_shares_fall_on_15_October_2026\"><\/span><strong>Why did BHEL shares fall on 15 October 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> They fell nearly 5% after a gain of about 4.9% the day before. One report attributed it to profit booking and no specific cause was given.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_did_BHELs_profit_do_in_Q2_FY27\"><\/span><strong>How did BHEL&#8217;s profit do in Q2 FY27?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Consolidated net profit rose 119% to Rs 820.94 crore, and the EBITDA margin rose to 11.0% from 7.7%.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_brokerage_targets_for_BHEL\"><\/span><strong>What are the brokerage targets for BHEL?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Nuvama has a Buy with a target of Rs 540 and JM Financial has a Buy with a target of Rs 535.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Does_a_low_order_inflow_hurt_BHELs_revenue_now\"><\/span><strong>Does a low order inflow hurt BHEL&#8217;s revenue now?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Not immediately, because the order book is about 7.6 times annual sales, but sustained weak inflow would slow growth later.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_BHEL_order_inflow_against_revenue\"><\/span><strong>What is the BHEL order inflow against revenue?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> About 0.43 times in Q2 by my calculation, which is below one.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_this_article_investment_advice\"><\/span><strong>Is this article investment advice?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What was BHEL's order inflow in Q2 FY27?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"About Rs 4,000 crore in the quarter and about Rs 30,000 crore for the half year, with Nuvama saying fresh inflow fell 85% from a year earlier.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is BHEL's order book?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Rs 2,57,571 crore at 30 September 2026, up 17.3% year on year and about 7.6 times FY26 sales.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did BHEL shares fall on 15 October 2026?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"They fell nearly 5% after a gain of about 4.9% the day before. One report attributed it to profit booking and no specific cause was given.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How did BHEL's profit do in Q2 FY27?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Consolidated net profit rose 119% to Rs 820.94 crore, and the EBITDA margin rose to 11.0% from 7.7%.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What are the brokerage targets for BHEL?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Nuvama has a Buy with a target of Rs 540 and JM Financial has a Buy with a target of Rs 535.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Does a low order inflow hurt BHEL's revenue now?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Not immediately, because the order book is about 7.6 times annual sales, but sustained weak inflow would slow growth later.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the BHEL order inflow against revenue?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"About 0.43 times in Q2 by my calculation, which is below one.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is this article investment advice?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BHEL&#8217;s Q2 FY27 order inflow was muted at about Rs 4,000 crore even as profit rose 119%. See the order book, brokerage targets and risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":310881,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[12525,11923,4143,12526,6714],"class_list":["post-310882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bhel-order-inflow","tag-bhel-q2-results","tag-bhel-share-price","tag-nuvama-target","tag-power-equipment-stocks"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["310881"],"rank_math_title":["BHEL Muted Order Inflow: What It Means for the Stock"],"rank_math_description":["BHEL's Q2 FY27 order inflow was only about Rs 4,000 crore, even as profit rose 119%. See the order book, the brokerage targets, the share price move and the risks."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["order inflow"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/for-bhel-a-muted-order-inflow-upsets-the-apple-cart-what-it-means-for-the-stock.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=310882"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310882\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":310883,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310882\/revisions\/310883"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/310881"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=310882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=310882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=310882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}