{"id":304837,"date":"2026-10-13T11:32:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T06:02:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=304837"},"modified":"2026-10-13T11:32:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T06:02:31","slug":"nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Nifty 50 Earnings May Surge in Q2, but the Road Ahead Is Rocky: Q2 FY27 Profit Estimates From Motilal Oswal, Kotak, Axis and Jefferies, Net Interest Margin and Key Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Nifty 50 earnings Q2 FY27 (July to September 2026): Motilal Oswal sees +27%, a 17-quarter high. A four-brokerage compilation sees +24.7% to Rs 2.35 trillion against a Rs 1.88 trillion base. Kotak sees +21%, Axis +23.7%. Seven index companies are expected to report lower profit.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Nifty 50 earnings for Q2 FY27 are seen rising between 21% and 27% year on year, with Motilal Oswal at 27%, its best in 17 quarters, and a four-brokerage compilation at 24.7%, or about Rs 2.35 trillion. Banks, NBFCs, metals, telecom, autos and oil and gas are expected to lead, while net interest margin pressure, higher input costs, FII outflows and West Asia tensions make the road ahead rocky. The growth also sits on a low base of Rs 1.88 trillion from Q2 FY26, and seven index companies are expected to report lower profit. Estimates differ by brokerage, so use the range as a guide and compare actual results against it as companies report.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Nifty 50 earnings are the focus of the headline that says earnings may surge in Q2 but the road ahead is rocky. Brokerages expect the September quarter to be the strongest for index profit growth in years, yet they also warn about margins, funding costs and foreign selling.<\/p>\n<p>This guide explains what brokerages expect for Nifty 50 earnings, why their numbers differ, which sectors drive the growth, where the risks sit, and what the FY27 and FY28 estimates say.<\/p>\n<p>The Q2 earnings figures below come from brokerage previews published on 8 and 9 October 2026 and from earlier data that I label with its date.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Nifty_50_Earnings_Q2_FY27_What_Brokerages_Expect\" title=\"Nifty 50 Earnings Q2 FY27: What Brokerages Expect\">Nifty 50 Earnings Q2 FY27: What Brokerages Expect<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Nifty_50_Earnings_in_Numbers_Profit_Revenue_and_Base\" title=\"Nifty 50 Earnings in Numbers: Profit, Revenue and Base\">Nifty 50 Earnings in Numbers: Profit, Revenue and Base<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Which_Sectors_Drive_Nifty_50_Earnings_in_Q2\" title=\"Which Sectors Drive Nifty 50 Earnings in Q2\">Which Sectors Drive Nifty 50 Earnings in Q2<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Why_the_Road_Ahead_for_Nifty_50_Earnings_Is_Rocky\" title=\"Why the Road Ahead for Nifty 50 Earnings Is Rocky\">Why the Road Ahead for Nifty 50 Earnings Is Rocky<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#FY27_and_FY28_Nifty_50_Earnings_Estimates\" title=\"FY27 and FY28 Nifty 50 Earnings Estimates\">FY27 and FY28 Nifty 50 Earnings Estimates<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#How_to_Use_the_Q2_Earnings_Season_for_Nifty_50_Earnings\" title=\"How to Use the Q2 Earnings Season for Nifty 50 Earnings\">How to Use the Q2 Earnings Season for Nifty 50 Earnings<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Risks_to_Nifty_50_Earnings\" title=\"Risks to Nifty 50 Earnings\">Risks to Nifty 50 Earnings<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#What_to_Watch_Next\" title=\"What to Watch Next\">What to Watch Next<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#What_is_the_expected_growth_in_Nifty_50_earnings_for_Q2_FY27\" title=\"What is the expected growth in Nifty 50 earnings for Q2 FY27?\">What is the expected growth in Nifty 50 earnings for Q2 FY27?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Why_do_brokerages_give_different_numbers_for_Nifty_50_earnings\" title=\"Why do brokerages give different numbers for Nifty 50 earnings?\">Why do brokerages give different numbers for Nifty 50 earnings?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Which_sectors_lead_Nifty_50_earnings_growth\" title=\"Which sectors lead Nifty 50 earnings growth?\">Which sectors lead Nifty 50 earnings growth?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Why_is_the_road_ahead_called_rocky\" title=\"Why is the road ahead called rocky?\">Why is the road ahead called rocky?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#What_is_the_expected_profit_in_rupees\" title=\"What is the expected profit in rupees?\">What is the expected profit in rupees?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Which_companies_may_report_lower_profit\" title=\"Which companies may report lower profit?\">Which companies may report lower profit?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#What_are_the_FY27_and_FY28_EPS_estimates\" title=\"What are the FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates?\">What are the FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit-estimates-motilal-oswal-kotak-axis-jefferies-nim-risks\/#Should_I_buy_stocks_based_on_Nifty_50_earnings_estimates\" title=\"Should I buy stocks based on Nifty 50 earnings estimates?\">Should I buy stocks based on Nifty 50 earnings estimates?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Earnings_Q2_FY27_What_Brokerages_Expect\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Earnings Q2 FY27: What Brokerages Expect<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Source<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">What it measures<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Q2 FY27 estimate<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nifty 50 aggregate earnings<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 27% year on year, the highest in 17 quarters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Its coverage universe<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 22%; up 24% excluding oil marketing companies<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Four-brokerage compilation (Motilal Oswal, Kotak, Nuvama, Antique)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nifty 50 net profit<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 24.7% to about Rs 2.35 trillion, the best in 12 quarters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Axis Securities<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nifty 50 profit after tax; revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Profit up 23.7%; revenue up 21.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak Institutional Equities<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Nifty 50 net profit<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 21%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jefferies<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Universe excluding oil and gas, metals and financials<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earnings up 14%; revenue up 17%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The numbers for Nifty 50 earnings differ because each firm measures a different set of companies. Some use the full Nifty 50, some a wider coverage list, and some drop oil marketing companies or financials. The index also changed on 30 September, when BSE Ltd replaced Wipro, and the compilation excludes BSE.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Check the Univest Screener for sector and earnings data<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Earnings_in_Numbers_Profit_Revenue_and_Base\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Earnings in Numbers: Profit, Revenue and Base<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Measure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 FY26 profit (base)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 1.88 trillion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">The low base lifts the growth rate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 FY27 profit estimate<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 2.35 trillion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Slightly below the record Rs 2.37 trillion in Q1 FY27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 FY27 revenue estimate<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 16.87 trillion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 17.4%; net interest income is used for banks and lenders<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q1 FY27 revenue growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">19.9%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">So Q2 would be the second best in 15 quarters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Profit as share of revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 13.9% against 13.1% a year ago<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">My calculation from the figures above<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Profit in Nifty 50 earnings is expected to grow faster than revenue on this broad measure, but it mixes banks with other companies. Jefferies sees the opposite for its non-financial universe, with the aggregate EBITDA margin down 0.6 points from the previous quarter and 1 point from a year ago.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to watch your stocks and results updates live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_Sectors_Drive_Nifty_50_Earnings_in_Q2\"><\/span><strong>Which Sectors Drive Nifty 50 Earnings in Q2<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Sector<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Expectation<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Source<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Private banks<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earnings up more than 24%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">PSU banks<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earnings up more than 27%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">NBFCs<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earnings up more than 24%; Jefferies sees profit growth above 34%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal; Jefferies<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Metals<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earnings up 44%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Telecom and oil and gas<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Named as growth drivers; no figure given<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak; Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Autos<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Tata Motors passenger vehicles to give about 15% of the incremental earnings growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Four-brokerage compilation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jewellers and retail<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jewellers&#8217; EBITDA up more than 30%; retailers up more than 20%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jefferies<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Weak sectors<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Commodity chemicals, FMCG, fertilisers and agrochemicals, pharma<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The growth in Nifty 50 earnings is also concentrated. Tata Motors passenger vehicles, Reliance Industries and ONGC together account for about 37% of the incremental profit, and Reliance, Tata Motors passenger vehicles and Hindalco for about 41% of incremental sales.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_Road_Ahead_for_Nifty_50_Earnings_Is_Rocky\"><\/span><strong>Why the Road Ahead for Nifty 50 Earnings Is Rocky<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Net interest margin pressure: Motilal Oswal expects bank margins to fall 7 to 15 bps from the previous quarter on higher deposit costs and a changing deposit mix.<\/li>\n<li>Lower bank revenue at big lenders: SBI, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank are expected to report lower net interest income because interest expense is growing faster.<\/li>\n<li>Input costs: Jefferies finds that 62% of companies in its universe face a year on year margin decline, and Kotak points to commodity costs.<\/li>\n<li>Foreign selling and bond yields: Motilal Oswal names persistent FII outflows and global bond yields at a two-decade high as concerns.<\/li>\n<li>Geopolitics and energy: the West Asia conflict keeps crude prices and inflation risks elevated.<\/li>\n<li>Uneven recovery: seven Nifty 50 companies, including ITC, Dr Reddy&#8217;s, InterGlobe Aviation, Tata Steel and Cipla, are expected to report lower profit.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>RBL Bank shows how a strong number can still meet a weak reaction. It reported profit up about 170% in Q2, yet its shares fell about 8% on higher provisions and an expected cooling in margin. The same can happen to Nifty 50 earnings leaders if guidance disappoints.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FY27_and_FY28_Nifty_50_Earnings_Estimates\"><\/span><strong>FY27 and FY28 Nifty 50 Earnings Estimates<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Estimate<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak Nifty 50 EPS, FY27<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,227<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak Institutional Equities<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Kotak Nifty 50 EPS, FY28<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,398<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 13.9% above FY27 (my calculation)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jefferies MSCI India earnings growth, FY27<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">14%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jefferies<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consensus FY27 EPS, as of 3 June 2026<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,235<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Down about 9% from Rs 1,357 a year earlier<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consensus EPS growth, as of 3 June 2026<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">16.2% in FY27; 15.2% in FY28<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Bloomberg, via 5paisa; dated and may have changed<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The June data shows that estimates for Nifty 50 earnings have been cut over the past year, with 31 of 50 companies downgraded in May alone. That is why the Q2 numbers will be read for guidance on the second half and not only for the growth rate. I did not verify today&#8217;s Nifty level, so I have not given a price to earnings ratio.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_to_Use_the_Q2_Earnings_Season_for_Nifty_50_Earnings\"><\/span><strong>How to Use the Q2 Earnings Season for Nifty 50 Earnings<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Compare each result with the Nifty 50 earnings estimate and not only with last year, since the base is low.<\/li>\n<li>Check bank margin and deposit cost commentary before reading the profit line.<\/li>\n<li>Look for festive demand, rural recovery and input cost comments from consumer and auto companies.<\/li>\n<li>Watch whether Nifty 50 earnings estimates for FY27 are raised or trimmed after the results.<\/li>\n<li>Judge a stock by its own numbers, not by Nifty 50 earnings as an index average, as the spread between sectors is wide.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_Nifty_50_Earnings\"><\/span><strong>Risks to Nifty 50 Earnings<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Low base:<\/strong> Part of the 24.7% growth in Nifty 50 earnings comes from a weak Q2 FY26 (a base effect), so the underlying pace is lower.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Concentration:<\/strong> Three companies give about 37% of the incremental profit, so a miss at one can pull down the total.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimate cuts:<\/strong> Estimates were trimmed through the past year, and further cuts can follow if margins disappoint.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Differing estimates:<\/strong> The range from 14% to 27% reflects different universes, so the headline number alone can mislead.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_Watch_Next\"><\/span><strong>What to Watch Next<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Large bank Q2 earnings and their net interest margin guidance.<\/li>\n<li>Margin commentary from consumer, auto and chemical companies.<\/li>\n<li>Revisions to Nifty 50 earnings estimates for FY27 and FY28.<\/li>\n<li>FII flows and global bond yields.<\/li>\n<li>Crude oil prices and the West Asia situation.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Nifty 50 earnings are expected to grow 21% to 27% in Q2 FY27, helped by banks, metals, telecom and autos and by a low base. Margin pressure, concentration and foreign selling are the reasons the road ahead is rocky, so read results against estimates. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any decision.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_expected_growth_in_Nifty_50_earnings_for_Q2_FY27\"><\/span><strong>What is the expected growth in Nifty 50 earnings for Q2 FY27?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Estimates range from 21% (Kotak) to 27% (Motilal Oswal), with a four-brokerage compilation at 24.7%.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_do_brokerages_give_different_numbers_for_Nifty_50_earnings\"><\/span><strong>Why do brokerages give different numbers for Nifty 50 earnings?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> They measure different company sets, such as the full Nifty 50, a wider coverage list or a list that drops oil marketing companies or financials.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_sectors_lead_Nifty_50_earnings_growth\"><\/span><strong>Which sectors lead Nifty 50 earnings growth?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Banks, NBFCs, metals, telecom, autos and oil and gas, according to Motilal Oswal and Kotak.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_the_road_ahead_called_rocky\"><\/span><strong>Why is the road ahead called rocky?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Margin pressure at banks, higher input costs, FII outflows, high bond yields and West Asia tensions.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_expected_profit_in_rupees\"><\/span><strong>What is the expected profit in rupees?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> About Rs 2.35 trillion against Rs 1.88 trillion a year ago, slightly below the record Rs 2.37 trillion in Q1 FY27.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_companies_may_report_lower_profit\"><\/span><strong>Which companies may report lower profit?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Seven Nifty 50 companies, including ITC, Dr Reddy&#8217;s, InterGlobe Aviation, Tata Steel and Cipla.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_FY27_and_FY28_EPS_estimates\"><\/span><strong>What are the FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Kotak sees Rs 1,227 for FY27 and Rs 1,398 for FY28. Consensus numbers from June 2026 may have changed.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_I_buy_stocks_based_on_Nifty_50_earnings_estimates\"><\/span><strong>Should I buy stocks based on Nifty 50 earnings estimates?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> This article does not constitute investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the expected growth in Nifty 50 earnings for Q2 FY27?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Estimates range from 21% (Kotak) to 27% (Motilal Oswal), with a four-brokerage compilation at 24.7%.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why do brokerages give different numbers for Nifty 50 earnings?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"They measure different company sets, such as the full Nifty 50, a wider coverage list or a list that drops oil marketing companies or financials.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which sectors lead Nifty 50 earnings growth?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Banks, NBFCs, metals, telecom, autos and oil and gas, according to Motilal Oswal and Kotak.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why is the road ahead called rocky?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Margin pressure at banks, higher input costs, FII outflows, high bond yields and West Asia tensions.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the expected profit in rupees?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"About Rs 2.35 trillion against Rs 1.88 trillion a year ago, slightly below the record Rs 2.37 trillion in Q1 FY27.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which companies may report lower profit?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Seven Nifty 50 companies, including ITC, Dr Reddy's, InterGlobe Aviation, Tata Steel and Cipla.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What are the FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Kotak sees Rs 1,227 for FY27 and Rs 1,398 for FY28. Consensus numbers from June 2026 may have changed.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Should I buy stocks based on Nifty 50 earnings estimates?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"This article does not constitute investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nifty 50 earnings are seen rising 21% to 27% in Q2 FY27. See sector drivers, margin pressure, FY27 estimates and risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":304835,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[11611,10419,5534,11608,11610,11609],"class_list":["post-304837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-earnings-estimates","tag-motilal-oswal","tag-net-interest-margin","tag-nifty-50-earnings","tag-nifty-50-q2-results","tag-q2-fy27-earnings-preview"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["304835"],"rank_math_title":["Nifty 50 Earnings Q2 FY27: Growth Seen, Risks Ahead"],"rank_math_description":["Nifty 50 earnings are seen rising 21% to 27% in Q2 FY27, the best in 12 to 17 quarters. See sector drivers, net interest margin pressure, FY27 estimates and risks."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["Nifty 50 earnings"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/nifty-50-earnings-may-surge-in-q2-but-the-road-ahead-is-rocky-q2-fy27-profit.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=304837"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304837\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":304840,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304837\/revisions\/304840"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/304835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=304837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=304837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=304837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}