{"id":303208,"date":"2026-10-12T17:21:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T11:51:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=303208"},"modified":"2026-10-12T17:21:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T11:51:34","slug":"jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/","title":{"rendered":"Jio IPO Valuation Likely at Rs 11 Lakh Crore: Will Mukesh Ambani&#8217;s RIL Gain, Do Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea Feel the Heat? Rs 30,200 Crore Issue, Motilal Oswal View, EV\/EBITDA, ARPU and Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Jio IPO valuation: likely near Rs 11 lakh crore ($114 bn), below the $130 to $170 bn discussed earlier. Issue of up to 27 crore new shares, about Rs 30,200 cr per the headline. Motilal Oswal: Jio Rs 11.2 lakh cr (12x FY28E EV\/EBITDA); Airtel India 10.3x. RIL owns about 66.4%.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Jio IPO valuation is likely to be about Rs 11 lakh crore ($114 billion), below the $130 billion to $170 billion discussed earlier, with a fresh issue of up to 27 crore shares that the headline says could raise about Rs 30,200 crore. Motilal Oswal values Jio at Rs 11.2 lakh crore, or about 12 times FY28E EV\/EBITDA, says the listing may set a benchmark for telecom valuations and sees room for Bharti Airtel to re-rate because its India business trades near 10.3 times. RIL gains through its roughly 66.4% stake, worth about Rs 7.44 lakh crore at that value, while Vodafone Idea looks stretched with net debt of 9.6 times FY28E EBITDA against 0.3 times for Airtel. The valuation and dates can still change, so the final price band in the prospectus will decide the actual numbers.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Jio IPO valuation has become the biggest talking point in Indian markets, because a Rs 11 lakh crore listing would make Jio Platforms the third most valuable listed company in India, behind Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel.<\/p>\n<p>The questions investors are asking are simple: is the Jio IPO valuation fair, does Reliance gain, and does Jio&#8217;s listing help or hurt Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea? This guide covers the valuation range, the issue size, Motilal Oswal&#8217;s numbers, the Jio versus Airtel comparison, what it means for RIL and the risks.<\/p>\n<p>A note on the numbers: reports differ on the issue size and valuation, and the final price band had not been announced in the sources I read. Where figures conflict, the difference is flagged.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Jio_IPO_Valuation_What_Is_Reported\" title=\"Jio IPO Valuation: What Is Reported\">Jio IPO Valuation: What Is Reported<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Why_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation_Is_Lower_Than_Expected\" title=\"Why the Jio IPO Valuation Is Lower Than Expected\">Why the Jio IPO Valuation Is Lower Than Expected<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Motilal_Oswal_on_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"Motilal Oswal on the Jio IPO Valuation\">Motilal Oswal on the Jio IPO Valuation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Jio_vs_Airtel_The_Numbers_Behind_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"Jio vs Airtel: The Numbers Behind the Jio IPO Valuation\">Jio vs Airtel: The Numbers Behind the Jio IPO Valuation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Will_RIL_Gain_From_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"Will RIL Gain From the Jio IPO Valuation?\">Will RIL Gain From the Jio IPO Valuation?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Do_Bharti_Airtel_and_Vodafone_Idea_Feel_the_Heat\" title=\"Do Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea Feel the Heat?\">Do Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea Feel the Heat?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Risks_Around_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"Risks Around the Jio IPO Valuation\">Risks Around the Jio IPO Valuation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#What_to_Watch_Next_for_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\" title=\"What to Watch Next for the Jio IPO Valuation\">What to Watch Next for the Jio IPO Valuation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#What_is_the_likely_Jio_IPO_valuation\" title=\"What is the likely Jio IPO valuation?\">What is the likely Jio IPO valuation?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#How_much_will_Jio_raise_in_the_IPO\" title=\"How much will Jio raise in the IPO?\">How much will Jio raise in the IPO?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#When_is_the_Jio_IPO_expected\" title=\"When is the Jio IPO expected?\">When is the Jio IPO expected?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#What_does_Motilal_Oswal_say_about_the_Jio_IPO_valuation\" title=\"What does Motilal Oswal say about the Jio IPO valuation?\">What does Motilal Oswal say about the Jio IPO valuation?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Will_RIL_gain_from_the_Jio_IPO\" title=\"Will RIL gain from the Jio IPO?\">Will RIL gain from the Jio IPO?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#How_does_the_Jio_IPO_affect_Bharti_Airtel\" title=\"How does the Jio IPO affect Bharti Airtel?\">How does the Jio IPO affect Bharti Airtel?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#How_does_it_affect_Vodafone_Idea\" title=\"How does it affect Vodafone Idea?\">How does it affect Vodafone Idea?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-ril-gain-bharti-airtel-vodafone-idea-feel-heat\/#Should_I_apply_for_the_Jio_IPO\" title=\"Should I apply for the Jio IPO?\">Should I apply for the Jio IPO?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Jio_IPO_Valuation_What_Is_Reported\"><\/span><strong>Jio IPO Valuation: What Is Reported<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Reported detail<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Likely Jio IPO valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 11 lakh crore ($114 billion)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Per Bloomberg; lower than earlier expectations<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earlier range<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">$130 billion to $170 billion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Discussed in earlier months<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Brokerage estimates of Jio IPO valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal $115 billion to $118 billion; Dolat Capital about $110 billion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal now uses Rs 11.2 lakh crore<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Issue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up to 27 crore new shares, about 2.93% of post-issue equity<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Bloomberg&#8217;s calculation; no offer for sale mentioned<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Raise<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 30,200 crore per the headline<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Another calculation gives Rs 32,000 crore to Rs 32,500 crore<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Timing<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Opening targeted for the week of 19 October; listing before 30 October<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Dates could change<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Bankers<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">19 banks, including Kotak, Morgan Stanley, BofA, Axis Capital, BNP Paribas, Citigroup<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Per BusinessToday<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>At Rs 11 lakh crore, Jio IPO valuation would sit just below Bharti Airtel at about $116 billion and well below Reliance at about $169 billion. The Rs 30,200 crore and Rs 32,000 crore figures differ because 2.75% and 2.93% of the equity give different totals (my calculation), so wait for the final issue size.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Check the Univest Screener for live data on telecom stocks<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation_Is_Lower_Than_Expected\"><\/span><strong>Why the Jio IPO Valuation Is Lower Than Expected<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Market mood: a stock rout has hit pricing ambitions across Indian IPOs, and the NSE offering was forced to downsize.<\/li>\n<li>Size: at about 2.93% of equity, the issue is large in rupees even at a lower valuation, and bankers want it fully subscribed.<\/li>\n<li>Comparison: Airtel&#8217;s India business trades at about 10.3 times FY28E EV\/EBITDA, so a much higher multiple in the Jio IPO valuation is hard to justify.<\/li>\n<li>Earlier talk of the Jio IPO valuation was high: figures of $130 billion to $170 billion were discussed before demand gauging.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>A lower Jio IPO valuation may help the issue sell well and leave room for gains after listing, but that depends on the price band and market conditions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track the Jio IPO and telecom stocks live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Motilal_Oswal_on_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>Motilal Oswal on the Jio IPO Valuation<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Motilal Oswal view<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Why it matters<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jio valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 11.2 lakh crore, about 12x FY28E EV\/EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Close to the likely IPO level<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Airtel India at market price<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">10.3x FY28E EV\/EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">At Rs 11 lakh crore, Jio would be about 17% higher<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Airtel discount to Jio<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">No case for a meaningful discount<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Airtel has stronger free cash flow and return on capital<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Tariffs<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">The Jio IPO and Vodafone Idea&#8217;s fundraise make the case for a tariff hike stronger<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Motilal Oswal assumes a 15% smartphone tariff hike in December 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">RIL target<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,530 retained<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Jio adds Rs 413 per RIL share after a 25% discount<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The key point is that the Jio IPO valuation becomes a yardstick. If Jio lists at about 12 times, Airtel at 10.3 times for its India business looks inexpensive, which is the basis for the re-rating argument.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Jio_vs_Airtel_The_Numbers_Behind_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>Jio vs Airtel: The Numbers Behind the Jio IPO Valuation<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Measure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Jio<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Bharti Airtel<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Paying wireless subscribers, FY26<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">497 million<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">373 million<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">ARPU, FY26<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 203<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 254<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">ARPU, FY29 projected<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 244<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 322<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Wireless revenue, FY26<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,180 billion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1,121 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Wireless EBITDA, FY26<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 698 billion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 680 billion<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Wireless EBITDA margin, FY26<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">54.2%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">60.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">EBITDA growth, FY20 to FY26 CAGR<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">21.6%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">26.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Jio has more subscribers and slightly higher revenue, but Airtel earns a higher ARPU and a higher margin. That is why Motilal Oswal argues Airtel should not trade at a discount to the Jio IPO valuation.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_RIL_Gain_From_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>Will RIL Gain From the Jio IPO Valuation?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">RIL stake in Jio<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 66.4%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Per Motilal Oswal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Value of the stake at Rs 11.2 lakh crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 7.44 lakh crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 550 per RIL share before discount<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Value at Rs 11 lakh crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 7.31 lakh crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">My calculation at 66.43%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">After a 25% holding-company discount<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 413 per RIL share<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Used in Motilal Oswal&#8217;s target<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Discount in RIL&#8217;s price<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">18% to 36% on the Jio stake<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Depends on the value given to retail<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>RIL gains in two ways: the listing sets a market price for its Jio stake, and it can narrow the holding-company discount. At this Jio IPO valuation, the fresh issue also dilutes Reliance only slightly, to about 64.5% if fully sold (my calculation from an earlier DRHP-based article).<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Do_Bharti_Airtel_and_Vodafone_Idea_Feel_the_Heat\"><\/span><strong>Do Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea Feel the Heat?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Measure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Vodafone Idea<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Bharti Airtel<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Net debt to FY28E EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">9.6x<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">0.3x<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">EV to FY28E EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">15.9x<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">7.3x<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Effect of Jio IPO valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A listing at 12x makes a 15.9x multiple look stretched<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A re-rating argument if Jio lists above 10.3x<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Tariff angle<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A fundraise and the Jio IPO strengthen the case for higher tariffs<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Benefits from any tariff hike<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Airtel may see the heat as a comparison, not as a threat, since the Jio IPO valuation could lift sector multiples. Vodafone Idea faces the sharper test because its debt is high, and it benefits only if tariffs rise.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_Around_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>Risks Around the Jio IPO Valuation<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Pricing change:<\/strong> The valuation and dates were reported as subject to change, and the price band was not yet announced.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Weak market:<\/strong> A stock rout has already forced other issuers to cut size or price.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Supply:<\/strong> Fresh equity of about Rs 30,000 crore or more can absorb a lot of investor money.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Lower ARPU:<\/strong> Jio&#8217;s ARPU of Rs 203 trails Airtel&#8217;s Rs 254, so growth depends on tariff hikes.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimate risk:<\/strong> Motilal Oswal&#8217;s figures for the Jio IPO valuation assume a 15% tariff increase in December 2026, which is not certain.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_Watch_Next_for_the_Jio_IPO_Valuation\"><\/span><strong>What to Watch Next for the Jio IPO Valuation<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>The price band, issue size and final Jio IPO valuation in the red herring prospectus.<\/li>\n<li>Anchor investor demand and subscription numbers.<\/li>\n<li>Any change to the opening date in the week of 19 October.<\/li>\n<li>Whether Airtel and Vodafone Idea react when the price band is announced.<\/li>\n<li>Tariff hike news from the three operators.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Jio IPO valuation near Rs 11 lakh crore is lower than hoped but still makes Jio the third most valuable listed company, and it gives RIL a clear market value for its stake. Airtel gains a benchmark and Vodafone Idea faces the toughest comparison. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any decision.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_likely_Jio_IPO_valuation\"><\/span><strong>What is the likely Jio IPO valuation?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> About Rs 11 lakh crore ($114 billion), per Bloomberg, lower than the $130 billion to $170 billion discussed earlier.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_much_will_Jio_raise_in_the_IPO\"><\/span><strong>How much will Jio raise in the IPO?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The headline says about Rs 30,200 crore from up to 27 crore new shares. Another calculation gives Rs 32,000 crore to Rs 32,500 crore.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"When_is_the_Jio_IPO_expected\"><\/span><strong>When is the Jio IPO expected?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> It is targeted to open in the week of 19 October and list before 30 October, but the dates could change.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_does_Motilal_Oswal_say_about_the_Jio_IPO_valuation\"><\/span><strong>What does Motilal Oswal say about the Jio IPO valuation?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> It values Jio at Rs 11.2 lakh crore, about 12 times FY28E EV\/EBITDA, and says the listing may influence telecom valuations.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_RIL_gain_from_the_Jio_IPO\"><\/span><strong>Will RIL gain from the Jio IPO?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> RIL owns about 66.4% of Jio, worth about Rs 7.44 lakh crore at Motilal Oswal&#8217;s value, and the IPO sets a market price for it.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_the_Jio_IPO_affect_Bharti_Airtel\"><\/span><strong>How does the Jio IPO affect Bharti Airtel?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Motilal Oswal sees room for Airtel to re-rate, since its India business trades near 10.3 times FY28E EV\/EBITDA against about 12 times for Jio.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_it_affect_Vodafone_Idea\"><\/span><strong>How does it affect Vodafone Idea?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Vodafone Idea has net debt of 9.6 times FY28E EBITDA, so it looks stretched next to Jio, and it benefits mainly if tariffs rise.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_I_apply_for_the_Jio_IPO\"><\/span><strong>Should I apply for the Jio IPO?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> This article does not constitute investment advice. Check the final price band and risks. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the likely Jio IPO valuation?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"About Rs 11 lakh crore ($114 billion), per Bloomberg, lower than the $130 billion to $170 billion discussed earlier.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How much will Jio raise in the IPO?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The headline says about Rs 30,200 crore from up to 27 crore new shares. 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Check the final price band and risks. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jio IPO valuation is likely near Rs 11 lakh crore. See what it means for RIL, Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea, the Motilal Oswal view and risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":303207,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[629,11406,8347,10419,4352,4126],"class_list":["post-303208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bharti-airtel","tag-jio-ipo-valuation","tag-jio-platforms-ipo","tag-motilal-oswal","tag-reliance-industries","tag-vodafone-idea"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["303207"],"rank_math_title":["Jio IPO Valuation at Rs 11 Lakh Crore: RIL, Airtel, Vodafone Idea"],"rank_math_description":["Jio IPO valuation is likely near Rs 11 lakh crore. See what it means for RIL, Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea, the Motilal Oswal view, issue size and risks."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["Jio IPO valuation"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/jio-ipo-valuation-likely-at-rs-11-lakh-crore-will-mukesh-ambani-s-ril-gain-do.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/28"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=303208"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303208\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":303209,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303208\/revisions\/303209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/303207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=303208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=303208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=303208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}