{"id":292725,"date":"2026-10-07T15:26:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T09:56:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=292725"},"modified":"2026-10-07T15:26:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T09:56:12","slug":"rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"Rupee Undervalued, RBI Governor Says, Even as He Promises Stability: What Sanjay Malhotra Said on 7 October, Why the Rupee Hit 97 Against the Dollar, the RBI&#8217;s Tools and What It Means for Importers, Exporters and Investors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>7 Oct: Governor says rupee may be undervalued per REER. Rupee hit 97.15, lowest since 20 May. RBI to ensure stability, no excessive volatility. Repo hiked to 5.50%.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Rupee undervalued was the message from RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra on 7 October, when he said that by a number of estimates, including the real effective exchange rate, the rupee is not overvalued and may be undervalued, while promising that the RBI will ensure it stabilises and finds its correct value. He added that the RBI will support an orderly movement and prevent excessive volatility, and that markets can be irrational in the short term but reflect value over time, even as the rupee weakened to 97.15 against the dollar, its lowest since 20 May 2026, after opening near 96.57. The pressure comes from the West Asia conflict, oil near $100, record foreign equity selling and strong dollar demand, and the RBI has used a concessional swap window for FCNR(B) deposits and bond issuances plus a 25 bps rate hike to 5.50%. The Governor&#8217;s comments do not set a rate, so importers, travellers and borrowers should plan for volatility while exporters gain.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Rupee undervalued is a rare phrase from a central bank that normally avoids comment on the level, and it follows a similar remark by Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta on 24 September that there is a case for the rupee to stabilise and appreciate. The currency has lost about 9% against the dollar since November 2025, when it traded near 88.7.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to know what the Governor said and what it means, this article covers the rupee undervalued remarks, the rupee vs dollar move from 96.57 to 97.15, why it is weak with oil and dollar demand, what REER says, the tools the RBI governor is using including the FCNR(B) swap window and volatility control, who gains, such as TCS and other exporters, and who loses, scenarios and what to watch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#What_the_Governor_Said_The_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\" title=\"What the Governor Said: The Rupee Undervalued Remarks\">What the Governor Said: The Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Rupee_Undervalued_but_Weak_The_Rupee_vs_Dollar_Move\" title=\"Rupee Undervalued but Weak: The Rupee vs Dollar Move\">Rupee Undervalued but Weak: The Rupee vs Dollar Move<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Why_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Claim_Coexists_With_a_Weak_Rupee\" title=\"Why the Rupee Undervalued Claim Coexists With a Weak Rupee\">Why the Rupee Undervalued Claim Coexists With a Weak Rupee<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#RBI_Tools_Behind_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Message\" title=\"RBI Tools Behind the Rupee Undervalued Message\">RBI Tools Behind the Rupee Undervalued Message<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Who_Gains_and_Who_Loses_When_the_Rupee_Is_Weak\" title=\"Who Gains and Who Loses When the Rupee Is Weak\">Who Gains and Who Loses When the Rupee Is Weak<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Scenarios_After_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\" title=\"Scenarios After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks\">Scenarios After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Risks_to_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Case_If_the_Rupee_Keeps_Falling\" title=\"Risks to the Rupee Undervalued Case If the Rupee Keeps Falling\">Risks to the Rupee Undervalued Case If the Rupee Keeps Falling<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#What_to_Watch_Next_After_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\" title=\"What to Watch Next After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks\">What to Watch Next After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#What_did_the_RBI_Governor_say_about_the_rupee\" title=\"What did the RBI Governor say about the rupee?\">What did the RBI Governor say about the rupee?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Where_is_the_rupee_vs_dollar_rate\" title=\"Where is the rupee vs dollar rate?\">Where is the rupee vs dollar rate?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#What_does_REER_mean\" title=\"What does REER mean?\">What does REER mean?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Why_is_the_rupee_falling_if_it_is_undervalued\" title=\"Why is the rupee falling if it is undervalued?\">Why is the rupee falling if it is undervalued?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#What_is_the_RBI_doing_to_support_the_rupee\" title=\"What is the RBI doing to support the rupee?\">What is the RBI doing to support the rupee?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Who_benefits_from_a_weak_rupee\" title=\"Who benefits from a weak rupee?\">Who benefits from a weak rupee?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Will_the_RBI_defend_a_particular_rupee_level\" title=\"Will the RBI defend a particular rupee level?\">Will the RBI defend a particular rupee level?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-malhotra-stability-rupee-97-dollar-impact\/#Should_I_buy_dollars_or_foreign_assets_now\" title=\"Should I buy dollars or foreign assets now?\">Should I buy dollars or foreign assets now?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_the_Governor_Said_The_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\"><\/span><strong>What the Governor Said: The Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Topic<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Governor Malhotra&#8217;s remark on 7 October<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Valuation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">By a number of estimates, including the REER, the rupee is not overvalued and may be undervalued<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Stability<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">The RBI will ensure the rupee stabilises and finds its correct value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Orderly movement<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">It will support orderly movement and ensure no excessive volatility<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Market behaviour<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Markets can be irrational in the short term but reflect the right value in the long run<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">External sector<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Headwinds affected capital flows, and pressure on the current account is temporary<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earlier signal<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta said on 24 September that there is a case for the rupee to stabilise and appreciate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The RBI has said before that it does not target a level for the rupee, so the rupee undervalued message is about volatility and not about a fixed rate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Check the Univest Screener for live data on exporters and importers<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rupee_Undervalued_but_Weak_The_Rupee_vs_Dollar_Move\"><\/span><strong>Rupee Undervalued but Weak: The Rupee vs Dollar Move<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Date<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Rupee per dollar<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Late November 2025<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 88.7<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Earlier reading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">29 September 2026<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 96.39 high<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rupee weakened 0.2% that day<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">7 October, early trade<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 96.57, down 22 paise<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">After the rate hike<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">7 October, intraday<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">97.15<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Lowest since 20 May 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fall since November 2025<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About 9%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">88.7 to 97.15, my calculation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Even with the rupee undervalued on REER, the currency recovered for only a few days after the RBI opened a concessional swap facility for FCNR(B) deposits and bond issuances, but it has weakened again in recent sessions.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Claim_Coexists_With_a_Weak_Rupee\"><\/span><strong>Why the Rupee Undervalued Claim Coexists With a Weak Rupee<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Oil near $100 raises India&#8217;s import bill and the demand for dollars.<\/li>\n<li>The West Asia conflict and global uncertainty push investors toward the dollar.<\/li>\n<li>Foreign investors have sold a record amount of Indian equities this year.<\/li>\n<li>US Treasury yields near 5.3% and a strong dollar attract global capital to the US.<\/li>\n<li>Importers and oil companies buy dollars aggressively when the rupee falls, which can feed the slide.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>A rupee undervalued on REER, which adjusts for inflation differences against trading partners, can still weaken in the short run, because flows and sentiment drive the market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track the rupee, crude oil and bond yields live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"RBI_Tools_Behind_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Message\"><\/span><strong>RBI Tools Behind the Rupee Undervalued Message<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Tool<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">What it does<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Status<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Concessional swap window<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Offers swaps on concessional terms for FCNR(B) deposits and bond issuances to attract dollars<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Banks mobilised large FCNR(B) inflows<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Forex intervention<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Selling dollars to smooth sharp falls<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Available; the RBI says it does not target a level<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Interest rates<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A 25 bps hike to 5.50% narrows the rate gap with the US<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Done on 7 October<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Forex reserves<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A buffer to support orderly moves<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">The RBI has called them healthy earlier<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Communication<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Statements on valuation and stability to anchor expectations<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">The undervalued remark<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>These tools can slow a fall and support the rupee undervalued message but cannot reverse global forces such as oil and US yields.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Who_Gains_and_Who_Loses_When_the_Rupee_Is_Weak\"><\/span><strong>Who Gains and Who Loses When the Rupee Is Weak<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Group<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Effect<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Why<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">IT and pharma exporters<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gain<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Dollar revenue converts into more rupees; TCS reports on 8 October<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Importers and oil marketing companies<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Lose<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Costlier crude and imports<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Students and travellers abroad<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Lose<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Higher cost of fees and travel<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Borrowers with foreign currency loans<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Lose<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Repayments cost more rupees<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Foreign investors in India<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Lose in dollar returns<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">A weak rupee cuts the value of gains<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gold buyers in India<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Cushioned<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gold is down less in rupees than in dollars<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Inflation<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Higher<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Imported inflation adds to the RBI&#8217;s concern<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The rupee undervalued remark does not change who gains and who loses from a weak currency, only how long the RBI expects the pressure to last.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Scenarios_After_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\"><\/span><strong>Scenarios After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Scenario<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">What would drive it<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Effect<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rupee stabilises near 96 to 97<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Oil eases, RBI swap inflows and calmer markets<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Supports equities and bonds<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rupee recovers toward 94 to 95<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Oil falls and foreign flows return<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Helps importers and inflation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rupee weakens past 98<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Oil spikes, US yields rise and FPI selling continues<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Raises inflation and RBI pressure<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>The scenario table for the rupee undervalued debate is illustrative and not a forecast.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Case_If_the_Rupee_Keeps_Falling\"><\/span><strong>Risks to the Rupee Undervalued Case If the Rupee Keeps Falling<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Imported inflation:<\/strong> A weaker rupee can push CPI above the RBI&#8217;s 5.2% forecast.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rate pressure:<\/strong> A further fall may force more rate hikes, such as the December hike some economists expect.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Foreign flows:<\/strong> A falling rupee can trigger more equity selling and test the rupee undervalued view.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oil shock:<\/strong> A spike in crude would raise the import bill again.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Credibility:<\/strong> The rupee undervalued claim raises expectations that the RBI must meet with action.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_to_Watch_Next_After_the_Rupee_Undervalued_Remarks\"><\/span><strong>What to Watch Next After the Rupee Undervalued Remarks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>The rupee level against the 97 mark and the RBI&#8217;s intervention.<\/li>\n<li>Crude oil prices and West Asia developments.<\/li>\n<li>FCNR(B) and other inflows under the swap window.<\/li>\n<li>Foreign portfolio flows and US Treasury yields.<\/li>\n<li>September inflation data and the next RBI policy in December.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The RBI Governor said the rupee undervalued by a number of estimates, including REER, and promised stability, yet the rupee slid to 97.15 against the dollar on 7 October, its lowest since May. Oil, foreign selling and dollar demand are the forces to watch, and the RBI&#8217;s tools can smooth but not reverse them. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any decision.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_did_the_RBI_Governor_say_about_the_rupee\"><\/span><strong>What did the RBI Governor say about the rupee?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> On the rupee undervalued question, Sanjay Malhotra said that by a number of estimates, including REER, the rupee is not overvalued and may be undervalued, and the RBI will ensure it stabilises.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Where_is_the_rupee_vs_dollar_rate\"><\/span><strong>Where is the rupee vs dollar rate?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> It opened near 96.57 on 7 October and weakened to 97.15, its lowest since 20 May 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_does_REER_mean\"><\/span><strong>What does REER mean?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The real effective exchange rate measures a currency against a basket of trading partners, adjusted for inflation differences.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_the_rupee_falling_if_it_is_undervalued\"><\/span><strong>Why is the rupee falling if it is undervalued?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Oil near $100, the West Asia conflict, foreign equity selling and strong dollar demand drive short-term moves.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_RBI_doing_to_support_the_rupee\"><\/span><strong>What is the RBI doing to support the rupee?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Behind the rupee undervalued message, a concessional swap window for FCNR(B) deposits and bond issuances, intervention to curb volatility and a 25 bps rate hike to 5.50%.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Who_benefits_from_a_weak_rupee\"><\/span><strong>Who benefits from a weak rupee?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> In the rupee undervalued debate, exporters such as IT and pharma companies gain, while importers, students abroad and oil marketing companies lose.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_the_RBI_defend_a_particular_rupee_level\"><\/span><strong>Will the RBI defend a particular rupee level?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The RBI has said it does not target a level, and the rupee undervalued remark aims to prevent excessive volatility.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_I_buy_dollars_or_foreign_assets_now\"><\/span><strong>Should I buy dollars or foreign assets now?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> This article does not constitute investment advice. Currency moves are uncertain even with the rupee undervalued. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What did the RBI Governor say about the rupee?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"On the rupee undervalued question, Sanjay Malhotra said that by a number of estimates, including REER, the rupee is not overvalued and may be undervalued, and the RBI will ensure it stabilises.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Where is the rupee vs dollar rate?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"It opened near 96.57 on 7 October and weakened to 97.15, its lowest since 20 May 2026.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What does REER mean?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The real effective exchange rate measures a currency against a basket of trading partners, adjusted for inflation differences.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why is the rupee falling if it is undervalued?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Oil near $100, the West Asia conflict, foreign equity selling and strong dollar demand drive short-term moves.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the RBI doing to support the rupee?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Behind the rupee undervalued message, a concessional swap window for FCNR(B) deposits and bond issuances, intervention to curb volatility and a 25 bps rate hike to 5.50%.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Who benefits from a weak rupee?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"In the rupee undervalued debate, exporters such as IT and pharma companies gain, while importers, students abroad and oil marketing companies lose.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Will the RBI defend a particular rupee level?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The RBI has said it does not target a level, and the rupee undervalued remark aims to prevent excessive volatility.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Should I buy dollars or foreign assets now?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"This article does not constitute investment advice. Currency moves are uncertain even with the rupee undervalued. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rupee undervalued, says RBI Governor, as the rupee hit 97.15. See the remarks, why the rupee is weak, RBI tools and the impact.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":292724,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[7491,9685,9683,9684,9682,4816],"class_list":["post-292725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-currency","tag-fcnr-swap","tag-rbi-governor","tag-reer","tag-rupee-undervalued","tag-rupee-vs-dollar"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["292724"],"rank_math_title":["Rupee Undervalued, Says RBI Governor: Rupee Near 97 vs Dollar"],"rank_math_description":["Rupee undervalued, says RBI Governor Malhotra, as the rupee hit 97.15 against the dollar. See what he said, why the rupee is weak, RBI tools and the impact on you."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["rupee undervalued"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/rupee-undervalued-rbi-governor-says-even-as-he-promises-stability-what-sanjay.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=292725"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292725\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":292726,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292725\/revisions\/292726"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/292724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=292725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=292725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=292725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}