{"id":286935,"date":"2026-10-05T12:59:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:29:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=286935"},"modified":"2026-10-05T12:59:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T07:29:40","slug":"nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/","title":{"rendered":"Nykaa Share Price Jumps 6% After a Strong Q2 FY27 Update: Late-Twenties Revenue Growth, Fashion Up Over 40%, Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Rs 356 Target and What Lies Ahead for Investors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Nykaa +6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 Oct. Q2 GMV near 30%, NSV early 30s, revenue late 20s. Fashion revenue early 40s. 338 stores. Morgan Stanley target Rs 356.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Nykaa share price jumped as much as 6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 October after its Q2 FY27 business update showed consolidated GMV growth close to 30%, net sales value growth in the early thirties and net revenue growth in the late twenties, even though festive demand shifted into Q3. Fashion was the standout, with net revenue up in the early forties and NSV in the late forties, while Beauty grew in the late twenties and the store count reached 338. Morgan Stanley kept an Overweight rating with a Rs 356 target, about 10% upside, and said revenue growth beat its 26% estimate. At about Rs 338 the stock trades at a steep multiple of earnings, so the full Q2 results on margins and profit matter as much as the growth numbers.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Nykaa share price rose as much as 6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 October, from a previous close of Rs 323.20, after FSN E-Commerce Ventures, the operator of Nykaa, released a provisional Q2 FY27 business update. The stock is now close to its 52-week high of about Rs 344.90.<\/p>\n<p>If you are searching for what lies ahead for Nykaa investors, this article covers the Nykaa Q2 update, the Nykaa target price from Morgan Stanley, GMV and NSV growth, Beauty and Fashion growth, House of Nykaa, like-for-like store sales, the Nike partnership, the festive shift into Q3, Q1 FY27 profit and EBITDA margin, valuation and the risks. The update is provisional, so recheck all figures against the final results.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\">Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Why_Is_Nykaa_Share_Price_Rising_Today\" title=\"Why Is Nykaa Share Price Rising Today?\">Why Is Nykaa Share Price Rising Today?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Nykaa_Q2_FY27_Business_Update_Numbers_Behind_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\" title=\"Nykaa Q2 FY27 Business Update: Numbers Behind the Nykaa Share Price\">Nykaa Q2 FY27 Business Update: Numbers Behind the Nykaa Share Price<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Fashion_Is_the_Growth_Engine_for_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\" title=\"Fashion Is the Growth Engine for the Nykaa Share Price\">Fashion Is the Growth Engine for the Nykaa Share Price<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Nykaa_Q1_FY27_Results_The_Profit_Base_for_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\" title=\"Nykaa Q1 FY27 Results: The Profit Base for the Nykaa Share Price\">Nykaa Q1 FY27 Results: The Profit Base for the Nykaa Share Price<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Morgan_Stanleys_Nykaa_Target_Price_and_Estimates\" title=\"Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Nykaa Target Price and Estimates\">Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Nykaa Target Price and Estimates<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Nykaa_Share_Price_Levels_to_Watch\" title=\"Nykaa Share Price Levels to Watch\">Nykaa Share Price Levels to Watch<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Risks_Behind_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\" title=\"Risks Behind the Nykaa Share Price\">Risks Behind the Nykaa Share Price<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#What_Should_Investors_Watch_Next_for_Nykaa\" title=\"What Should Investors Watch Next for Nykaa?\">What Should Investors Watch Next for Nykaa?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Why_is_Nykaa_share_price_rising_today\" title=\"Why is Nykaa share price rising today?\">Why is Nykaa share price rising today?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#What_did_Nykaa_say_in_its_Q2_FY27_business_update\" title=\"What did Nykaa say in its Q2 FY27 business update?\">What did Nykaa say in its Q2 FY27 business update?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#What_is_the_Nykaa_target_price\" title=\"What is the Nykaa target price?\">What is the Nykaa target price?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#How_did_festive_timing_affect_Nykaa_Q2\" title=\"How did festive timing affect Nykaa Q2?\">How did festive timing affect Nykaa Q2?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#What_were_Nykaas_Q1_FY27_results\" title=\"What were Nykaa&#8217;s Q1 FY27 results?\">What were Nykaa&#8217;s Q1 FY27 results?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#How_many_stores_does_Nykaa_have\" title=\"How many stores does Nykaa have?\">How many stores does Nykaa have?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Is_Nykaa_share_price_expensive\" title=\"Is Nykaa share price expensive?\">Is Nykaa share price expensive?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nykaa-share-price-q2-fy27-update-morgan-stanley-target\/#Is_Nykaa_a_good_stock_to_buy_now\" title=\"Is Nykaa a good stock to buy now?\">Is Nykaa a good stock to buy now?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Is_Nykaa_Share_Price_Rising_Today\"><\/span><strong>Why Is Nykaa Share Price Rising Today?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Nykaa share price is rising because the Nykaa Q2 update showed growth holding near 30% across both verticals, and Fashion accelerated further. Morgan Stanley called it a beat, with consolidated revenue growth tracking in the high twenties against its own estimate of 26%.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nykaa_Q2_FY27_Business_Update_Numbers_Behind_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\"><\/span><strong>Nykaa Q2 FY27 Business Update: Numbers Behind the Nykaa Share Price<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Metric<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Q2 FY27 provisional growth<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Note<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consolidated GMV<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Close to 30%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Gross merchandise value, year on year<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consolidated NSV<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Early thirties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Net sales value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Consolidated net revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Late twenties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Below NSV growth<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Beauty NSV and net revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Late twenties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Steady<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fashion NSV<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Late forties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Accelerating<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fashion net revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Early forties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Faster than Beauty<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Beauty stores<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">338, up 14 in the quarter<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">From 324 at the end of June<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Beauty like-for-like store sales<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Early twenties<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Strongest in six quarters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Nykaa said festive-led growth shifted from Q2 to Q3 this year because of the calendar. That means Q2 growth held up without much festive help, and Q3 can benefit from Navratri, Dussehra and Diwali all falling in the quarter, which supports the Nykaa share price.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\">Check the Univest Screener for live data on consumer and retail stocks<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fashion_Is_the_Growth_Engine_for_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\"><\/span><strong>Fashion Is the Growth Engine for the Nykaa Share Price<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Fashion NSV growth in the late forties and net revenue growth in the early forties is the headline. Nykaa added more than 250 brands in the quarter, and its partnership with Nike showed early traction. In Q1 FY27 the fashion business grew NSV 54% to Rs 451 crore and its EBITDA turned positive at Rs 0.4 crore, a margin of 0.1% against minus 6.2% a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley estimated Fashion net revenue growth in the low fifties, above Nykaa&#8217;s own early-forties range, so the Street may be a little ahead of the company on this vertical.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nykaa_Q1_FY27_Results_The_Profit_Base_for_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\"><\/span><strong>Nykaa Q1 FY27 Results: The Profit Base for the Nykaa Share Price<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Q1 FY27 metric<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Figure<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Net revenue<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 2,782 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 29%, fastest in 13 quarters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">GMV<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 5,590 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 34%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">EBITDA<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 236 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 68%, margin 8.5% against 6.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Profit after tax<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 80 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 226%, margin 2.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Beauty EBITDA margin<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">10.3%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up from 9.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">House of Nykaa<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Annualised GMV about Rs 3,758 crore<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Up 39%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Gross margin rose 123 basis points to 45.9% on a higher share of House of Nykaa brands and marketing income from brand partners. FSN E-Commerce also bought a 51% stake in Aminu Wellness in the quarter. FY26 revenue was Rs 10,022 crore, up 26%, with profit of Rs 203.94 crore.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track the Nykaa share price and consumer stocks live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Morgan_Stanleys_Nykaa_Target_Price_and_Estimates\"><\/span><strong>Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Nykaa Target Price and Estimates<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Item<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Morgan Stanley view<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rating and target<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Overweight, target Rs 356, about 10% upside<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Q2 consolidated revenue growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">High twenties, above its 26% estimate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Beauty revenue growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">High twenties, against its 25% estimate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Fashion net revenue growth<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Low fifties, against its 35% estimate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">FY27 revenue estimate<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 12,832 crore, up about 28%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">FY28 and FY29 revenue estimates<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 16,395 crore and Rs 20,890 crore<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">EPS estimates, FY27 to FY29<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 1.53, Rs 2.53 and Rs 3.97<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>On those EPS estimates and a price near Rs 338, the Nykaa share price trades at about 221 times FY27 earnings, 134 times FY28 and 85 times FY29, my arithmetic on the cited figures. The valuation depends on earnings growing far faster than revenue, which is why margins matter for the Nykaa share price.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nykaa_Share_Price_Levels_to_Watch\"><\/span><strong>Nykaa Share Price Levels to Watch<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Level<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align:left;padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;background:#0A0E1A;color:#FFFFFF;\">Why it matters<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 356<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Morgan Stanley target<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 344.90<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">52-week high as of August<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 342.95<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">5 October intraday high<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">About Rs 338<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Price later in the morning on 5 October<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Rs 323.20<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #DDDDDD;\">Previous close, now support<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>These are reference levels for the Nykaa share price, not forecasts.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_Behind_the_Nykaa_Share_Price\"><\/span><strong>Risks Behind the Nykaa Share Price<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Valuation:<\/strong> At more than 100 times forward earnings, even a small miss can hit the Nykaa share price.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Provisional data:<\/strong> The Nykaa Q2 update gives growth bands and no profit or margin figures, so the Nykaa share price is trading on incomplete data.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Festive timing:<\/strong> Q3 must deliver the festive growth that moved out of Q2, or the Nykaa share price may fade.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fashion margins:<\/strong> Fashion EBITDA is near zero, so heavy growth spending could weigh on profit.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Competition:<\/strong> Beauty rivals and online platforms keep pressure on discounts and marketing costs.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Should_Investors_Watch_Next_for_Nykaa\"><\/span><strong>What Should Investors Watch Next for Nykaa?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>The full Q2 FY27 results, especially EBITDA margin against 8.5% in Q1.<\/li>\n<li>Fashion EBITDA after it turned positive in Q1.<\/li>\n<li>Festive-quarter growth in Q3 across Beauty and Fashion.<\/li>\n<li>Beauty store additions and like-for-like store growth.<\/li>\n<li>House of Nykaa growth and the Aminu Wellness integration.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Nykaa share price jumped as much as 6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 October after a Q2 FY27 update showing GMV growth near 30%, late-twenties net revenue growth and a Fashion vertical growing in the forties. Morgan Stanley sees a Rs 356 target, but the multiple is steep, so margins in the Q2 results will decide whether the Nykaa share price rally holds. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any decision.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_Nykaa_share_price_rising_today\"><\/span><strong>Why is Nykaa share price rising today?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Nykaa share price rose as much as 6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 October after the Q2 FY27 update showed GMV growth near 30% and late-twenties revenue growth.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_did_Nykaa_say_in_its_Q2_FY27_business_update\"><\/span><strong>What did Nykaa say in its Q2 FY27 business update?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> FSN E-Commerce expects consolidated GMV growth near 30%, NSV in the early thirties and net revenue in the late twenties. Fashion NSV grows in the late forties and Beauty in the late twenties.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_Nykaa_target_price\"><\/span><strong>What is the Nykaa target price?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Morgan Stanley has an Overweight rating and a target of Rs 356, about 10% upside from Rs 323.20. This is one brokerage&#8217;s estimate and not guaranteed.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_did_festive_timing_affect_Nykaa_Q2\"><\/span><strong>How did festive timing affect Nykaa Q2?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Nykaa said festive-led growth shifted from Q2 to Q3 this year, so Q2 growth held without much festive help, which supported the Nykaa share price.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_were_Nykaas_Q1_FY27_results\"><\/span><strong>What were Nykaa&#8217;s Q1 FY27 results?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Revenue rose 29% to Rs 2,782 crore, EBITDA 68% to Rs 236 crore at an 8.5% margin, and profit 226% to Rs 80 crore.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_many_stores_does_Nykaa_have\"><\/span><strong>How many stores does Nykaa have?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Nykaa had 338 Beauty stores at the end of September after adding 14 in the quarter, from 324 at the end of June.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_Nykaa_share_price_expensive\"><\/span><strong>Is Nykaa share price expensive?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> On Morgan Stanley&#8217;s EPS estimates, the stock trades at about 221 times FY27 earnings and 134 times FY28. That is a high premium that needs strong profit growth.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_Nykaa_a_good_stock_to_buy_now\"><\/span><strong>Is Nykaa a good stock to buy now?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> This article does not constitute investment advice. The growth is strong but the valuation is steep. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why is Nykaa share price rising today?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Nykaa share price rose as much as 6.1% to Rs 342.95 on 5 October after the Q2 FY27 update showed GMV growth near 30% and late-twenties revenue growth.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What did Nykaa say in its Q2 FY27 business update?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"FSN E-Commerce expects consolidated GMV growth near 30%, NSV in the early thirties and net revenue in the late twenties. Fashion NSV grows in the late forties and Beauty in the late twenties.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the Nykaa target price?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Morgan Stanley has an Overweight rating and a target of Rs 356, about 10% upside from Rs 323.20. This is one brokerage's estimate and not guaranteed.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How did festive timing affect Nykaa Q2?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Nykaa said festive-led growth shifted from Q2 to Q3 this year, so Q2 growth held without much festive help, which supported the Nykaa share price.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What were Nykaa's Q1 FY27 results?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Revenue rose 29% to Rs 2,782 crore, EBITDA 68% to Rs 236 crore at an 8.5% margin, and profit 226% to Rs 80 crore.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How many stores does Nykaa have?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Nykaa had 338 Beauty stores at the end of September after adding 14 in the quarter, from 324 at the end of June.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is Nykaa share price expensive?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"On Morgan Stanley's EPS estimates, the stock trades at about 221 times FY27 earnings and 134 times FY28. That is a high premium that needs strong profit growth.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is Nykaa a good stock to buy now?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"This article does not constitute investment advice. The growth is strong but the valuation is steep. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nykaa share price jumped 6% after a strong Q2 FY27 update. See GMV, Beauty and Fashion growth, Morgan Stanley&#8217;s Rs 356 target and risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":286934,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[8171,8172,8169,8170,7199,8168,8072],"class_list":["post-286935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-beauty-stocks","tag-fashion","tag-fsn-e-commerce","tag-morgan-stanley","tag-nykaa","tag-nykaa-share-price","tag-q2-business-update"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["286934"],"rank_math_title":["Nykaa Share Price Jumps 6% on Strong Q2 Update: What Next?"],"rank_math_description":["Nykaa share price jumped 6% to Rs 342.95 on its Q2 FY27 update: GMV near 30%, Fashion up over 40%. See Morgan Stanley's Rs 356 target and what lies ahead for investors."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["Nykaa share price"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/nykaa-share-price-jumps-6-after-a-strong-q2-fy27-update-late-twenties-revenue.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286935","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=286935"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286935\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":286936,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286935\/revisions\/286936"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/286934"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=286935"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=286935"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=286935"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}