{"id":284675,"date":"2026-10-01T15:50:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T10:20:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=284675"},"modified":"2026-10-01T15:50:05","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T10:20:05","slug":"commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodity Market Prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Nifty Commodities index at 9,130.25, down 1.93%. Crude oil jumped 2.11% while gold, silver, natural gas, copper and zinc all eased. Markets shut Friday for Gandhi Jayanti, plus the weekend.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">The commodity market prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026, is mixed. Crude oil jumped on Thursday while gold, silver, natural gas, copper and zinc all eased, even as India VIX spiked 7.64 percent to 14.52, its sharpest single-day jump since late September, as broad-based selling hit most sectors, with Nifty Auto and Nifty Metal the worst hit even as Nifty IT bucked the trend entirely and rallied. Since Indian markets are shut Friday for Gandhi Jayanti and through the weekend, Thursday&#8217;s close remains the last available data until Monday.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Thursday, 1 October 2026, split the commodity complex. The Nifty Commodities index, a broad gauge of commodity-linked equities, fell 1.93 percent to 9,130.25, even as crude oil jumped 2.11 percent. Gold, silver, natural gas, copper and zinc all eased the same session.<\/p>\n<p>Univest&#8217;s desk will revisit this commodity market prediction for monday once Monday&#8217;s opening trade confirms direction.<\/p>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla at Univest note that the outlook for Monday hinges on whether crude oil&#8217;s rally extends once trading resumes, since that same pressure also weighed on broader equity markets through higher input costs and inflation concerns on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=commoditymarket\">Click Here \u2013 Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Commodity_Snapshot_for_Monday\" title=\"Commodity Snapshot for Monday\">Commodity Snapshot for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Key_Drivers_for_the_Commodity_Market_Monday\" title=\"Key Drivers for the Commodity Market Monday\">Key Drivers for the Commodity Market Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Stocks_to_Watch_Alongside_the_Commodity_Market\" title=\"Stocks to Watch Alongside the Commodity Market\">Stocks to Watch Alongside the Commodity Market<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_This_Is_Written_for_Monday\" title=\"Why This Is Written for Monday\">Why This Is Written for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Risks_to_the_Commodity_Market_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Risks to the Commodity Market Prediction for Monday\">Risks to the Commodity Market Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#What_is_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_5_October_2026\" title=\"What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026?\">What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_is_this_a_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_instead_of_tomorrow\" title=\"Why is this a commodity market prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?\">Why is this a commodity market prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_rally_on_Thursday\" title=\"Why did crude oil rally on Thursday?\">Why did crude oil rally on Thursday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#How_does_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_affect_stock_markets\" title=\"How does the commodity market prediction for Monday affect stock markets?\">How does the commodity market prediction for Monday affect stock markets?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#What_should_traders_watch_in_Mondays_commodity_market_session\" title=\"What should traders watch in Monday&#8217;s commodity market session?\">What should traders watch in Monday&#8217;s commodity market session?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Commodity_Snapshot_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Commodity Snapshot for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin-bottom:16px;\">\n<tr>\n<th style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Commodity<\/th>\n<th style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Price<\/th>\n<th style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Crude Oil (bbl)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 8,918<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">+2.11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Gold (10g)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 149,540<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">+0.34%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Silver (kg)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 224,568<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">+0.39%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Natural Gas (mmBtu)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 285.90<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">-1.52%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Copper (kg)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 1,393.90<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">-0.55%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Zinc (kg)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">Rs 411.80<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:8px;border:1px solid #ddd;\">-1.12%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Drivers_for_the_Commodity_Market_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Key Drivers for the Commodity Market Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.<\/li>\n<li>India VIX spiked 7.64 percent to 14.52, its sharpest single-day jump since late September, as broad-based selling hit most sectors, with Nifty Auto and Nifty Metal the worst hit even as Nifty IT bucked the trend entirely and rallied.<\/li>\n<li>Industrial metals eased alongside the broader risk-off mood, with Nifty Metal down 2.35 percent, one of Thursday&#8217;s worst-performing sectors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Traders relying on this commodity market prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Stocks_to_Watch_Alongside_the_Commodity_Market\"><\/span><strong>Stocks to Watch Alongside the Commodity Market<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance Industries<\/a> is the most direct large-cap proxy for crude oil swings and fell 1.63 percent on Thursday even as crude itself rallied, since higher input costs for refining outweighed any upstream benefit. <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ongc\/oil--and--natural-gas-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">Oil and Natural Gas Corporation<\/a>, an upstream producer, also fell 1.52 percent despite the firmer crude price, a divergence worth watching once trading resumes Monday.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_This_Is_Written_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Why This Is Written for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Indian markets are closed Friday, 2 October 2026, for Gandhi Jayanti, as well as Saturday and Sunday, so Thursday&#8217;s closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes on Monday, 5 October 2026. Treat this commodity market prediction for monday as a briefing to prepare for that session, not a live call that updates over the long weekend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Track Commodity-Linked Stocks on Univest Screeners<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_the_Commodity_Market_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Risks to the Commodity Market Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Any further escalation in the factors behind Thursday&#8217;s crude oil rally could push prices higher still over the long weekend.<\/li>\n<li>Unexpected US Federal Reserve commentary could move the US Dollar Index and the entire commodity complex.<\/li>\n<li>Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term price swings.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>As with any commodity market prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday&#8217;s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.<\/p>\n<p><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to get daily market recommendations and insightful research pieces.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The commodity market prediction for Monday stays mixed, with crude oil the clear outlier on the upside while gold, silver, natural gas, copper and zinc all eased. Whether that crude strength extends is the key variable heading into 5 October 2026.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_5_October_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The commodity market prediction for Monday is mixed, with crude oil up 2.11 percent while gold, silver, natural gas, copper and zinc all eased, based on Thursday&#8217;s MCX closing prices.<\/p>\n<p>This commodity market prediction for monday is built from Thursday&#8217;s verified market data, since markets are shut through the long weekend.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_this_a_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_instead_of_tomorrow\"><\/span><strong>Why is this a commodity market prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Because Indian markets are closed Friday, 2 October 2026, for Gandhi Jayanti, as well as Saturday and Sunday, so the next trading session is Monday, 5 October 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_rally_on_Thursday\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil rally on Thursday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil rallied on Thursday because crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_affect_stock_markets\"><\/span><strong>How does the commodity market prediction for Monday affect stock markets?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Rising crude oil raises India&#8217;s import bill and inflation risk, and Thursday&#8217;s rally coincided with a sharp sell-off across most of the Indian equity market.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_should_traders_watch_in_Mondays_commodity_market_session\"><\/span><strong>What should traders watch in Monday&#8217;s commodity market session?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Traders should watch whether crude oil&#8217;s rally extends, along with India VIX and any weekend developments, for Monday&#8217;s commodity market session.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The commodity market prediction for Monday is mixed, with crude oil up 2.11 percent 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