{"id":284663,"date":"2026-10-01T15:48:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T10:18:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=284663"},"modified":"2026-10-01T15:48:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T10:18:32","slug":"crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,918.00 per barrel on Thursday, up 2.11 percent. Nifty 50 fell 0.88% to 22,421.95. India VIX spiked 7.64% to 14.52. Markets shut Friday for Gandhi Jayanti, plus the weekend.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">This crude oil price prediction for monday leans firm into Monday&#8217;s session, as crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off. Since Indian markets are shut Friday for Gandhi Jayanti and through the weekend, Thursday&#8217;s close remains the last available data. Traders should treat the levels below as a working framework rather than a fixed call.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>This crude oil price prediction for monday follows a Thursday, 1 October 2026 session in which broader equity markets sold off sharply, with Nifty 50 falling 0.88 percent to 22,421.95 as India VIX spiked 7.64 percent to 14.52, its sharpest single-day jump since late September, as broad-based selling hit most sectors, with Nifty Auto and Nifty Metal the worst hit even as Nifty IT bucked the trend entirely and rallied.<\/p>\n<p>Nothing in this crude oil price prediction for monday should be treated as a guarantee, only a working framework for Monday&#8217;s session.<\/p>\n<p>Univest&#8217;s research desk, led by Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla, is tracking global cues over the long weekend for this crude oil price prediction for monday, since commodity prices on MCX often move in step with international benchmarks and the US Dollar Index.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&#038;utm_medium=crudeoil\">Click Here \u2013 Get Free Investment Predictions<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#What_Thursday_Told_Us\" title=\"What Thursday Told Us\">What Thursday Told Us<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Crude_Oil_Prediction_for_Monday_Key_Levels\" title=\"Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: Key Levels\">Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: Key Levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Key_Drivers_for_Monday\" title=\"Key Drivers for Monday\">Key Drivers for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Stocks_to_Watch_Alongside_This_Commodity\" title=\"Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity\">Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_This_Is_Written_for_Monday\" title=\"Why This Is Written for Monday\">Why This Is Written for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Risks_to_This_Prediction\" title=\"Risks to This Prediction\">Risks to This Prediction<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?\">What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_is_this_a_prediction_for_Monday_instead_of_tomorrow\" title=\"Why is this a prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?\">Why is this a prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_move_higher_on_Thursday\" title=\"Why did crude oil move higher on Thursday?\">Why did crude oil move higher on Thursday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_jump_today\" title=\"Why did crude oil jump today?\">Why did crude oil jump today?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#How_does_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_affect_Indian_stocks\" title=\"How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?\">How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026\/#Is_now_a_good_time_to_trade_based_on_this_outlook\" title=\"Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?\">Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Thursday_Told_Us\"><\/span><strong>What Thursday Told Us<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,918.00 per barrel, up 2.11 percent on the 19 October 2026 futures.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty 50<\/a> fell 0.88 percent, part of a broad-based sell-off that spared only a few sectors.<\/li>\n<li>India VIX spiked 7.64 percent to 14.52, its sharpest single-day jump since late September.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This crude oil price prediction for monday should be read alongside the support and resistance levels detailed above.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crude_Oil_Prediction_for_Monday_Key_Levels\"><\/span><strong>Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: Key Levels<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Univest&#8217;s desk is watching whether crude oil can extend Thursday&#8217;s firm tone once trading resumes on 5 October 2026. A sustained move in crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index over the long weekend will be the main swing factor, since both influence MCX pricing directly.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Drivers_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Key Drivers for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.<\/li>\n<li>India VIX spiked 7.64 percent to 14.52, its sharpest single-day jump since late September, as broad-based selling hit most sectors, with Nifty Auto and Nifty Metal the worst hit even as Nifty IT bucked the trend entirely and rallied.<\/li>\n<li>Movement in the US Dollar Index, which typically has an inverse relationship with metal and bullion prices on MCX.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Stocks_to_Watch_Alongside_This_Commodity\"><\/span><strong>Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance Industries<\/a>, given its refining and petrochemicals exposure, and <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ongc\/oil--and--natural-gas-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">Oil and Natural Gas Corporation<\/a>, as an upstream producer, are the two stocks most directly linked to this crude oil price prediction for Monday, with both falling today (1.63 percent and 1.52 percent) despite crude&#8217;s rally.<\/p>\n<p>Univest&#8217;s desk will revisit this crude oil price prediction for monday once Monday&#8217;s opening trade confirms direction.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_This_Is_Written_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Why This Is Written for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Indian markets are closed Friday, 2 October 2026, for Gandhi Jayanti, as well as Saturday and Sunday, so Thursday&#8217;s closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes on Monday, 5 October 2026. Treat this crude oil price prediction for monday as a briefing to prepare for that session, not a live call that updates over the long weekend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Explore Univest Screeners for More Trade Ideas<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_This_Prediction\"><\/span><strong>Risks to This Prediction<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>A sharp reversal in crude oil prices over the long weekend could change the direction implied here.<\/li>\n<li>Any unexpected US Federal Reserve commentary could move the US Dollar Index and, in turn, MCX prices.<\/li>\n<li>Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term moves.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Traders relying on this crude oil price prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.<\/p>\n<p><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&#038;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to get daily market recommendations and insightful research pieces.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This crude oil price prediction for monday leans firm into 5 October 2026, with crude oil prices and global cues over the long weekend as the key variables to track. Traders should size positions carefully given the current volatility backdrop.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.<\/p>\n<p>As with any crude oil price prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday&#8217;s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> It leans firm for 5 October 2026, after Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,918.00 per barrel on Thursday, up 2.11 percent.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_this_a_prediction_for_Monday_instead_of_tomorrow\"><\/span><strong>Why is this a prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Because Indian markets are closed Friday, 2 October 2026, for Gandhi Jayanti, as well as Saturday and Sunday, so the next trading session is Monday, 5 October 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_move_higher_on_Thursday\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil move higher on Thursday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude Oil moved higher on Thursday mainly because crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.<\/p>\n<p>This crude oil price prediction for monday is built from Thursday&#8217;s verified market data, since markets are shut through the long weekend.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_jump_today\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil jump today?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil jumped today because crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_affect_Indian_stocks\"><\/span><strong>How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Higher crude raises India&#8217;s import bill, inflation risk and rupee pressure, and today&#8217;s jump coincided with a broad sell-off across Indian equities.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_now_a_good_time_to_trade_based_on_this_outlook\"><\/span><strong>Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Whether to trade on this outlook depends on individual risk appetite. Univest&#8217;s analysts suggest confirming direction once MCX trading resumes Monday before taking a position.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"It leans firm for 5 October 2026, after Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,918.00 per barrel on Thursday, up 2.11 percent.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why is this a prediction for Monday instead of tomorrow?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Because Indian markets are closed Friday, 2 October 2026, for Gandhi Jayanti, as well as Saturday and Sunday, so the next trading session is Monday, 5 October 2026.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did crude oil move higher on Thursday?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Crude Oil moved higher on Thursday mainly because crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did crude oil jump today?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Crude oil jumped today because crude oil jumped 2.11 percent on MCX, its sharpest single-day rise in over a week, even as broader Indian equities sold off.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Higher crude raises India's import bill, inflation risk and rupee pressure, and today's jump coincided with a broad sell-off across Indian equities.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Whether to trade on this outlook depends on individual risk appetite. Univest's analysts suggest confirming direction once MCX trading resumes Monday before taking a position.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crude Oil prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026: MCX price at Rs 8,918.00 per barrel, up 2.11 percent, key drivers and outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":284662,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[4141,4367],"class_list":["post-284663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-crude-oil","tag-mcx"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["284662"],"rank_math_title":["Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: 5 Oct 2026"],"rank_math_description":["Crude Oil prediction for Monday, 5 October 2026: MCX price, key drivers and outlook after Thursday's firm session."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["crude oil price prediction for monday"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/crude-oil-prediction-for-monday-5-october-2026.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=284663"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284663\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":284664,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284663\/revisions\/284664"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/284662"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=284663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=284663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=284663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}