{"id":242094,"date":"2026-09-10T16:54:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T11:24:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=242094"},"modified":"2026-09-10T16:54:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T11:24:37","slug":"steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/","title":{"rendered":"This Steel PSU Stock Rises 98% in 3 Years: Safeguard Duty and Earnings Revival Power the Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"border-left:4px solid #1F4E79;background:#EBF3FB;padding:10px 16px;font-style:italic;\"><em>CMP approximately Rs 183.75 (10 Sep 2026). 3-year return 97.81%. 52W range Rs 124 to Rs 209.70. Market cap Rs 76,931 Cr. Q1 FY27 PAT Rs 1,644 Cr vs Rs 745 Cr.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#F0F9FF;border-left:4px solid #2E7D32;border-radius:6px;padding:14px 18px;margin:18px 0;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0;color:#1F4E79;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quick Answer<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:8px 0 0;\">Steel Authority of India (SAIL) is the steel PSU stock that returned approximately 98% in three years, rising from about Rs 93 to around Rs 184. The gain came from a 2023 to 2024 re-rating, then a 2026 rally driven by the safeguard duty on steel imports, higher prices and debt reduction. Profit more than doubled in Q1 FY27, and recent brokerage targets range from Rs 190 to Rs 240.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>This steel PSU stock has nearly doubled investor money in three years, turning Rs 1 lakh into roughly Rs 1.98 lakh. A state-owned integrated steelmaker delivered a 3-year return of 97.81% as of 10 September 2026, ranking 44th in a screen of 101 large-cap and mid-cap NSE shares.<\/p>\n<p>The company is <strong><a href='https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/sail\/steel-authority-of-india-ltd-share-price-today'>Steel Authority of India Ltd<\/a> (NSE: SAIL)<\/strong>, India&#8217;s largest government-owned steel producer, with the President of India holding a 65% stake. The SAIL share price has climbed from around Rs 93 in September 2023 to approximately Rs 183.75 today. The path was not smooth, and this steel PSU stock spent most of 2025 stuck in a range before a sharp 2026 re-rating.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#How_Much_Has_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Returned_in_3_Years\" title=\"How Much Has This Steel PSU Stock Returned in 3 Years?\">How Much Has This Steel PSU Stock Returned in 3 Years?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Why_Did_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Rise_98_in_3_Years\" title=\"Why Did This Steel PSU Stock Rise 98% in 3 Years?\">Why Did This Steel PSU Stock Rise 98% in 3 Years?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#1_The_First_Wave_Re-Rating_From_Book_Value_Lows_2023_to_2024\" title=\"1. The First Wave: Re-Rating From Book Value Lows (2023 to 2024)\">1. The First Wave: Re-Rating From Book Value Lows (2023 to 2024)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#2_The_Pause_Weak_Margins_in_2025\" title=\"2. The Pause: Weak Margins in 2025\">2. The Pause: Weak Margins in 2025<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#3_The_Second_Wave_Safeguard_Duty_and_Price_Recovery_2026\" title=\"3. The Second Wave: Safeguard Duty and Price Recovery (2026)\">3. The Second Wave: Safeguard Duty and Price Recovery (2026)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#4_Debt_Reduction_and_Record_Volumes\" title=\"4. Debt Reduction and Record Volumes\">4. Debt Reduction and Record Volumes<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#5_A_Funded_Expansion_Plan\" title=\"5. A Funded Expansion Plan\">5. A Funded Expansion Plan<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#SAIL_Financial_Performance_Earnings_Turn_the_Corner\" title=\"SAIL Financial Performance: Earnings Turn the Corner\">SAIL Financial Performance: Earnings Turn the Corner<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Is_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Overvalued_After_the_Rally\" title=\"Is This Steel PSU Stock Overvalued After the Rally?\">Is This Steel PSU Stock Overvalued After the Rally?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Who_Is_Buying_This_Steel_PSU_Stock\" title=\"Who Is Buying This Steel PSU Stock?\">Who Is Buying This Steel PSU Stock?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Key_Risks_for_This_Steel_PSU_Stock\" title=\"Key Risks for This Steel PSU Stock\">Key Risks for This Steel PSU Stock<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#SAIL_Share_Analyst_View\" title=\"SAIL Share: Analyst View\">SAIL Share: Analyst View<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#SAIL_Share_Price_Target\" title=\"SAIL Share Price Target\">SAIL Share Price Target<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Which_steel_PSU_stock_rose_98_in_3_years\" title=\"Which steel PSU stock rose 98% in 3 years?\">Which steel PSU stock rose 98% in 3 years?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Why_did_the_SAIL_share_price_rise\" title=\"Why did the SAIL share price rise?\">Why did the SAIL share price rise?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#What_were_SAIL_Q1_FY27_results\" title=\"What were SAIL Q1 FY27 results?\">What were SAIL Q1 FY27 results?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-19\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#What_is_the_SAIL_share_price_target\" title=\"What is the SAIL share price target?\">What is the SAIL share price target?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-20\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#What_is_the_52-week_high_and_low_of_SAIL\" title=\"What is the 52-week high and low of SAIL?\">What is the 52-week high and low of SAIL?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-21\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Is_SAIL_overvalued_after_the_rally\" title=\"Is SAIL overvalued after the rally?\">Is SAIL overvalued after the rally?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-22\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Have_FIIs_increased_their_stake_in_SAIL\" title=\"Have FIIs increased their stake in SAIL?\">Have FIIs increased their stake in SAIL?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-23\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years\/#Should_I_buy_a_steel_PSU_stock_after_a_98_rise_in_3_years\" title=\"Should I buy a steel PSU stock after a 98% rise in 3 years?\">Should I buy a steel PSU stock after a 98% rise in 3 years?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_Much_Has_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Returned_in_3_Years\"><\/span><strong>How Much Has This Steel PSU Stock Returned in 3 Years?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This steel PSU stock has returned approximately 97.81% over three years, placing it 44th out of 101 screened NSE stocks. On 10 September 2026, the SAIL share price closed near Rs 183.75, down about 1.4% on the day from a previous close of Rs 186.40.<\/p>\n<p>The recent numbers are healthy but not spectacular. The 1-year return stands at 38.27% (rank 41), while the 5-year return of 64.62% ranks a weaker 68th because this steel PSU stock was already elevated during the 2021 commodity boom.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Period<\/th>\n<th>Return (%)<\/th>\n<th>Rank (out of 101)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>1 Month<\/td>\n<td>7.67%<\/td>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>6 Months<\/td>\n<td>19.50%<\/td>\n<td>65<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1 Year<\/td>\n<td>38.27%<\/td>\n<td>41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3 Years<\/td>\n<td>97.81%<\/td>\n<td>44<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>5 Years<\/td>\n<td>64.62%<\/td>\n<td>68<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Returns are simple price changes and are not annualised. SAIL has not issued a bonus or split in the last three years, so the 97.81% gain is real price appreciation on the same Rs 10 face value share. Dividends, including Rs 2.35 per share for FY26, come on top.<\/p>\n<p>The 52-week range is Rs 124 to Rs 209.70. That means this steel PSU stock has gained roughly 48% from its 52-week low, while it now trades about 12% below its peak.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Did_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Rise_98_in_3_Years\"><\/span><strong>Why Did This Steel PSU Stock Rise 98% in 3 Years?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This steel PSU stock rose 98% because it moved from deep undervaluation to a business with protected domestic prices, falling debt and a funded growth plan. The rally came in two distinct waves, with a long pause in between.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_The_First_Wave_Re-Rating_From_Book_Value_Lows_2023_to_2024\"><\/span><strong>1. The First Wave: Re-Rating From Book Value Lows (2023 to 2024)<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In mid-2023, the stock hit a 52-week low of about Rs 81 as steel margins collapsed after the FY22 peak. This steel PSU stock then traded near 1.2 times book value, far below private peers with similar capacity.<\/p>\n<p>A broad rally in PSU names, firm global metal prices and a plan to lift capacity to around 35 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) changed the mood. By April 2024, this steel PSU stock had doubled in a year and touched Rs 175.65 in May 2024, then its highest level in over a decade.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_The_Pause_Weak_Margins_in_2025\"><\/span><strong>2. The Pause: Weak Margins in 2025<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Momentum in the steel PSU stock faded through 2025. Low-priced Chinese imports kept domestic prices soft, and EBITDA per tonne fell sharply. In December 2025, a domestic brokerage downgraded the steel PSU stock to Reduce with a target of Rs 106, flagging weak margins and rising capex.<\/p>\n<p>The steel PSU stock slipped to a 52-week low of Rs 124 during that period, and many investors wrote off the 2024 rally as a one-off. FY25 net profit had already dropped to Rs 2,372 crore from Rs 3,067 crore in FY24.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_The_Second_Wave_Safeguard_Duty_and_Price_Recovery_2026\"><\/span><strong>3. The Second Wave: Safeguard Duty and Price Recovery (2026)<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The turning point was trade protection. The government imposed a three-year safeguard duty on flat steel imports at 12% for year one, 11.5% for year two and 11% for year three. Domestic steel prices recovered by more than Rs 5,000 per tonne after the move.<\/p>\n<p>This steel PSU stock responded quickly. It hit a 15-year high of Rs 177.70 in April 2026 and jumped 11% in a single session on 13 May 2026 to about Rs 195, its sharpest intraday rally in 54 months. Domestic steel consumption growth of about 7% and higher exports added support.<\/p>\n<p>For a steel PSU stock with heavy exposure to flat products, the duty mattered more than any single quarter of results. It shifted the pricing floor for the entire domestic industry at a time when Chinese exports were at record levels.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"4_Debt_Reduction_and_Record_Volumes\"><\/span><strong>4. Debt Reduction and Record Volumes<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>SAIL cut borrowings by about Rs 5,000 crore in FY26 and reported record sales volumes. Its debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.54 by June 2026 from 0.64 a year earlier, which lowers interest costs for this steel PSU stock.<\/p>\n<p>Lower debt also matters for valuation. A steel PSU stock with a cleaner balance sheet can fund expansion without heavy equity dilution, and the government, as the 65% owner, benefits from higher dividends.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"5_A_Funded_Expansion_Plan\"><\/span><strong>5. A Funded Expansion Plan<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The company plans to expand crude steel capacity from about 20 MTPA to 35 MTPA by FY31. The largest piece is the IISCO Burnpur expansion, from 2.5 MTPA to about 7.1 MTPA, at a capex of roughly Rs 36,000 crore, with major engineering packages already awarded.<\/p>\n<p>Growth visibility is new for this steel PSU stock. For much of the last decade, SAIL was valued mainly on its assets, but a defined expansion timeline gives investors a volume story to track through FY31.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"SAIL_Financial_Performance_Earnings_Turn_the_Corner\"><\/span><strong>SAIL Financial Performance: Earnings Turn the Corner<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The earnings recovery is the strongest support for the 2026 rally in this steel PSU stock. Net profit in the last two reported quarters was more than double the level of a year earlier, driven by better realisations rather than volumes.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Quarter<\/th>\n<th>Revenue (Rs Cr)<\/th>\n<th>EBITDA (Rs Cr)<\/th>\n<th>Net Profit (Rs Cr)<\/th>\n<th>Operating Margin<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Jun 2025<\/td>\n<td>26,084<\/td>\n<td>2,931<\/td>\n<td>745<\/td>\n<td>11.59%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sep 2025<\/td>\n<td>26,910<\/td>\n<td>2,734<\/td>\n<td>419<\/td>\n<td>9.34%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dec 2025<\/td>\n<td>27,546<\/td>\n<td>2,469<\/td>\n<td>374<\/td>\n<td>9.29%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Mar 2026<\/td>\n<td>31,165<\/td>\n<td>4,760<\/td>\n<td>1,835<\/td>\n<td>14.96%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jun 2026<\/td>\n<td>26,451<\/td>\n<td>4,358<\/td>\n<td>1,644<\/td>\n<td>16.16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Consolidated figures. In Q1 FY27, the quarter ended June 2026, net profit rose about 121% year on year to Rs 1,644 crore, while revenue grew only about 1.4% to Rs 26,451 crore. EBITDA jumped approximately 49%, and the operating margin widened to 16.16% from 11.59%.<\/p>\n<p>Volumes were the weak spot. Crude steel production slipped to 4.76 million tonnes from 4.85 million tonnes, and sales fell to 4.16 million tonnes from 4.55 million tonnes. EBITDA per tonne, however, rose to around Rs 9,974 on higher net sales realisations.<\/p>\n<p>On an annual basis, FY26 revenue reached Rs 1,11,705 crore and net profit rose about 42% to Rs 3,373 crore. That is still far below the FY22 peak profit of Rs 12,243 crore, which shows how cyclical this steel PSU stock remains.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong>Check the Univest Screener for Live Fundamentals of High-Return Stocks<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_This_Steel_PSU_Stock_Overvalued_After_the_Rally\"><\/span><strong>Is This Steel PSU Stock Overvalued After the Rally?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>No, this steel PSU stock does not look stretched on standard metrics, though its return ratios are modest. It trades at a PE of about 18 against an industry PE near 23.8, and at around 1.27 times book value of Rs 146 per share.<\/p>\n<p>The catch is profitability. Return on equity is only about 6.35%, so the lower multiple partly reflects lower earning power than private steelmakers. The dividend yield of about 1.26% offers some cushion. Market capitalisation stands near Rs 76,931 crore.<\/p>\n<p>Compared with its own history, this steel PSU stock is not at an extreme either. It traded near 1.2 times book in early 2024, so the current multiple reflects better earnings rather than a pure sentiment surge.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Who_Is_Buying_This_Steel_PSU_Stock\"><\/span><strong>Who Is Buying This Steel PSU Stock?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Foreign investors have steadily built positions in this steel PSU stock over the past year. FII holding nearly doubled from 3.65% in June 2025 to 7.09% in June 2026, marking consecutive quarterly increases.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Quarter<\/th>\n<th>Promoter (%)<\/th>\n<th>FII (%)<\/th>\n<th>DII (%)<\/th>\n<th>Public (%)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Jun 2025<\/td>\n<td>65.00<\/td>\n<td>3.65<\/td>\n<td>17.31<\/td>\n<td>14.04<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sep 2025<\/td>\n<td>65.00<\/td>\n<td>3.76<\/td>\n<td>18.09<\/td>\n<td>13.15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dec 2025<\/td>\n<td>65.00<\/td>\n<td>4.53<\/td>\n<td>17.84<\/td>\n<td>12.63<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Mar 2026<\/td>\n<td>65.00<\/td>\n<td>5.01<\/td>\n<td>18.41<\/td>\n<td>11.59<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jun 2026<\/td>\n<td>65.00<\/td>\n<td>7.09<\/td>\n<td>16.86<\/td>\n<td>11.05<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Domestic institutions trimmed their stake to 16.86% from 18.41% in the March quarter, largely because the largest state-run insurer cut its holding from 10% a year ago to about 5.88%. Retail holding has also eased to 11.05%, suggesting some profit booking into the rally.<\/p>\n<p>Rising FII interest usually signals that global funds see this steel PSU stock as a way to play India&#8217;s infrastructure spending and import protection together.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Risks_for_This_Steel_PSU_Stock\"><\/span><strong>Key Risks for This Steel PSU Stock<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The risks are real, and investors in any steel PSU stock should weigh them before buying after a near-doubling.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Steel price cycle:<\/strong> Earnings are driven by realisations, not volumes. A domestic brokerage flagged a roughly 20% correction in rebar prices, and SAIL&#8217;s high exposure to long products could weigh on Q2 FY27 earnings.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Volume execution:<\/strong> Management targets record volumes of about 22 million tonnes in FY27, yet Q1 sales fell 9% year on year. A miss on this target would dent sentiment.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Capex and debt:<\/strong> The IISCO expansion needs heavy spending over the next four years. If steel prices soften while capex peaks, debt could rise again, as one brokerage warned in late 2025.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Policy and input costs:<\/strong> The safeguard duty steps down to 11% from April 2027 and ends in April 2028. Coking coal prices, which SAIL largely imports, can also squeeze margins quickly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cyclical history:<\/strong> The stock still trades below its December 2007 record of Rs 292.50, a reminder of how long steel downturns can last for a steel PSU stock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top:24px;\"><strong>Download the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track the SAIL share price live<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"SAIL_Share_Analyst_View\"><\/span><strong>SAIL Share: Analyst View<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Analyst opinion on this steel PSU stock turned more positive in 2026, though views remain split on how durable the margin recovery is. Most recent calls rate the stock a Buy, with targets clustered between Rs 190 and Rs 240.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"SAIL_Share_Price_Target\"><\/span><strong>SAIL Share Price Target<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>After the Q4 FY26 results in May 2026, one domestic brokerage set a SAIL share price target of Rs 240, while another upgraded the stock to Buy with a target of Rs 230, based on about 6.5 times FY28 EV\/EBITDA. Both expect EBITDA per tonne to rise to around Rs 8,800 to Rs 9,100.<\/p>\n<p>After Q1 FY27, a third domestic brokerage cut its SAIL share price target to Rs 190 from Rs 200 while keeping a Buy rating, citing weaker volumes. At the bearish end, a Reduce call from December 2025 carried a target of Rs 106.<\/p>\n<p>With the SAIL share price near Rs 183.75, the Rs 240 target implies about 31% upside, while the Rs 190 target implies only about 3%. Any SAIL share price target is an estimate, and actual prices depend on steel realisations and execution.<\/p>\n<p>Technically, the Rs 209.70 52-week high is the first resistance level to watch. On the downside, the July 2026 low near Rs 161 acts as a key support for this steel PSU stock.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This steel PSU stock has nearly doubled in three years on a mix of valuation re-rating, trade protection, debt reduction and a clear expansion roadmap. The 2026 earnings rebound confirms that the business benefits sharply when domestic steel prices hold up.<\/p>\n<p>Yet this steel PSU stock remains cyclical, with modest return ratios and a heavy capex phase ahead. Investors who track the SAIL share price should watch quarterly volumes, EBITDA per tonne and steel price trends rather than assume the next three years will mirror the last three.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background:#CC0000;border-radius:8px;padding:16px 20px;margin:24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color:#FFFFFF;font-size:13px;line-height:1.7;margin:0;\"><strong style=\"color:#FFFFFF;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information and may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data independently before making any investment decision. Past returns do not guarantee future returns. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_steel_PSU_stock_rose_98_in_3_years\"><\/span><strong>Which steel PSU stock rose 98% in 3 years?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Steel Authority of India Ltd (NSE: SAIL) is the steel PSU stock that gained approximately 97.81% over three years as of 10 September 2026. It ranked 44th among 101 large-cap and mid-cap NSE stocks screened for this analysis.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_the_SAIL_share_price_rise\"><\/span><strong>Why did the SAIL share price rise?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The SAIL share price rose on a re-rating from low book value multiples in 2023 and 2024, followed by a 2026 rally driven by the steel safeguard duty, higher domestic prices and debt reduction. A plan to expand capacity to 35 MTPA by FY31 also supported sentiment.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_were_SAIL_Q1_FY27_results\"><\/span><strong>What were SAIL Q1 FY27 results?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> SAIL reported Q1 FY27 consolidated net profit of Rs 1,644 crore, up about 121% from Rs 745 crore a year earlier. Revenue was nearly flat at Rs 26,451 crore, while the operating margin rose to 16.16%.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_SAIL_share_price_target\"><\/span><strong>What is the SAIL share price target?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Recent domestic brokerage targets range from Rs 190 to Rs 240 with Buy ratings, while a December 2025 Reduce call carried a target of Rs 106. Targets are estimates and not guaranteed.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_52-week_high_and_low_of_SAIL\"><\/span><strong>What is the 52-week high and low of SAIL?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> SAIL has a 52-week high of Rs 209.70 and a 52-week low of Rs 124 on NSE. The stock closed near Rs 183.75 on 10 September 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_SAIL_overvalued_after_the_rally\"><\/span><strong>Is SAIL overvalued after the rally?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> SAIL trades at a PE of about 18 against an industry PE near 23.8 and around 1.27 times book value. Its return on equity of about 6.35% is modest, which partly explains the lower multiple.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Have_FIIs_increased_their_stake_in_SAIL\"><\/span><strong>Have FIIs increased their stake in SAIL?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Yes, FII holding in SAIL rose from 3.65% in June 2025 to 7.09% in June 2026. Domestic institutions reduced their stake to 16.86%, while the government holds a steady 65%.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_I_buy_a_steel_PSU_stock_after_a_98_rise_in_3_years\"><\/span><strong>Should I buy a steel PSU stock after a 98% rise in 3 years?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> A steel PSU stock depends heavily on steel prices, so returns can reverse quickly in a downturn. Watching volumes, margins and policy support, investing in stages and consulting a SEBI-registered advisor is sensible.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which steel PSU stock rose 98% in 3 years?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Steel Authority of India Ltd (NSE: SAIL) is the steel PSU stock that gained approximately 97.81% over three years as of 10 September 2026. It ranked 44th among 101 large-cap and mid-cap NSE stocks screened for this analysis.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did the SAIL share price rise?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The SAIL share price rose on a re-rating from low book value multiples in 2023 and 2024, followed by a 2026 rally driven by the steel safeguard duty, higher domestic prices and debt reduction. A plan to expand capacity to 35 MTPA by FY31 also supported sentiment.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What were SAIL Q1 FY27 results?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"SAIL reported Q1 FY27 consolidated net profit of Rs 1,644 crore, up about 121% from Rs 745 crore a year earlier. 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Its return on equity of about 6.35% is modest, which partly explains the lower multiple.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Have FIIs increased their stake in SAIL?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Yes, FII holding in SAIL rose from 3.65% in June 2025 to 7.09% in June 2026. Domestic institutions reduced their stake to 16.86%, while the government holds a steady 65%.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Should I buy a steel PSU stock after a 98% rise in 3 years?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"A steel PSU stock depends heavily on steel prices, so returns can reverse quickly in a downturn. Watching volumes, margins and policy support, investing in stages and consulting a SEBI-registered advisor is sensible.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A state-owned steelmaker turned Rs 1 lakh into roughly Rs 1.98 lakh in three years. Here is what drove the 98% rally and the risks investors should weigh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":242093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[845],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-242094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-stocks"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["242093"],"rank_math_title":["Steel PSU Stock Up 98% in 3 Years: What Drove the Rally"],"rank_math_description":["This steel PSU stock rose approximately 98% in 3 years, from about Rs 93 to Rs 184. See the safeguard duty boost, Q1 FY27 profit jump, analyst targets and key risks."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["steel PSU stock"],"rank_math_robots":["a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"noindex\";i:1;s:8:\"nofollow\";}"]},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/steel-psu-stock-rises-98-percent-in-3-years.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=242094"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242094\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":242095,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/242094\/revisions\/242095"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/242093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=242094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=242094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=242094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}