{"id":179634,"date":"2026-07-31T16:15:44","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T10:45:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=179634"},"modified":"2026-07-31T16:15:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T10:45:45","slug":"natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Natural Gas Prediction for Monday, 3 August 2026: MCX Natural Gas August futures Levels to Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Natural Gas prediction for Monday, 3 August 2026: Rs 266.4 per mmBtu, +0.68% on Friday. Support Rs 264, resistance Rs 268. RBI MPC begins Monday.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, centres on MCX Natural Gas August futures, which closed Friday at Rs 266.4 per mmBtu, up 1.8 points or 0.68% from Thursday&#8217;s close of Rs 264.6. Natural gas edged higher as US weather forecasts pointed to continued strong cooling demand, with the August contract holding above its recent base.<\/p>\n<p>Univest analysts Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director, have built this natural gas prediction for monday using Friday&#8217;s MCX closing data and the broader macro calendar heading into next week. Ankit Jaiswal covers the technical structure while Kunal Singla layers in the demand and positioning context.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Natural_Gas_Closing_Overview_for_the_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Natural Gas Closing Overview for the Prediction for Monday\">Natural Gas Closing Overview for the Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Natural_Gas_Technical_Analysis_for_the_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Natural Gas Technical Analysis for the Prediction for Monday\">Natural Gas Technical Analysis for the Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#F_O_Calendar_for_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"F&amp;O Calendar for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday\">F&amp;O Calendar for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#RBI_Policy_Week_and_Global_Cues_for_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"RBI Policy Week and Global Cues for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday\">RBI Policy Week and Global Cues for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday_Trading_Strategy\" title=\"Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Trading Strategy\">Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Trading Strategy<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Risks_to_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Risks to the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday\">Risks to the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#What_is_the_natural_gas_prediction_for_monday_3_August_2026\" title=\"What is the natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026?\">What is the natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#What_is_MCX_Natural_Gas_August_futuress_support_and_resistance_for_Monday\" title=\"What is MCX Natural Gas August futures&#8217;s support and resistance for Monday?\">What is MCX Natural Gas August futures&#8217;s support and resistance for Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#When_does_MCX_Natural_Gas_August_futures_expire\" title=\"When does MCX Natural Gas August futures expire?\">When does MCX Natural Gas August futures expire?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#How_will_the_RBI_MPC_meeting_affect_this_prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"How will the RBI MPC meeting affect this prediction for Monday?\">How will the RBI MPC meeting affect this prediction for Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#What_do_Ankit_Jaiswal_and_Kunal_Singla_say_in_this_natural_gas_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"What do Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla say in this natural gas prediction for monday?\">What do Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla say in this natural gas prediction for monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Why_did_natural_gas_move_higher_on_Friday\" title=\"Why did natural gas move higher on Friday?\">Why did natural gas move higher on Friday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#What_are_the_key_global_cues_for_commodity_markets_next_week\" title=\"What are the key global cues for commodity markets next week?\">What are the key global cues for commodity markets next week?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-03-august-2026\/#Should_traders_take_fresh_positions_in_natural_gas_ahead_of_the_RBI_decision\" title=\"Should traders take fresh positions in natural gas ahead of the RBI decision?\">Should traders take fresh positions in natural gas ahead of the RBI decision?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Natural_Gas_Closing_Overview_for_the_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Natural Gas Closing Overview for the Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>MCX Natural Gas August futures closed at Rs 266.4 per mmBtu on Friday, +0.68% versus Thursday&#8217;s Rs 264.6 close.<\/li>\n<li>Natural gas edged higher as US weather forecasts pointed to continued strong cooling demand, with the August contract holding above its recent base.<\/li>\n<li>The contract expires on 26 August, a date traders following this natural gas prediction for monday should track for rollover related volatility.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Natural_Gas_Technical_Analysis_for_the_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Natural Gas Technical Analysis for the Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"6\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>Metric<\/th>\n<th>Level<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Friday Close<\/td>\n<td>Rs 266.4 (+0.68%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Support<\/td>\n<td>Rs 264 \/ Rs 260<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 268 \/ Rs 272<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Contract Expiry<\/td>\n<td>26 August<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal builds this natural gas prediction for monday around Rs 264 as the near term pivot; a hold above it keeps the setup constructive, while a break would open a path toward Rs 260. On the upside, a close above Rs 268 would put Rs 272 back in focus for this natural gas prediction for monday.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"F_O_Calendar_for_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>F&amp;O Calendar for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>MCX Natural Gas August futures expires on 26 August, and Kunal Singla flags that positioning typically builds through the first half of the expiry week before rollover activity picks up. Traders following this natural gas prediction for monday should watch open interest changes around the RBI policy verdict, since rate and currency moves often spill into MCX pricing.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"RBI_Policy_Week_and_Global_Cues_for_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>RBI Policy Week and Global Cues for the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The RBI Monetary Policy Committee meets from Monday, 3 August, to Wednesday, 5 August, with the repo rate decision due on the final day. The repo rate has held at 5.25 percent through three consecutive reviews, and most economists expect another hold.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street staged a sharp Thursday rebound, with the Nasdaq up 2.78 percent and the S&amp;P 500 up 1.66 percent on Microsoft-led strength, a day after a Fed driven selloff. Brent crude eased to 89.03 dollars a barrel after an earlier spike above 93 dollars on Iran related strikes, and Gift Nifty August futures were trading near 24,422 on Friday morning.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday_Trading_Strategy\"><\/span><strong>Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Trading Strategy<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Use Rs 264 as the near term pivot for this natural gas prediction for monday; a sustained hold above it keeps the setup constructive.<\/li>\n<li>A close above Rs 268 would be the trigger for a fresh long bias toward Rs 272.<\/li>\n<li>Keep position sizes measured ahead of Wednesday&#8217;s RBI verdict, since currency moves around the decision can spill into commodity pricing.<\/li>\n<li>Respect stop losses below Rs 260 rather than averaging into a losing position into the 26 August expiry.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Risks to the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>A stronger dollar following a hawkish RBI or Fed commentary could pressure this natural gas prediction for monday, particularly for gold and silver.<\/li>\n<li>Any fresh escalation in the Iran-US standoff could move crude oil and, by extension, the broader commodity complex sharply.<\/li>\n<li>Increased volatility is typical into the 26 August expiry as positions roll to the next month&#8217;s contract.<\/li>\n<li>A reversal in Thursday&#8217;s Wall Street rally when US markets trade Friday night could shift risk appetite across commodities before Monday&#8217;s MCX open.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, points to MCX Natural Gas August futures holding a range between Rs 264 support and Rs 268 resistance as the RBI policy week begins. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla both flag the RBI verdict on Wednesday and ongoing Iran-US tensions as the dominant swing factors for the week. A close above Rs 268 would strengthen this natural gas prediction for monday, while a break below Rs 264 would call for caution.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=natural-gas-prediction-monday-3-aug\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Track live Natural Gas and MCX commodity levels on the Univest Screener<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to get the natural gas prediction for monday and daily commodity research from SEBI registered analysts.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_natural_gas_prediction_for_monday_3_August_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The natural gas prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, points to MCX Natural Gas August futures holding between Rs 264 support and Rs 268 resistance, after closing Friday at Rs 266.4 per mmBtu.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_MCX_Natural_Gas_August_futuress_support_and_resistance_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>What is MCX Natural Gas August futures&#8217;s support and resistance for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Support is at Rs 264 and then Rs 260. Resistance is at Rs 268 and then Rs 272, based on Friday&#8217;s close of Rs 266.4.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"When_does_MCX_Natural_Gas_August_futures_expire\"><\/span><strong>When does MCX Natural Gas August futures expire?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> MCX Natural Gas August futures expires on 26 August. Traders following this natural gas prediction for monday should watch for rollover related volatility as that date approaches.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_will_the_RBI_MPC_meeting_affect_this_prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>How will the RBI MPC meeting affect this prediction for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The RBI Monetary Policy Committee meets from 3 to 5 August, with the rate decision due Wednesday. Currency moves around the verdict can spill into MCX commodity pricing, particularly for gold and silver.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_do_Ankit_Jaiswal_and_Kunal_Singla_say_in_this_natural_gas_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>What do Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla say in this natural gas prediction for monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Ankit Jaiswal expects MCX Natural Gas August futures to hold its recent range given Friday&#8217;s +0.68% move, while Kunal Singla flags the RBI verdict and global crude oil trends as the key triggers for the week.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_natural_gas_move_higher_on_Friday\"><\/span><strong>Why did natural gas move higher on Friday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Natural gas edged higher as US weather forecasts pointed to continued strong cooling demand, with the August contract holding above its recent base.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_key_global_cues_for_commodity_markets_next_week\"><\/span><strong>What are the key global cues for commodity markets next week?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Brent crude eased to 89.03 dollars a barrel on Thursday after an earlier spike above 93 dollars on Iran related strikes, and the RBI policy verdict on Wednesday is the dominant domestic trigger for the week.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_traders_take_fresh_positions_in_natural_gas_ahead_of_the_RBI_decision\"><\/span><strong>Should traders take fresh positions in natural gas ahead of the RBI decision?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Univest analysts suggest keeping position sizes measured ahead of Wednesday&#8217;s verdict and recommend consulting a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Natural Gas prediction for Monday, 3 August 2026: MCX Natural Gas August futures at Rs 266.4 per mmBtu, +0.68% on Friday. 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