{"id":170583,"date":"2026-07-27T12:02:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T06:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=170583"},"modified":"2026-07-27T12:02:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T06:32:02","slug":"rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/","title":{"rendered":"RBI MPC Poll Shows All 13 Participants Expect Status Quo in August Amid Crude Surge"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>RBI MPC poll of 13 market participants: all expect status quo on rates in August, a shift from the previous poll which saw some expecting a hike.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A <strong>RBI MPC<\/strong> poll conducted by Moneycontrol shows all 13 market participants surveyed are leaning towards the central bank holding interest rates steady at its August meeting, amid a renewed surge in Brent crude prices.<\/p>\n<p>The unanimous expectation of a pause marks a stark contrast from the previous RBI MPC poll, when some participants had anticipated the central bank could begin hiking interest rates in August.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=article\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#RBI_MPC_Poll_What_Changed_Since_the_Last_Survey\" title=\"RBI MPC Poll: What Changed Since the Last Survey\">RBI MPC Poll: What Changed Since the Last Survey<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#Why_the_RBI_MPC_Poll_Outlook_Has_Shifted\" title=\"Why the RBI MPC Poll Outlook Has Shifted\">Why the RBI MPC Poll Outlook Has Shifted<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions FAQs\">Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#What_does_the_latest_RBI_MPC_poll_show\" title=\"What does the latest RBI MPC poll show?\">What does the latest RBI MPC poll show?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#How_has_the_outlook_changed_from_the_previous_survey\" title=\"How has the outlook changed from the previous survey?\">How has the outlook changed from the previous survey?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#What_is_driving_expectations_of_a_pause_in_the_RBI_MPC_poll\" title=\"What is driving expectations of a pause in the RBI MPC poll?\">What is driving expectations of a pause in the RBI MPC poll?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#How_many_participants_were_surveyed_in_the_RBI_MPC_poll\" title=\"How many participants were surveyed in the RBI MPC poll?\">How many participants were surveyed in the RBI MPC poll?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#Which_sectors_are_most_sensitive_to_the_RBI_MPC_decision\" title=\"Which sectors are most sensitive to the RBI MPC decision?\">Which sectors are most sensitive to the RBI MPC decision?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/rbi-mpc-poll-status-quo-august-brent-crude-surge\/#Where_can_I_track_live_updates_ahead_of_the_RBI_MPC_decision\" title=\"Where can I track live updates ahead of the RBI MPC decision?\">Where can I track live updates ahead of the RBI MPC decision?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"RBI_MPC_Poll_What_Changed_Since_the_Last_Survey\"><\/span><strong>RBI MPC Poll: What Changed Since the Last Survey<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The latest RBI MPC poll reflects a notable shift in market expectations, with all 13 participants now leaning towards a status quo on rates, compared to the previous survey where some market participants were pricing in the possibility of a rate hike as early as August.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"8\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background: #1F4E79; color: #fff;\">\n<th>Metric<\/th>\n<th>Detail<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Poll Participants<\/td>\n<td>13 market participants<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Expectation<\/td>\n<td>Status quo on interest rates<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Consensus<\/td>\n<td>All 13 participants aligned<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Key Driver<\/td>\n<td>Renewed Brent crude price surge<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty 50<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-bank\/nifty-bank-share-price-today\">Bank Nifty<\/a><\/td>\n<td>Key indices to watch around the policy decision<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-india\"><strong>Univest &#8211; A SEBI-Registered Investment Advisor<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The renewed surge in Brent crude prices is a key factor behind the shift in RBI MPC expectations, as higher oil prices tend to stoke inflation concerns, which would typically argue against a rate cut, while global growth uncertainty tends to argue against a hike, leaving a pause as the path of least resistance for policymakers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track live market reactions ahead of the RBI policy decision.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_RBI_MPC_Poll_Outlook_Has_Shifted\"><\/span><strong>Why the RBI MPC Poll Outlook Has Shifted<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Interest rate decisions are closely watched by both bond and equity markets, and a unanimous RBI MPC poll result for a pause suggests limited near term volatility expectations around the August policy announcement itself, barring any fresh surprises on the inflation or global growth front.<\/p>\n<p>Bank Nifty and rate-sensitive sectors such as financials, autos and real estate are typically the most directly affected by RBI policy decisions, making the central bank&#8217;s stance a key variable for investors positioned in these sectors.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The latest RBI MPC poll shows all 13 surveyed market participants expect the central bank to hold rates steady in August, a shift driven largely by the renewed surge in Brent crude prices. Investors should track incoming inflation data ahead of the policy meeting and consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_does_the_latest_RBI_MPC_poll_show\"><\/span><strong>What does the latest RBI MPC poll show?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The latest RBI MPC poll of 13 market participants shows all of them expect the central bank to maintain status quo on interest rates at its August meeting.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_has_the_outlook_changed_from_the_previous_survey\"><\/span><strong>How has the outlook changed from the previous survey?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The current poll shows a unanimous expectation of a pause, a shift from the previous survey where some market participants were expecting a rate hike in August.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_driving_expectations_of_a_pause_in_the_RBI_MPC_poll\"><\/span><strong>What is driving expectations of a pause in the RBI MPC poll?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> A renewed surge in Brent crude prices is a key factor behind the shift towards status quo expectations in the latest RBI MPC poll.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_many_participants_were_surveyed_in_the_RBI_MPC_poll\"><\/span><strong>How many participants were surveyed in the RBI MPC poll?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Moneycontrol poll surveyed 13 market participants, all of whom are leaning towards the central bank standing pat on rates.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_sectors_are_most_sensitive_to_the_RBI_MPC_decision\"><\/span><strong>Which sectors are most sensitive to the RBI MPC decision?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Rate-sensitive sectors such as financials, autos and real estate are typically the most directly affected by RBI policy decisions.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Where_can_I_track_live_updates_ahead_of_the_RBI_MPC_decision\"><\/span><strong>Where can I track live updates ahead of the RBI MPC decision?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Live market updates and index movements ahead of the RBI MPC decision can be tracked on the Univest platform and app.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What does the latest RBI MPC poll 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participants, all of whom are leaning towards the central bank standing pat on rates.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which sectors are most sensitive to the RBI MPC decision?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Rate-sensitive sectors such as financials, autos and real estate are typically the most directly affected by RBI policy decisions.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Where can I track live updates ahead of the RBI MPC decision?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Live market updates and index movements ahead of the RBI MPC decision can be tracked on the Univest platform and app.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBI MPC poll of 13 market participants shows all expect the central bank to hold interest rates in August amid a renewed Brent crude price surge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":170578,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[3802],"class_list":["post-170583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-news"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_thumbnail_id":["170578"],"_edit_lock":["1785133931:29"],"_last_editor_used_jetpack":["block-editor"],"rank_math_primary_category":["842"],"rank_math_seo_score":["78"],"rank_math_title":["RBI MPC Poll: Status Quo Likely in August Amid Crude Surge"],"rank_math_description":["RBI MPC poll of 13 market participants shows all expect the central bank to hold interest rates in August amid a renewed Brent crude price surge."],"rank_math_focus_keyword":["RBI 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