{"id":169109,"date":"2026-07-24T16:24:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T10:54:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=169109"},"modified":"2026-07-24T16:24:15","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T10:54:15","slug":"natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Natural Gas Prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026: MCX Levels Ahead of the July Contract Expiry"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Natural gas prediction for Monday 27 July: Jul futures Rs 278.80 (-1.62%). Aug Rs 282.20. Jul expiry Tue 28 July. Support Rs 278. Resistance Rs 285.30.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, leans cautious after MCX Natural Gas July futures slipped 1.62% on Friday to close at Rs 278.80 per mmBtu. The August contract held up better, easing 0.91% to Rs 282.20, and the deferred months still trade at healthy premiums, with October near Rs 308 and December above Rs 416. Monday carries an extra wrinkle: the July contract expires on Tuesday, 28 July, so expiry positioning will dominate the front month.<\/p>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, prepared this natural gas prediction for Monday alongside Kunal Singla, Associate Director. Their central message is simple: trade the August contract, not the expiring July series, and respect the Rs 278 support that held on Friday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=natural-gas-prediction-monday-27\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#MCX_Data_Behind_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"MCX Data Behind the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday\">MCX Data Behind the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday_Key_Levels_to_Track\" title=\"Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels to Track\">Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels to Track<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Drivers_That_Shape_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Drivers That Shape the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday\">Drivers That Shape the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Trading_Approach_for_Natural_Gas_on_Monday\" title=\"Trading Approach for Natural Gas on Monday\">Trading Approach for Natural Gas on Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Disclaimer\" title=\"Disclaimer\">Disclaimer<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#FAQs\" title=\"FAQs\">FAQs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#What_is_the_natural_gas_prediction_for_Monday_27_July_2026\" title=\"What is the natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?\">What is the natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#When_do_MCX_natural_gas_July_futures_expire\" title=\"When do MCX natural gas July futures expire?\">When do MCX natural gas July futures expire?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Why_is_natural_gas_falling_while_gold_and_silver_rise\" title=\"Why is natural gas falling while gold and silver rise?\">Why is natural gas falling while gold and silver rise?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#What_are_the_natural_gas_levels_to_watch_on_Monday\" title=\"What are the natural gas levels to watch on Monday?\">What are the natural gas levels to watch on Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Is_the_longer-term_natural_gas_outlook_bullish\" title=\"Is the longer-term natural gas outlook bullish?\">Is the longer-term natural gas outlook bullish?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/natural-gas-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Which_analysts_prepared_this_natural_gas_prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Which analysts prepared this natural gas prediction for Monday?\">Which analysts prepared this natural gas prediction for Monday?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"MCX_Data_Behind_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>MCX Data Behind the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%; margin: 16px 0;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Contract<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Close (Rs per mmBtu)<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day Change<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day High<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day Low<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Natural Gas 28 Jul futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">278.80<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-1.62%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">283.60<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">278.10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Natural Gas 26 Aug futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">282.20<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-0.91%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">285.30<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">281.20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Natural Gas 25 Sep futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">286.20<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-0.87%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">289.40<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">285.50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Natural Gas 27 Oct futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">308.40<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-0.68%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">311.20<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">307.60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The steadily rising curve from August through December tells the real story: the market expects tighter conditions into the winter demand season even while the front month drifts. That contango shapes the natural gas prediction for Monday more than any single candle.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday_Key_Levels_to_Track\"><\/span><strong>Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels to Track<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>July contract support:<\/strong> Rs 278.10, Friday&#8217;s low; expiry pressure could test it early Monday.<\/li>\n<li><strong>July contract resistance:<\/strong> Rs 283.50, the zone that rejected prices on Friday.<\/li>\n<li><strong>August contract support:<\/strong> Rs 281.20, with a deeper cushion near Rs 278.<\/li>\n<li><strong>August contract resistance:<\/strong> Rs 285.30 first, then Rs 289, aligned with the September series.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Kunal Singla observes that natural gas has decoupled from crude oil in the short term; while crude corrected sharply on profit booking, gas is drifting on soft spot demand and comfortable storage. He has flagged the Rs 278 zone as the line separating routine consolidation from a deeper slide toward Rs 272.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Track gas distribution and energy stocks on the Univest Screener<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Drivers_That_Shape_the_Natural_Gas_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Drivers That Shape the Natural Gas Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Expiry mechanics:<\/strong> July futures expire Tuesday, 28 July, so open interest is migrating to August and volumes in the front month will be erratic.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weather demand:<\/strong> US cooling demand and Indian monsoon conditions both influence LNG pricing into August.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Energy complex sentiment:<\/strong> Crude&#8217;s 4.13% correction cooled the entire energy basket; a fresh crude spike on West Asia headlines would drag gas higher in sympathy.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Equity linkage:<\/strong> City gas distributors and utilities respond to input costs; the broader market, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty 50<\/a> at 23,767.45 and <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/sensex\/sensex-share-price-today\">Sensex<\/a> at 76,059.77, recovered from Friday lows as energy cooled.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trading_Approach_for_Natural_Gas_on_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Trading Approach for Natural Gas on Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Shift fresh positions to the August contract and treat the July series purely as an expiry trade. A hold above Rs 281 on August keeps a bounce toward Rs 285 in play, while a slip below Rs 278 opens Rs 272. Investors who prefer equities to commodities can express energy views through <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance Industries<\/a>, which gained 0.46% on Friday, or track rate-sensitive counters like <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/hdfcbank\/hdfc-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">HDFC Bank<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/icicibank\/icici-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">ICICI Bank<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-bank\/nifty-bank-share-price-today\">Bank Nifty<\/a>, which closed 0.18% higher at 56,693.50.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to monitor MCX natural gas contracts with live alerts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, is cautious near term but constructive further out, with the December contract above Rs 416 signalling winter tightness. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla have flagged Rs 278 as Monday&#8217;s pivot on the August series and advise avoiding the expiring July contract. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking positions.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Disclaimer\"><\/span><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQs\"><\/span><strong>FAQs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_natural_gas_prediction_for_Monday_27_July_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The natural gas prediction for Monday is cautious. MCX July futures closed at Rs 278.80, down 1.62%, and August at Rs 282.20. Support sits near Rs 278 and resistance at Rs 285.30 on the August contract.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"When_do_MCX_natural_gas_July_futures_expire\"><\/span><strong>When do MCX natural gas July futures expire?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The MCX Natural Gas July contract expires on Tuesday, 28 July 2026. Univest analysts advise moving fresh positions to the August contract before Monday&#8217;s session.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_is_natural_gas_falling_while_gold_and_silver_rise\"><\/span><strong>Why is natural gas falling while gold and silver rise?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Natural gas is drifting on soft spot demand and comfortable storage, while precious metals are gaining on safe-haven flows. The two respond to different drivers even during the same geopolitical episode.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_natural_gas_levels_to_watch_on_Monday\"><\/span><strong>What are the natural gas levels to watch on Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> On the August contract, support is at Rs 281.20 and then Rs 278, with resistance at Rs 285.30 and Rs 289. A slip below Rs 278 opens a move toward Rs 272 as per the natural gas prediction for Monday.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_the_longer-term_natural_gas_outlook_bullish\"><\/span><strong>Is the longer-term natural gas outlook bullish?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The futures curve suggests yes. October trades near Rs 308 and December above Rs 416, reflecting expected winter demand tightness even while the front month consolidates.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_analysts_prepared_this_natural_gas_prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Which analysts prepared this natural gas prediction for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director, prepared the natural gas prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, using Friday&#8217;s MCX closing data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Natural gas prediction for Monday 27 July 2026: front month slips 1.62% ahead of Tuesday&#8217;s expiry while the winter curve stays firm. 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