{"id":169092,"date":"2026-07-24T16:25:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T10:55:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=169092"},"modified":"2026-07-24T16:25:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T10:55:11","slug":"crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026: MCX Levels After the 4% Friday Correction"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Crude oil price prediction for Monday 27 July: MCX Aug futures Rs 8,653 (-4.13%). Brent above 100 dollars. Support Rs 8,588. Resistance Rs 8,850 and Rs 9,040.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, calls for extreme two-way volatility after MCX crude oil August futures corrected 4.13% on Friday to settle near Rs 8,653 per barrel on the mini contract. The fall came even though Brent stayed above 100 dollars per barrel and Iran rejected a US-backed ceasefire proposal delivered through the Iraqi Prime Minister. In short, the market booked profits on an overheated rally without abandoning the geopolitical story.<\/p>\n<p>Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, frames Monday as a battle between an intact supply-risk premium and stretched long positioning. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, adds that Friday&#8217;s low of Rs 8,588 is now the single most important level in this crude oil price prediction for Monday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=crude-oil-prediction-monday-27-july\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#MCX_Data_Behind_the_Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"MCX Data Behind the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday\">MCX Data Behind the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday_Support_and_Resistance\" title=\"Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday: Support and Resistance\">Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday: Support and Resistance<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#How_Crude_Affects_Equities_in_Mondays_Session\" title=\"How Crude Affects Equities in Monday&#8217;s Session\">How Crude Affects Equities in Monday&#8217;s Session<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Trading_Plan_Around_the_Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Trading Plan Around the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday\">Trading Plan Around the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Disclaimer\" title=\"Disclaimer\">Disclaimer<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#FAQs\" title=\"FAQs\">FAQs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_27_July_2026\" title=\"What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?\">What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_fall_4_on_Friday_before_Monday\" title=\"Why did crude oil fall 4% on Friday before Monday?\">Why did crude oil fall 4% on Friday before Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Is_the_crude_oil_rally_over_before_Monday_27_July\" title=\"Is the crude oil rally over before Monday, 27 July?\">Is the crude oil rally over before Monday, 27 July?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#How_does_crude_oil_affect_the_stock_market_on_Monday\" title=\"How does crude oil affect the stock market on Monday?\">How does crude oil affect the stock market on Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#What_are_the_key_MCX_crude_oil_levels_for_Monday\" title=\"What are the key MCX crude oil levels for Monday?\">What are the key MCX crude oil levels for Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-27-july-2026\/#Which_analysts_prepared_this_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Which analysts prepared this crude oil price prediction for Monday?\">Which analysts prepared this crude oil price prediction for Monday?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"MCX_Data_Behind_the_Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>MCX Data Behind the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%; margin: 16px 0;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Contract<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Close (Rs per barrel)<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day Change<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day High<\/th>\n<th style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px; background: #1F4E79; color: #ffffff; text-align: left;\">Day Low<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Crude Oil Aug futures (mini)<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,653<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-4.13%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">9,042<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,588<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Crude Oil Sep futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,277<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-3.53%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,497<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,207<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">Crude Oil Oct futures<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,002<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">-2.82%<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">8,155<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid #D0D7E2; padding: 8px 12px;\">7,906<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Notice the steep backwardation: August trades well above September and October. The market is paying a premium for immediate delivery, a classic signature of supply anxiety. That backwardation is why the crude oil price prediction for Monday cannot simply turn bearish after one red candle.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday_Support_and_Resistance\"><\/span><strong>Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday: Support and Resistance<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Immediate support:<\/strong> Rs 8,588, Friday&#8217;s low on the August mini contract.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Deeper support:<\/strong> Rs 8,400, where value buyers may step in if the correction extends.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Immediate resistance:<\/strong> Rs 8,850, the halfway mark of Friday&#8217;s fall.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Major resistance:<\/strong> Rs 9,040, Friday&#8217;s high; a reclaim would signal the correction is over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Kunal Singla observes that Brent held the 100-dollar mark through Asian trade on Friday and posted a third consecutive weekly gain. As long as tanker traffic through the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz remains under threat, rallies can resume without warning. The bear case needs an actual diplomatic breakthrough, not just fatigue.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Screen energy and OMC stocks on the Univest Screener<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_Crude_Affects_Equities_in_Mondays_Session\"><\/span><strong>How Crude Affects Equities in Monday&#8217;s Session<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Friday proved the linkage. The <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty 50<\/a> crashed toward 23,606 in the morning while crude spiked, then recovered to close at 23,767.45 as the energy complex cooled. The <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/sensex\/sensex-share-price-today\">Sensex<\/a> clawed back roughly 600 points from its low to end at 76,059.77. Oil marketing companies stay under margin pressure while upstream names track crude lower; on Friday ONGC fell 1.43% and Indian Oil slipped 1.04%, while <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance Industries<\/a> rose 0.46% on the strength of its integrated model.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trading_Plan_Around_the_Crude_Oil_Price_Prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Trading Plan Around the Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Avoid carrying oversized overnight positions; weekend headlines from the US-Iran track can gap the Monday open by several percent.<\/li>\n<li>A hold above Rs 8,588 keeps a bounce toward Rs 8,850 in play; a break below shifts the focus to Rs 8,400.<\/li>\n<li>Rate-sensitive banks such as <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/hdfcbank\/hdfc-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">HDFC Bank<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/icicibank\/icici-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">ICICI Bank<\/a> benefit if crude keeps cooling, since lower energy prices ease inflation pressure; <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-bank\/nifty-bank-share-price-today\">Bank Nifty<\/a> already closed 0.18% higher on Friday.<\/li>\n<li>Track the September contract for positioning beyond this week, since the August series approaches expiry on 19 August with rollover activity building.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to follow live MCX crude oil prices with instant alerts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, is neutral to volatile: the 4.13% Friday correction relieved overbought positioning, but Brent above 100 dollars and a rejected ceasefire keep the supply-risk premium alive. Kunal Singla and Ankit Jaiswal have flagged Rs 8,588 as the pivot; the side of that line crude opens on will likely dictate the day. Trade small, respect stops, and consult a SEBI-registered advisor.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Disclaimer\"><\/span><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQs\"><\/span><strong>FAQs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_27_July_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The crude oil price prediction for Monday is neutral to volatile. MCX August futures corrected 4.13% to around Rs 8,653 on Friday, with support at Rs 8,588 and resistance at Rs 8,850 and Rs 9,040.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_fall_4_on_Friday_before_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil fall 4% on Friday before Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The fall was profit booking after a strong rally that kept Brent above 100 dollars per barrel. The geopolitical driver stayed intact, as Iran rejected a US-backed ceasefire proposal during the week.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_the_crude_oil_rally_over_before_Monday_27_July\"><\/span><strong>Is the crude oil rally over before Monday, 27 July?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Not necessarily. The futures curve remains in backwardation, with August trading above September and October, which signals continued supply anxiety. A reclaim of Rs 9,040 would suggest the rally is resuming.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_crude_oil_affect_the_stock_market_on_Monday\"><\/span><strong>How does crude oil affect the stock market on Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> High crude raises India&#8217;s import bill and inflation risk, pressuring equities. On Friday the Nifty 50 recovered from its lows only after crude cooled intraday, closing at 23,767.45.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_key_MCX_crude_oil_levels_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>What are the key MCX crude oil levels for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Support sits at Rs 8,588 and Rs 8,400, with resistance at Rs 8,850 and Rs 9,040 on the August mini contract, as per the crude oil price prediction for Monday from Univest analysts.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_analysts_prepared_this_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Which analysts prepared this crude oil price prediction for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, and Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, prepared the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 27 July 2026, using Friday&#8217;s MCX and global closing data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crude oil price prediction for Monday 27 July 2026: MCX crude corrects 4.13% even as Brent holds 100 dollars and Iran rejects the ceasefire. 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