{"id":168721,"date":"2026-07-24T14:29:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:59:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=168721"},"modified":"2026-07-24T14:29:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:59:06","slug":"raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Raamdeo Agrawal Says Oil and Rupee Are Big Risks for Markets, But Time to Accumulate Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Raamdeo Agrawal: oil, rupee big risks for markets. FIIs won&#8217;t come back soon, but corrections worth buying. India&#8217;s 7 percent growth, low inflation, robust banking system cited as strengths.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Veteran investor Raamdeo Agrawal has flagged crude oil and the rupee as the two biggest risks facing Indian markets right now, even as he argued that current corrections are worth buying. According to Raamdeo Agrawal, foreign institutional investors are unlikely to return to Indian equities in a meaningful way soon, but that should not stop domestic investors from accumulating quality stocks.<\/p>\n<p>The comments from Raamdeo Agrawal come at a time when the <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/sensex\/sensex-share-price-today\">Sensex<\/a> are both under pressure, with crude oil having climbed back above 100 dollars a barrel and the rupee trading near 96.6 per dollar amid rising US Treasury yields and escalating Middle East tensions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Raamdeo_Agrawal_on_Why_Oil_and_Rupee_Are_the_Key_Risks\" title=\"Raamdeo Agrawal on Why Oil and Rupee Are the Key Risks\">Raamdeo Agrawal on Why Oil and Rupee Are the Key Risks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Why_Raamdeo_Agrawal_Sees_Corrections_as_a_Buying_Opportunity\" title=\"Why Raamdeo Agrawal Sees Corrections as a Buying Opportunity\">Why Raamdeo Agrawal Sees Corrections as a Buying Opportunity<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#What_FII_Caution_Means_for_Domestic_Investors\" title=\"What FII Caution Means for Domestic Investors\">What FII Caution Means for Domestic Investors<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions FAQs\">Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#What_did_Raamdeo_Agrawal_say_about_market_risks\" title=\"What did Raamdeo Agrawal say about market risks?\">What did Raamdeo Agrawal say about market risks?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Does_Raamdeo_Agrawal_expect_FIIs_to_return_soon\" title=\"Does Raamdeo Agrawal expect FIIs to return soon?\">Does Raamdeo Agrawal expect FIIs to return soon?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Why_does_Raamdeo_Agrawal_think_it_is_time_to_accumulate_stocks\" title=\"Why does Raamdeo Agrawal think it is time to accumulate stocks?\">Why does Raamdeo Agrawal think it is time to accumulate stocks?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#What_are_the_biggest_risks_to_Indian_markets_right_now\" title=\"What are the biggest risks to Indian markets right now?\">What are the biggest risks to Indian markets right now?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#What_is_driving_the_rupee_and_oil_price_pressure\" title=\"What is driving the rupee and oil price pressure?\">What is driving the rupee and oil price pressure?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/raamdeo-agrawal-oil-rupee-risks-accumulate-stocks\/#Should_investors_follow_Raamdeo_Agrawals_view_and_buy_the_dip\" title=\"Should investors follow Raamdeo Agrawal&#8217;s view and buy the dip?\">Should investors follow Raamdeo Agrawal&#8217;s view and buy the dip?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Raamdeo_Agrawal_on_Why_Oil_and_Rupee_Are_the_Key_Risks\"><\/span><strong>Raamdeo Agrawal on Why Oil and Rupee Are the Key Risks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>While global fund managers remain constrained by currency risks and geopolitical uncertainty, Raamdeo Agrawal pointed to India&#8217;s 7 percent growth rate, low inflation and a robust banking system as factors that make market corrections worth buying despite the near term headwinds.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Parameter<\/th>\n<th>View<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Biggest risks flagged<\/td>\n<td>Crude oil prices and rupee depreciation<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FII view<\/td>\n<td>Unlikely to return to Indian equities meaningfully soon<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>India strengths cited<\/td>\n<td>7 percent GDP growth, low inflation, robust banking system<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Overall stance<\/td>\n<td>Market corrections are worth accumulating into<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Explore stock accumulation opportunities on the Univest Screener<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Raamdeo_Agrawal_Sees_Corrections_as_a_Buying_Opportunity\"><\/span><strong>Why Raamdeo Agrawal Sees Corrections as a Buying Opportunity<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The logic behind this constructive stance rests on India&#8217;s structural growth story remaining intact even as short term sentiment sours on external factors. A 7 percent growth trajectory, combined with contained inflation and a well capitalised banking system, provides a fundamental cushion that many emerging markets lack during periods of global risk aversion.<\/p>\n<p>This view implicitly separates cyclical, sentiment driven selling, of the kind seen in recent sessions amid crude oil and currency pressure, from a structural deterioration in India&#8217;s economic fundamentals, which does not appear to be happening.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_FII_Caution_Means_for_Domestic_Investors\"><\/span><strong>What FII Caution Means for Domestic Investors<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Raamdeo Agrawal&#8217;s view that FIIs won&#8217;t come back soon carries an important implication for domestic investors, since it suggests that any near term market recovery may need to be driven primarily by domestic institutional and retail flows rather than a resumption of foreign buying.<\/p>\n<p>This aligns with the pattern already visible in the market, where domestic institutional investors have consistently absorbed a large share of FII selling in recent sessions, even as their own pace of buying has moderated amid a busy primary market calendar.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track market commentary and stock ideas live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Raamdeo Agrawal has identified oil and the rupee as the biggest near term risks for Indian markets, cautioning that FIIs are unlikely to return meaningfully soon. Yet he sees the current correction as a buying opportunity, anchored in India&#8217;s 7 percent growth, low inflation and strong banking system. Investors should weigh this constructive long term view against near term volatility and consult a SEBI registered advisor before acting.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_did_Raamdeo_Agrawal_say_about_market_risks\"><\/span><strong>What did Raamdeo Agrawal say about market risks?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Raamdeo Agrawal said oil and the rupee are the biggest risks facing Indian markets currently, with global fund managers remaining constrained by currency risks and geopolitical uncertainty.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Does_Raamdeo_Agrawal_expect_FIIs_to_return_soon\"><\/span><strong>Does Raamdeo Agrawal expect FIIs to return soon?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> No, Raamdeo Agrawal said FIIs won&#8217;t come back to Indian equities meaningfully soon, suggesting domestic flows will need to drive any near term market recovery.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_does_Raamdeo_Agrawal_think_it_is_time_to_accumulate_stocks\"><\/span><strong>Why does Raamdeo Agrawal think it is time to accumulate stocks?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Raamdeo Agrawal believes India&#8217;s 7 percent growth, low inflation and robust banking system make current market corrections worth buying, even as near term risks from oil and the rupee persist.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_biggest_risks_to_Indian_markets_right_now\"><\/span><strong>What are the biggest risks to Indian markets right now?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> According to Raamdeo Agrawal, crude oil prices and rupee depreciation are the biggest risks, both of which have been under pressure amid escalating Middle East tensions and rising US Treasury yields.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_driving_the_rupee_and_oil_price_pressure\"><\/span><strong>What is driving the rupee and oil price pressure?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil has climbed back above 100 dollars a barrel amid Middle East tensions, while the rupee has weakened alongside rising US Treasury yields, together creating the risks Raamdeo Agrawal has flagged for markets.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_investors_follow_Raamdeo_Agrawals_view_and_buy_the_dip\"><\/span><strong>Should investors follow Raamdeo Agrawal&#8217;s view and buy the dip?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Investors should treat such commentary as one input among many, assess their own risk appetite and time horizon, and consult a SEBI registered advisor before making investment decisions based on market commentary.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What did Raamdeo Agrawal say about market risks?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Raamdeo Agrawal said oil and the rupee are the biggest risks facing Indian markets currently, with global fund managers remaining constrained by currency risks and geopolitical uncertainty.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Does Raamdeo Agrawal expect FIIs to return soon?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"No, Raamdeo Agrawal said FIIs won't come back to Indian equities meaningfully soon, suggesting domestic flows will need to drive any near term market recovery.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why does Raamdeo Agrawal think it is time to accumulate stocks?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Raamdeo 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dip?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Investors should treat such commentary as one input among many, assess their own risk appetite and time horizon, and consult a SEBI registered advisor before making investment decisions based on market commentary.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Raamdeo Agrawal says oil and the rupee are the biggest risks for markets and FIIs won&#8217;t return soon, but believes India&#8217;s 7 percent growth, low inflation and robust banking system make corrections worth 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