{"id":157712,"date":"2026-07-17T16:08:56","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T10:38:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=157712"},"modified":"2026-07-17T16:08:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T10:38:57","slug":"crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026: MCX Crude Extends Rally to a Fifth Straight Session, Up 1.67 Percent to Rs 7,741"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Crude oil price prediction for Monday 20 July 2026: MCX Crude Oil July futures closed at Rs 7,741, up 1.67 percent, a fifth straight rise. Support Rs 7,600. Resistance Rs 7,800 and Rs 7,900.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/strong>: MCX Crude Oil July futures extended their rally to close at Rs 7,741 on Friday, up 1.67 percent, a fifth consecutive session of gains, even as Indian equities themselves rallied sharply, confirming crude&#8217;s own sustained exposure to the unresolved Strait of Hormuz crisis regardless of broader market sentiment. This crude oil price prediction for monday is built on Friday, 10 July 2026&#8217;s closing data, the last completed session before markets reopen on Monday, 13 July 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, notes that the crude oil price prediction for Monday now reflects a genuinely durable, multi-week trend rather than a temporary spike, since five straight sessions of gains, even alongside a strong domestic equity rally, confirms the market continues to price in sustained rather than resolved geopolitical risk.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=crude-oil-price-prediction-20-july\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Market_Recap_Behind_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Market Recap Behind the Crude oil price prediction for monday\">Market Recap Behind the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday_Trend_and_Key_Levels\" title=\"Crude oil price prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels\">Crude oil price prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#A_Fifth_Straight_Session_Independent_of_Equity_Market_Sentiment\" title=\"A Fifth Straight Session, Independent of Equity Market Sentiment\">A Fifth Straight Session, Independent of Equity Market Sentiment<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Key_Triggers_in_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Key Triggers in the Crude oil price prediction for monday\">Key Triggers in the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Related_Energy_Markets_to_Watch\" title=\"Related Energy Markets to Watch\">Related Energy Markets to Watch<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Risks_to_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Risks to the Crude oil price prediction for monday\">Risks to the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#FAQs_on_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"FAQs on the Crude oil price prediction for monday\">FAQs on the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_20_July_2026\" title=\"What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?\">What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Which_analyst_gave_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Which analyst gave the crude oil price prediction for Monday?\">Which analyst gave the crude oil price prediction for Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_keep_rising_even_as_Indian_equities_rallied_sharply_on_Friday\" title=\"Why did crude oil keep rising even as Indian equities rallied sharply on Friday?\">Why did crude oil keep rising even as Indian equities rallied sharply on Friday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/crude-oil-price-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Is_crude_oil_expected_to_rise_further_on_Monday\" title=\"Is crude oil expected to rise further on Monday?\">Is crude oil expected to rise further on Monday?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Recap_Behind_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Market Recap Behind the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Crude oil opened at Rs 7,665, touched a high of Rs 7,775 and closed at Rs 7,741, extending the week&#8217;s gains for a fifth straight session. With markets closed over the weekend, this crude oil price prediction for Monday is built on Friday&#8217;s data, the last completed session before trading resumes on the new trading week.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday_Trend_and_Key_Levels\"><\/span><strong>Crude oil price prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Trend: Bullish Above Rs 7,600<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Level Type<\/th>\n<th>Value<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Support 1<\/td>\n<td>Rs 7,600<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Support 2<\/td>\n<td>Rs 7,480<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Resistance 1<\/td>\n<td>Rs 7,800<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Resistance 2<\/td>\n<td>Rs 7,900<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal flags Rs 7,600 as the key support for the crude oil price prediction for Monday, with Rs 7,800 as the first resistance. A close above Rs 7,900 would confirm the market is pricing in continued sustained disruption risk, while a break under Rs 7,480 would suggest the five-session rally is finally losing momentum.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Fifth_Straight_Session_Independent_of_Equity_Market_Sentiment\"><\/span><strong>A Fifth Straight Session, Independent of Equity Market Sentiment<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal flags this independence as the key theme in the crude oil price prediction for Monday: unlike earlier in the week when crude&#8217;s moves closely tracked broader risk sentiment, Friday&#8217;s continued gain came even as Indian equities posted their strongest session in weeks. This suggests crude is now trading almost entirely on its own direct exposure to the Strait of Hormuz situation, a genuinely structural rather than sentiment-driven repricing.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Triggers_in_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Key Triggers in the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>These triggers dominate the outlook heading into Monday, 13 July 2026:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Weekend naval developments:<\/strong> Any fresh incident over the weekend would be the single biggest swing factor heading into Monday&#8217;s open.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Actual shipping disruption levels:<\/strong> Whether the ongoing situation is meaningfully reducing oil flow through the strait remains the most important real-time indicator.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Diplomatic intervention:<\/strong> Any sign of international mediation over the weekend would be the clearest de-escalation trigger after five sessions of sustained gains.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-india\"><strong>Talk to a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor Before Trading Commodities<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Related_Energy_Markets_to_Watch\"><\/span><strong>Related Energy Markets to Watch<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Natural gas and Indian energy equities are worth tracking alongside the crude oil price prediction for Monday for a fuller picture.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Natural Gas:<\/strong> MCX Natural Gas rose a more modest 0.80 percent on Friday, continuing to trade independently of crude&#8217;s own sharper rally.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reliance Industries:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance Industries<\/a> jumped 2.36 percent on Friday ahead of its own Q1 FY27 results, finally showing some correlation with crude&#8217;s strength after lagging for much of the week.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Risks to the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>These factors can invalidate this outlook:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sudden de-escalation:<\/strong> Any weekend diplomatic breakthrough would quickly unwind a meaningful part of the five-session rally.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Demand destruction:<\/strong> Sustained elevated prices could eventually dent global oil demand.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Overextended rally:<\/strong> After five straight up sessions, some profit booking or consolidation would not be unusual when trading resumes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track live MCX crude oil prices and get daily commodity research from SEBI registered analysts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, is bullish above Rs 7,600, after Friday marked a fifth straight session of gains, now trading largely independent of broader equity market sentiment. Ankit Jaiswal flags Rs 7,600 as the key support in the crude oil price prediction for Monday, with weekend naval developments or diplomatic intervention the decisive factors heading into the new trading week.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQs_on_the_Crude_oil_price_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>FAQs on the Crude oil price prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday_20_July_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, is bullish above Rs 7,600. MCX Crude Oil July futures closed at Rs 7,741 on Friday, up 1.67 percent, a fifth straight session of gains.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_analyst_gave_the_crude_oil_price_prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Which analyst gave the crude oil price prediction for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, has shared the crude oil price prediction for Monday, flagging Rs 7,600 as the key support level for the new trading week.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_keep_rising_even_as_Indian_equities_rallied_sharply_on_Friday\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil keep rising even as Indian equities rallied sharply on Friday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil extended its rally to a fifth straight session on Friday even as Sensex jumped 1.25 percent, confirming the commodity is trading almost entirely on its own direct exposure to the unresolved Strait of Hormuz situation rather than broader market sentiment. The crude oil price prediction for Monday treats this independence as a structural repricing.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_crude_oil_expected_to_rise_further_on_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Is crude oil expected to rise further on Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The crude oil price prediction for Monday leans bullish above Rs 7,600, since the underlying Hormuz crisis remains unresolved over the weekend, though any diplomatic breakthrough during that time could quickly reverse part of the five-session rally.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026: MCX crude closed near Rs 7,741 on Friday, up 1.67 percent, a fifth straight session of gains. Levels inside.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":157793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[3802],"class_list":["post-157712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-news"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_edit_lock":["1784284740:29"],"_last_editor_used_jetpack":["block-editor"],"rank_math_primary_category":["842"],"rank_math_seo_score":["77"],"rank_math_title":["Crude Oil Price Prediction for Monday 20 July"],"rank_math_description":["Crude oil price prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026: MCX crude closed near Rs 7,741 on Friday, up 1.67 percent, a fifth straight session of gains. 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