{"id":157700,"date":"2026-07-17T16:01:20","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T10:31:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=157700"},"modified":"2026-07-17T16:01:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T10:31:21","slug":"commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodity Market Prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026: Crude Extends Its Rally to a Fifth Session as Base Metals and Silver Ease"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Commodity market prediction for Monday 20 July 2026: Crude Oil Rs 7,741 (+1.67%, 5th rise), Gold Rs 1,40,591 (+0.17%), Silver Rs 2,15,500 (-0.24%), Copper Rs 1,295.3 (-1.01%).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Commodity market prediction for monday<\/strong>: The commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, shows crude oil&#8217;s rally now stretching to a fifth consecutive session, even as base metals and silver eased on Friday and Indian equities themselves posted their strongest session in weeks. This commodity market prediction for monday is built on Friday, 10 July 2026&#8217;s closing data, the last completed session before markets reopen on Monday, 13 July 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest have put together this commodity market prediction for Monday covering energy, precious metals and base metals together, since Friday&#8217;s session confirmed crude oil&#8217;s growing independence from both the broader equity market and the rest of the commodity complex.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=commodity-market-prediction-20-july\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Market_Recap_Behind_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Market Recap Behind the Commodity market prediction for monday\">Market Recap Behind the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday_Trend_and_Key_Levels\" title=\"Commodity market prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels\">Commodity market prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Crudes_Growing_Independence_From_Both_Equities_and_the_Rest_of_the_Complex\" title=\"Crude&#8217;s Growing Independence From Both Equities and the Rest of the Complex\">Crude&#8217;s Growing Independence From Both Equities and the Rest of the Complex<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Key_Triggers_in_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Key Triggers in the Commodity market prediction for monday\">Key Triggers in the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Individual_Commodity_Predictions_for_Monday\" title=\"Individual Commodity Predictions for Monday\">Individual Commodity Predictions for Monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Risks_to_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"Risks to the Commodity market prediction for monday\">Risks to the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#FAQs_on_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\" title=\"FAQs on the Commodity market prediction for monday\">FAQs on the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#What_is_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_20_July_2026\" title=\"What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?\">What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Which_analysts_gave_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday\" title=\"Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for Monday?\">Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for Monday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Why_did_crude_oil_keep_rising_while_base_metals_fell_on_Friday\" title=\"Why did crude oil keep rising while base metals fell on Friday?\">Why did crude oil keep rising while base metals fell on Friday?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/commodity-market-prediction-for-monday-20-july-2026\/#Which_commodity_has_been_most_consistent_recently\" title=\"Which commodity has been most consistent recently?\">Which commodity has been most consistent recently?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Recap_Behind_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Market Recap Behind the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Friday&#8217;s commodity session extended the divergence pattern seen through the week for the commodity market prediction for Monday. MCX Crude Oil rose a further 1.67 percent to Rs 7,741, its fifth straight session of gains, even as Indian equities rallied 1.25 percent on the Sensex. Base metals stayed soft, with copper down 1.01 percent and zinc down 1.14 percent, while precious metals were mixed, with gold up a marginal 0.17 percent and silver down 0.24 percent.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday_Trend_and_Key_Levels\"><\/span><strong>Commodity market prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Trend: Diverging: Crude&#8217;s Sustained Rally, Soft Base Metals, Mixed Precious Metals<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Level Type<\/th>\n<th>Value<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Crude Oil Support\/Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 7,600 \/ Rs 7,800<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gold Support\/Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 1,39,000 \/ Rs 1,42,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Silver Support\/Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 2,13,000 \/ Rs 2,18,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Copper Support\/Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 1,285 \/ Rs 1,305<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Zinc Support\/Resistance<\/td>\n<td>Rs 368 \/ Rs 378<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Kunal Singla notes that the commodity market prediction for Monday now shows crude oil trading almost entirely on its own direct Hormuz exposure, since Friday&#8217;s continued gain came despite, rather than because of, the broader risk-on mood that lifted Indian equities to their strongest session in weeks.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crudes_Growing_Independence_From_Both_Equities_and_the_Rest_of_the_Complex\"><\/span><strong>Crude&#8217;s Growing Independence From Both Equities and the Rest of the Complex<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Ankit Jaiswal flags this as the key theme in the commodity market prediction for Monday: while crude oil extended its rally for a fifth straight session, base metals like copper and zinc actually fell, and precious metals stayed mixed, all on the same Friday when Indian equities posted their best session in weeks. This confirms crude&#8217;s price action is now driven almost entirely by its own structural exposure to the unresolved Strait of Hormuz situation, decoupled from both broader risk sentiment and the rest of the commodity complex.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Triggers_in_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Key Triggers in the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>These triggers dominate the outlook heading into Monday, 13 July 2026:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Weekend naval developments:<\/strong> The single biggest swing factor for crude specifically heading into Monday.<\/li>\n<li><strong>China demand data:<\/strong> Now the more relevant driver for base metals, which are trading largely independent of both crude and the equity rally.<\/li>\n<li><strong>US Fed rate trajectory:<\/strong> Remains a live variable for gold and silver independent of the geopolitical and equity backdrop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-india\"><strong>Talk to a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor Before Trading Commodities<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Individual_Commodity_Predictions_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Individual Commodity Predictions for Monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>For deeper dives into each commodity referenced in this commodity market prediction for Monday, Univest has published separate analyses covering crude oil, gold, silver, copper, zinc and natural gas individually.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Crude Oil:<\/strong> Bullish above Rs 7,600, now on a fifth straight session of gains, trading independent of the broader market.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gold and Silver:<\/strong> Mixed, with gold marginally higher and silver easing, both far more muted than crude&#8217;s own move.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Copper and Zinc:<\/strong> Both bearish, falling despite the strong Friday equity rally, tracking their own China-demand dynamics.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Risks_to_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>Risks to the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>These factors can invalidate this outlook:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sudden severe escalation:<\/strong> Could pull the entire commodity complex higher together, as seen earlier in the week.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Crude rally finally pausing:<\/strong> Would remove the one segment of the complex that has stayed consistently bullish.<\/li>\n<li><strong>China demand data disappointing:<\/strong> Would add fresh pressure specifically to the base metals segment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track live MCX commodity prices and get daily commodity research from SEBI registered analysts.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, shows crude oil&#8217;s rally stretching to a fifth straight session even as base metals and silver eased on a day when Indian equities posted their strongest session in weeks. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest agree that weekend naval developments remain the single biggest swing factor for this commodity market prediction for Monday heading into the new trading week.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQs_on_the_Commodity_market_prediction_for_monday\"><\/span><strong>FAQs on the Commodity market prediction for monday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday_20_July_2026\"><\/span><strong>What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, shows crude oil extending its rally to a fifth straight session, up 1.67 percent to Rs 7,741 on Friday, while base metals and silver eased the same session.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_analysts_gave_the_commodity_market_prediction_for_Monday\"><\/span><strong>Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for Monday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, and Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, have jointly prepared the commodity market prediction for Monday.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_crude_oil_keep_rising_while_base_metals_fell_on_Friday\"><\/span><strong>Why did crude oil keep rising while base metals fell on Friday?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil rose 1.67 percent on Friday while copper and zinc both fell, confirming crude is trading almost entirely on its own direct exposure to the unresolved Strait of Hormuz situation, while base metals track separate China-demand dynamics. The commodity market prediction for Monday treats this divergence as the current defining pattern.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_commodity_has_been_most_consistent_recently\"><\/span><strong>Which commodity has been most consistent recently?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Crude oil has been the most consistently directional commodity, posting five straight sessions of gains, even as Indian equities themselves rallied strongly on Friday, a divergence that confirms the commodity&#8217;s own structural exposure to the ongoing crisis.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The commodity market prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, shows crude oil extending its rally to a fifth straight session, up 1.67 percent to Rs 7,741 on Friday, while base metals and silver eased the same session.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for Monday?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, and Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, have jointly prepared the commodity market prediction for Monday.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did crude oil keep rising while base metals fell on Friday?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Crude oil rose 1.67 percent on Friday while copper and zinc both fell, confirming crude is trading almost entirely on its own direct exposure to the unresolved Strait of Hormuz situation, while base metals track separate China-demand dynamics. 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