{"id":144743,"date":"2026-07-08T23:43:54","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T18:13:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=144743"},"modified":"2026-07-08T23:43:56","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T18:13:56","slug":"nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/","title":{"rendered":"Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex Crashes 1,677 Points as Trump Declares Iran Ceasefire Over, Full Technical and Options Breakdown for 9 July 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\">\u00a0<\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Nifty 50 analysis 9 Jul 2026: Sensex down 1,677 pts (2.15%) to 76,503.60 on Iran ceasefire collapse. Crude up 7%+, India VIX up 26% to 14.68. Max pain 76,900, expected move +-694 pts.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis covers the pre-market setup for Thursday, 9 July 2026, a day after Indian equity benchmarks suffered their worst session in over three months. The <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/sensex\/sensex-share-price-today\">Sensex<\/a> slumped 1,677.12 points, or 2.15 percent, to close at 76,503.60, the <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-50\/nifty-50-share-price-today\">Nifty 50<\/a> shed 516.65 points, or 2.12 percent, to settle at 23,882.05, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/indices\/nifty-bank\/nifty-bank-share-price-today\">Bank Nifty<\/a> gave up 2.51 percent to 56,742.60, after US President Trump declared that the ceasefire with Iran was over.<\/p>\n<p>India VIX spiked 26.01 percent to 14.68 as traders rushed for protection into Thursday&#8217;s weekly Sensex expiry, and market breadth was overwhelmingly negative at 698 advances against 2,631 declines. This Nifty 50 analysis breaks down every part of Univest&#8217;s Daily Technical report, covering the market pulse, global cues, sectoral performance, sector rotation, sentiment dashboard, options positioning and actionable trade setups for the session ahead.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=nifty-50-analysis-9-july-2026\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Market_Pulse_and_What_Drove_the_Crash\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Pulse and What Drove the Crash\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Pulse and What Drove the Crash<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Post-Market_Recap_and_Breadth_Damage\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Post-Market Recap and Breadth Damage\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Post-Market Recap and Breadth Damage<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Global_Cues_Ahead_of_Thursday\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Global Cues Ahead of Thursday\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Global Cues Ahead of Thursday<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Top_Gainers_and_Losers_on_the_Index\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers on the Index\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers on the Index<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Top_Gainers_and_Losers_F_O_Universe\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers, F&amp;O Universe\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers, F&amp;O Universe<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Sectoral_Performance_Across_15_NSE_Indices\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Sectoral Performance Across 15 NSE Indices\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Sectoral Performance Across 15 NSE Indices<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Sector_Rotation_on_the_Relative_Rotation_Graph\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Sector Rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Sector Rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Market_Sentiment_Dashboard_at_28100\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Sentiment Dashboard at 28\/100\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Sentiment Dashboard at 28\/100<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Sensex_Nifty_and_Bank_Nifty_Technical_Views\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex, Nifty and Bank Nifty Technical Views\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex, Nifty and Bank Nifty Technical Views<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Sensex_Technical_View\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex Technical View\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex Technical View<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Nifty_50_Technical_View\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Nifty 50 Technical View\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Nifty 50 Technical View<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Bank_Nifty_Technical_View\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Bank Nifty Technical View\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Bank Nifty Technical View<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Derivatives_Check_for_the_Weekly_Expiry\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Derivatives Check for the Weekly Expiry\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Derivatives Check for the Weekly Expiry<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Open_Interest_Walls_and_Key_Levels\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Open Interest Walls and Key Levels\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Open Interest Walls and Key Levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Fresh_Build-Up_in_Call_Versus_Put_Writing\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Fresh Build-Up in Call Versus Put Writing\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Fresh Build-Up in Call Versus Put Writing<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Volatility_and_Probability_Read\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Volatility and Probability Read\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Volatility and Probability Read<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Theta_Decay_Risk_for_Option_Buyers\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Theta Decay Risk for Option Buyers\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Theta Decay Risk for Option Buyers<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Institutional_Positioning_Across_Participants\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Institutional Positioning Across Participants\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Institutional Positioning Across Participants<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-19\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_FII_and_DII_Cash_Market_Activity\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: FII and DII Cash Market Activity\">Nifty 50 Analysis: FII and DII Cash Market Activity<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-20\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_F_O_Build-Up_Matrix_Across_Stocks\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: F&amp;O Build-Up Matrix Across Stocks\">Nifty 50 Analysis: F&amp;O Build-Up Matrix Across Stocks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-21\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Actionable_Trades_for_Thursdays_Expiry\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Actionable Trades for Thursday&#8217;s Expiry\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Actionable Trades for Thursday&#8217;s Expiry<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-22\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Iron_Condor_76200765007800078300\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Iron Condor 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Iron Condor 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-23\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Short_Strangle_76500_PE78000_CE\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Short Strangle 76,500 PE\/78,000 CE\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Short Strangle 76,500 PE\/78,000 CE<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-24\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Directional_Buy_Bearish_76300_PE\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Directional Buy, Bearish 76,300 PE\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Directional Buy, Bearish 76,300 PE<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-25\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Contingency_Buy_Bullish_76700_CE\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Contingency Buy, Bullish 76,700 CE\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Contingency Buy, Bullish 76,700 CE<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-26\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_Eight_Key_Takeaways_for_Traders\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: Eight Key Takeaways for Traders\">Nifty 50 Analysis: Eight Key Takeaways for Traders<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-27\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Nifty_50_Analysis_The_Research_Desk_View\" title=\"Nifty 50 Analysis: The Research Desk View\">Nifty 50 Analysis: The Research Desk View<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-28\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-29\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\" title=\"Frequently Asked Questions FAQs\">Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-30\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#What_does_this_Nifty_50_analysis_say_about_Thursdays_expected_range\" title=\"What does this Nifty 50 analysis say about Thursday&#8217;s expected range?\">What does this Nifty 50 analysis say about Thursday&#8217;s expected range?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-31\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Why_did_the_Sensex_and_Nifty_50_crash_on_8_July_2026\" title=\"Why did the Sensex and Nifty 50 crash on 8 July 2026?\">Why did the Sensex and Nifty 50 crash on 8 July 2026?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-32\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#What_is_the_max_pain_level_for_Thursdays_Sensex_expiry\" title=\"What is the max pain level for Thursday&#8217;s Sensex expiry?\">What is the max pain level for Thursday&#8217;s Sensex expiry?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-33\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Which_sectors_held_up_best_and_worst_in_this_Nifty_50_analysis\" title=\"Which sectors held up best and worst in this Nifty 50 analysis?\">Which sectors held up best and worst in this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-34\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#What_is_the_GEX_flip_level_and_why_does_it_matter\" title=\"What is the GEX flip level and why does it matter?\">What is the GEX flip level and why does it matter?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-35\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#How_were_FIIs_positioned_heading_into_Thursdays_expiry\" title=\"How were FIIs positioned heading into Thursday&#8217;s expiry?\">How were FIIs positioned heading into Thursday&#8217;s expiry?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-36\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#What_are_the_actionable_trade_setups_from_this_Nifty_50_analysis\" title=\"What are the actionable trade setups from this Nifty 50 analysis?\">What are the actionable trade setups from this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-37\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/nifty-50-analysis-sensex-crash-iran-ceasefire-9-july\/#Should_investors_trade_based_on_this_Nifty_50_analysis\" title=\"Should investors trade based on this Nifty 50 analysis?\">Should investors trade based on this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Market_Pulse_and_What_Drove_the_Crash\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Pulse and What Drove the Crash<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Indian equity benchmarks tumbled on Wednesday, 8 July 2026, as a fresh escalation between the United States and Iran rattled global risk sentiment through the session. President Trump said the ceasefire with Iran was over, and reports of renewed US strikes on Iranian military infrastructure and an attack on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz sent crude oil surging more than 7 percent, with Brent settling near $80 a barrel.<\/p>\n<p>Every sector index closed in the red, with chemicals, PSU banks and cement the biggest laggards while metals and pharma held up relatively best. Wall Street extended the selloff into its own close, with the Dow down about 1.5 percent, and GIFT Nifty was trading weak near 23,878 ahead of Thursday&#8217;s session, pointing to a soft open. The Sensex closed at 76,504, 396 points below max pain at 76,900 ahead of the weekly expiry, with the options chain pricing an expected move of about plus or minus 694 points, framing a 75,810 to 77,198 band.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Post-Market_Recap_and_Breadth_Damage\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Post-Market Recap and Breadth Damage<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Metric<\/th>\n<th>Reading<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>NSE Advance\/Decline<\/td>\n<td>698 advances, 2,631 declines, 82 unchanged<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Advance\/Decline Ratio<\/td>\n<td>0.27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Nifty 50 Breadth<\/td>\n<td>4 stocks up, 45 down<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Market Tone<\/td>\n<td>Negative<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Breadth was decisively negative on 8 July, as fresh US strikes on Iran linked targets and the Strait of Hormuz tanker attack sent crude oil surging and triggered a broad, sector wide risk off move. Every single NSE sector index closed lower, led down by chemicals, PSU banks and cement, while metals and pharma were the relative outperformers in this Nifty 50 analysis of the session.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Global_Cues_Ahead_of_Thursday\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Global Cues Ahead of Thursday<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Index<\/th>\n<th>Level<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Dow Jones<\/td>\n<td>52,155<\/td>\n<td>-1.45 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Nasdaq<\/td>\n<td>25,601<\/td>\n<td>-0.84 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>S&amp;P 500<\/td>\n<td>7,437<\/td>\n<td>-0.89 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GIFT Nifty<\/td>\n<td>23,878<\/td>\n<td>-1.54 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Nikkei 225<\/td>\n<td>66,819<\/td>\n<td>-2.11 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Hang Seng<\/td>\n<td>24,199<\/td>\n<td>+2.99 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Shanghai Composite<\/td>\n<td>3,971<\/td>\n<td>-0.49 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FTSE 100<\/td>\n<td>10,496<\/td>\n<td>-1.59 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>DAX<\/td>\n<td>24,931<\/td>\n<td>-2.10 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CAC 40<\/td>\n<td>8,257<\/td>\n<td>-2.13 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Commodity \/ Currency<\/th>\n<th>Level<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Brent Crude<\/td>\n<td>$79.85 per barrel<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WTI Crude<\/td>\n<td>$75.56 per barrel<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gold<\/td>\n<td>$4,053 per ounce<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USD\/INR<\/td>\n<td>95.55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dollar Index (DXY)<\/td>\n<td>101.12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Overnight global markets were mostly weak heading into Thursday&#8217;s session, with Hang Seng the lone bright spot among major indices, rising nearly 3 percent. GIFT Nifty trading down 1.54 percent near 23,878 signals a soft open for the Nifty 50, consistent with continued risk aversion after the Iran ceasefire collapse.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Top_Gainers_and_Losers_on_the_Index\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers on the Index<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Top Gainers<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ongc\/oil-and-natural-gas-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">ONGC<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+1.15 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bajaj Auto<\/td>\n<td>+0.65 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/hindalco\/hindalco-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Hindalco<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+0.42 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/coalindia\/coal-india-ltd-share-price-today\">Coal India<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+0.40 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Top Losers<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/indigo\/interglobe-aviation-ltd-share-price-today\">IndiGo<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-5.10 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/jiofin\/jio-financial-services-ltd-share-price-today\">Jio Financial Services<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-5.02 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/shriramfin\/shriram-finance-ltd-share-price-today\">Shriram Finance<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-4.86 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/maruti\/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd-share-price-today\">Maruti Suzuki<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-3.88 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/hindunilvr\/hindustan-unilever-ltd-share-price-today\">HUL<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-3.36 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/tataconsum\/tata-consumer-products-ltd-share-price-today\">Tata Consumer<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-3.11 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-india\"><strong>Get F&amp;O and Derivatives Guidance from a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor at Univest<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Top_Gainers_and_Losers_F_O_Universe\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Top Gainers and Losers, F&amp;O Universe<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Top Gainers<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/kalyankjil\/kalyan-jewellers-india-ltd-share-price-today\">Kalyan Jewellers<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+5.71 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/mcx\/multi-commodity-exchange-of-india-ltd-share-price-today\">MCX<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+4.42 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/nationalum\/national-aluminium-company-ltd-share-price-today\">NALCO<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+2.47 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/premierene\/premier-energies-ltd-share-price-today\">Premier Energies<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+2.35 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/bse\/bse-ltd-share-price-today\">BSE Ltd<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+2.13 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/oil\/oil-india-ltd-share-price-today\">Oil India<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+1.97 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Top Losers<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ltf\/landt-finance-ltd-share-price-today\">L&amp;T Finance<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-5.82 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/jublfood\/jubilant-foodworks-ltd-share-price-today\">Jubilant FoodWorks<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-5.79 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>360 One WAM<\/td>\n<td>-5.19 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IndiGo<\/td>\n<td>-5.10 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jio Financial Services<\/td>\n<td>-5.02 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Shriram Finance<\/td>\n<td>-4.86 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Sectoral_Performance_Across_15_NSE_Indices\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Sectoral Performance Across 15 NSE Indices<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Zero of 15 sectoral indices closed higher in this Nifty 50 analysis of Wednesday&#8217;s session. Metal led the tape at negative 0.91 percent while PSU Bank lagged the most at negative 2.72 percent.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Sector<\/th>\n<th>Change<\/th>\n<th>Level<\/th>\n<th>Support<\/th>\n<th>Resistance<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Metal<\/td>\n<td>-0.91 percent<\/td>\n<td>12,469<\/td>\n<td>12,357<\/td>\n<td>12,618<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pharma<\/td>\n<td>-0.97 percent<\/td>\n<td>25,430<\/td>\n<td>25,163<\/td>\n<td>25,843<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Healthcare<\/td>\n<td>-1.21 percent<\/td>\n<td>16,146<\/td>\n<td>15,975<\/td>\n<td>16,416<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Consumer Durables<\/td>\n<td>-1.33 percent<\/td>\n<td>37,210<\/td>\n<td>36,870<\/td>\n<td>37,680<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IT<\/td>\n<td>-1.37 percent<\/td>\n<td>27,555<\/td>\n<td>27,327<\/td>\n<td>27,926<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MidSmall IT and Telecom<\/td>\n<td>-1.78 percent<\/td>\n<td>9,229<\/td>\n<td>9,146<\/td>\n<td>9,354<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Realty<\/td>\n<td>-1.87 percent<\/td>\n<td>876<\/td>\n<td>863<\/td>\n<td>897<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Auto<\/td>\n<td>-2.23 percent<\/td>\n<td>26,733<\/td>\n<td>26,447<\/td>\n<td>27,193<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Oil and Gas<\/td>\n<td>-2.23 percent<\/td>\n<td>10,999<\/td>\n<td>10,915<\/td>\n<td>11,130<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Media<\/td>\n<td>-2.31 percent<\/td>\n<td>1,452<\/td>\n<td>1,438<\/td>\n<td>1,475<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FMCG<\/td>\n<td>-2.49 percent<\/td>\n<td>48,977<\/td>\n<td>48,525<\/td>\n<td>49,733<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Private Bank<\/td>\n<td>-2.52 percent<\/td>\n<td>27,592<\/td>\n<td>27,331<\/td>\n<td>28,056<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Cement<\/td>\n<td>-2.57 percent<\/td>\n<td>14,874<\/td>\n<td>14,725<\/td>\n<td>15,129<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Chemicals<\/td>\n<td>-2.67 percent<\/td>\n<td>29,147<\/td>\n<td>28,810<\/td>\n<td>29,674<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PSU Bank<\/td>\n<td>-2.72 percent<\/td>\n<td>8,072<\/td>\n<td>7,981<\/td>\n<td>8,216<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Sector_Rotation_on_the_Relative_Rotation_Graph\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Sector Rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Sector rotation analysis, based on the weekly Relative Rotation Graph against the Nifty 50 as of 3 July 2026, shows Realty and Pharma in the Leading quadrant with strengthening momentum, while IT sits in the Improving quadrant, also strengthening. Financial Services, Bank, Auto, Infrastructure and PSU Bank are all in the Weakening quadrant with fading momentum, while FMCG, Energy and Metal sit in the Lagging quadrant, though FMCG and Metal are showing early strengthening signs.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Sector<\/th>\n<th>Quadrant<\/th>\n<th>Weekly Direction<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Realty<\/td>\n<td>Leading<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pharma<\/td>\n<td>Leading<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IT<\/td>\n<td>Improving<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Financial Services<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bank<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Media<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Auto<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Infrastructure<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PSU Bank<\/td>\n<td>Weakening<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FMCG<\/td>\n<td>Lagging<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Energy<\/td>\n<td>Lagging<\/td>\n<td>Fading<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Metal<\/td>\n<td>Lagging<\/td>\n<td>Strengthening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Market_Sentiment_Dashboard_at_28100\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Market Sentiment Dashboard at 28\/100<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis shows the composite market sentiment reading stands at 28 out of 100 across six directional signals, five bearish and one bullish, reflecting a clear bearish lean in this Nifty 50 analysis. PCR OI sits at 0.57, indicating call writers lead, while PCR trend is at plus 0.25, showing fresh put writing. The FII long short ratio at 0.10 confirms FIIs are heavily short, India VIX at 14.68 sits in a normal range despite the sharp spike, breadth shows only 21 percent advancers, and the stock is in the lower half of its 52 week range at 34 percent.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Sensex_Nifty_and_Bank_Nifty_Technical_Views\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex, Nifty and Bank Nifty Technical Views<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Sensex_Technical_View\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Sensex Technical View<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The Sensex closed at 76,504, below the day pivot of 76,871. The desk view suggests selling strength into resistance 1 at 77,484 with a stop above resistance 2 at 78,463, and buying only the support 1 zone at 75,891 with a stop below support 2 at 75,279, while standing aside in the middle of the range until it resolves.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Nifty_50_Technical_View\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Nifty 50 Technical View<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The Nifty 50 closed at 23,882, below the day pivot of 23,996. The same range trading approach applies: sell strength into resistance 1 at 24,186 with a stop above resistance 2 at 24,491, buy only the support 1 zone at 23,692 with a stop below support 2 at 23,501.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Bank_Nifty_Technical_View\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Bank Nifty Technical View<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Bank Nifty closed at 56,743, below the day pivot of 57,123. Sell strength into resistance 1 at 57,696 with a stop above resistance 2 at 58,649, buy only the support 1 zone at 56,169 with a stop below support 2 at 55,596.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Derivatives_Check_for_the_Weekly_Expiry\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Derivatives Check for the Weekly Expiry<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Metric<\/th>\n<th>Reading<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>PCR OI<\/td>\n<td>0.57, mildly bearish<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Max Pain<\/td>\n<td>76,900, 396 points versus spot<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Call Wall (Near)<\/td>\n<td>78,000, primary resistance<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Put Wall (Near)<\/td>\n<td>76,500, near floor<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GEX Flip<\/td>\n<td>76,600<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ATM Implied Volatility<\/td>\n<td>19.60 percent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Implied Range<\/td>\n<td>75,810 to 77,198, plus or minus 694 points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>PCR OI sits at 0.57 and PCR change in OI at 0.25. The heaviest fresh call writing is concentrated at 78,000, up 26.2 lakh contracts, 77,500, up 19.8 lakh, and 77,000, up 14.9 lakh, meaning the ceiling is being defended harder than the floor at this stage. GEX flips at 76,600. Above this level, dealers stabilise price as they are net long gamma; below it, they amplify moves toward the put walls as they turn short gamma.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Open_Interest_Walls_and_Key_Levels\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Open Interest Walls and Key Levels<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Strike<\/th>\n<th>Type<\/th>\n<th>OI<\/th>\n<th>Significance<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>80,000<\/td>\n<td>Call<\/td>\n<td>30.6 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Overhead supply<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>78,500<\/td>\n<td>Call<\/td>\n<td>30.9 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Overhead supply<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>78,000<\/td>\n<td>Call<\/td>\n<td>33.8 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Iron ceiling, largest wall, heaviest fresh write<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>76,900<\/td>\n<td>Pin<\/td>\n<td>Max pain<\/td>\n<td>Gravitational magnet, GEX flip sits nearby<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>76,500<\/td>\n<td>Put<\/td>\n<td>18.2 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Near spot floor, breakdown trigger below it<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>76,000<\/td>\n<td>Put<\/td>\n<td>16.7 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Near spot floor, breakdown trigger below it<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>75,000<\/td>\n<td>Put<\/td>\n<td>19.5 lakh<\/td>\n<td>Strong floor, largest put write, defended bedrock<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Fresh_Build-Up_in_Call_Versus_Put_Writing\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Fresh Build-Up in Call Versus Put Writing<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis shows the top fresh call writes for Thursday&#8217;s expiry are concentrated at 78,000, up 26.2 lakh contracts, 77,500, up 19.8 lakh, and 77,000, up 14.9 lakh. On the put side, the top fresh writes are at 73,000, up 9.3 lakh, 74,500, up 8.1 lakh, and 76,500, up 7.9 lakh, confirming that sellers are positioning for a range bound to lower move into expiry.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Volatility_and_Probability_Read\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Volatility and Probability Read<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Implied volatility bottoms near the ATM strike at 19.60 percent and lifts on both wings into expiry, with out of the money puts around 25.2 percent implied volatility and the call wing at 20.7 percent near 77,500. The put minus call skew ranges from 4.2 to 4.7 percentage points across equidistant strikes, showing puts consistently carry a richer bid than calls today. The model settlement bias from the ATM straddle points to a 50 percent probability of a lower close and 50 percent sideways, with 0 percent probability assigned to a higher close.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Theta_Decay_Risk_for_Option_Buyers\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Theta Decay Risk for Option Buyers<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Final session theta is severe heading into Thursday&#8217;s expiry. The 76,900 call option, sitting right at max pain, bleeds 95 percent of its premium in the final session, effectively a premium donation for buyers. Out of the money puts below spot also show elevated theta decay ranging from 53 to 87 percent of premium per day, while calls above spot range from 62 to 83 percent, underscoring why option sellers hold the structural edge into this expiry.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Institutional_Positioning_Across_Participants\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Institutional Positioning Across Participants<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Participant<\/th>\n<th>Net Index Futures<\/th>\n<th>Net Calls<\/th>\n<th>Net Puts<\/th>\n<th>Positioning<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Client<\/td>\n<td>+187,155<\/td>\n<td>+294,172<\/td>\n<td>-628,922<\/td>\n<td>Strong Bullish<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>DII<\/td>\n<td>+71,230<\/td>\n<td>+5,805<\/td>\n<td>+27,800<\/td>\n<td>Mild Bullish<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FII<\/td>\n<td>-268,586<\/td>\n<td>-283,151<\/td>\n<td>+546,664<\/td>\n<td>Strong Bearish<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pro<\/td>\n<td>+10,201<\/td>\n<td>-16,827<\/td>\n<td>+54,458<\/td>\n<td>Neutral<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis shows clients dominate the long side of the market at about 88 percent of long equivalent exposure, while FIIs own roughly 85 percent of the short side, a clear divergence in positioning between domestic retail and foreign institutional participants heading into Thursday&#8217;s expiry.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_FII_and_DII_Cash_Market_Activity\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: FII and DII Cash Market Activity<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis notes that on 8 July 2026, FIIs were net buyers in the cash market to the tune of Rs 1,962.80 crore, while DIIs added a further Rs 790.16 crore of net buying, provisional figures show. This cash market buying stands in contrast to the strongly bearish FII positioning seen in the index futures and options book, highlighting a divergence between FII cash and derivatives activity in this Nifty 50 analysis.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_F_O_Build-Up_Matrix_Across_Stocks\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: F&amp;O Build-Up Matrix Across Stocks<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Stock<\/th>\n<th>OI Change<\/th>\n<th>Category<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/lodha\/macrotech-developers-ltd-share-price-today\">Lodha (Macrotech)<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+25.7 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Oil India<\/td>\n<td>+20.4 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/nykaa\/fsn-e-share-price-today\">Nykaa<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+11.4 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/adaniensol\/adani-energy-solutions-ltd-share-price-today\">Adani Energy Solutions<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+3.5 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/iex\/indian-energy-exchange-ltd-share-price-today\">IEX<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+12.6 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/forcemot\/force-motors-ltd-share-price-today\">Force Motors<\/a><\/td>\n<td>+11.9 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jubilant FoodWorks<\/td>\n<td>+10.2 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IndiGo<\/td>\n<td>+9.3 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Build-Up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/idea\/vodafone-idea-ltd-share-price-today\">Vodafone Idea<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-0.6 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Covering<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NALCO<\/td>\n<td>-0.9 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Covering<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/naukri\/info-edge-(india)-ltd-share-price-today\">Naukri (Info Edge)<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-1.3 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Covering<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Hindalco<\/td>\n<td>-1.5 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Short Covering<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/rblbank\/rbl-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">RBL Bank<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-1.2 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Unwinding<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/bajfinance\/bajaj-finance-ltd-share-price-today\">Bajaj Finance<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-1.5 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Unwinding<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/maxhealth\/max-healthcare-institute-ltd-share-price-today\">Max Healthcare<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-2.0 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Unwinding<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/hdfcbank\/hdfc-bank-ltd-share-price-today\">HDFC Bank<\/a><\/td>\n<td>-2.5 percent OI<\/td>\n<td>Long Unwinding<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Actionable_Trades_for_Thursdays_Expiry\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Actionable Trades for Thursday&#8217;s Expiry<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Univest Derivatives Desk has flagged four options setups for Thursday&#8217;s Sensex weekly expiry, each with defined entry, target and stop loss levels. These are desk level technical setups tied to the option chain, not personalised investment advice, and involve significant risk that may not suit every investor.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Iron_Condor_76200765007800078300\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Iron Condor 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The best rated trade is an iron condor, selling the 76,500 put at Rs 399.35 and the 78,000 call at Rs 20.45, while buying protection at the 76,200 put for Rs 263.70 and the 78,300 call for Rs 13.90. This generates a net credit of Rs 142.20, or about Rs 2,844 per lot, against a maximum loss of Rs 3,156 per lot, with breakevens between 76,358 and 78,142, offering roughly 60 percent probability of profit.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Short_Strangle_76500_PE78000_CE\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Short Strangle 76,500 PE\/78,000 CE<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>A more aggressive short strangle involves selling the same 76,500 put and 78,000 call for a combined credit of Rs 419.80 per share, or Rs 8,396 per lot, with breakevens at 76,080 and 78,420. This carries undefined risk and requires margin, with an estimated 78 percent probability of profit if theta and the max pain pin hold through expiry.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Directional_Buy_Bearish_76300_PE\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Directional Buy, Bearish 76,300 PE<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>For directional traders, buying the 76,300 put at Rs 305.60 targets Rs 458.40 and Rs 611.20, with a stop loss at Rs 198.64, offering roughly 82 percent probability of profit given the call heavy PCR, three way FII short positioning, and negative GEX below 76,600.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Contingency_Buy_Bullish_76700_CE\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Contingency Buy, Bullish 76,700 CE<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>A bullish contingency call buy at the 76,700 strike, priced at Rs 206.30, targets Rs 315.64 and Rs 433.23 with a stop loss at Rs 138.22, but only on a 15 minute close above 76,600 with call wall open interest dropping, offering an estimated 77 percent probability of profit.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_Eight_Key_Takeaways_for_Traders\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: Eight Key Takeaways for Traders<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>First, the Sensex closed at 76,504, 396 points off max pain of 76,900, with the chain pricing an expected move of about plus or minus 694 points into expiry. Second, PCR change in OI at 0.25 is the lead signal, with fresh writing concentrated at upper strikes, giving sellers the positioning edge. Third, GEX flips at 76,600, meaning dealers dampen moves above this level and accelerate them below it toward the 75,000 put wall.<\/p>\n<p>Fourth, ATM implied volatility is 19.60 percent against an expected move of plus or minus 694 points, so option sellers carry the theta edge into settlement. Fifth, theta is brutal at expiry, with the 76,900 call bleeding 95 percent of its premium in the final session, making it a poor buy at or above this strike. Sixth, FII positioning stands at negative 268,586 net index futures, negative 283,151 net calls and positive 546,664 net puts, while clients sit opposite with negative 628,922 net puts.<\/p>\n<p>Seventh, the F&amp;O tape shows short build-up in IEX, Force Motors and Jubilant FoodWorks, long build-up in Lodha, Oil India and Nykaa, and short covering in Vodafone Idea, NALCO and Naukri. Eighth, the best identified edge in this Nifty 50 analysis is the 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300 iron condor for a 142.20 credit, about Rs 2,844 a lot, with breakevens between 76,358 and 78,142.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Nifty_50_Analysis_The_Research_Desk_View\"><\/span><strong>Nifty 50 Analysis: The Research Desk View<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Univest Derivatives Desk view is that the chain leans range to lower into expiry, with a preference for selling strength into the 78,000 call wall while keeping risk defined, and the real fight expected at the 75,000 level. Buyers need their move to materialise before midday, while sellers benefit from time working in their favour as the clock runs down. The desk recommends staying nimble around the key walls and letting expiry week theta do the heavy lifting.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track live Nifty 50 levels, options data and daily derivatives research.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This Nifty 50 analysis for 9 July 2026 shows a market under pressure after the Sensex crashed 1,677 points on the Iran ceasefire collapse, with every sector closing lower and India VIX spiking 26 percent. The options chain points to a range bound to lower bias into Thursday&#8217;s weekly expiry, with 76,500 as the near term floor and 78,000 as the defended ceiling. Investors and traders should treat all levels and trade setups as technical observations, not personalised advice, and consult a SEBI registered investment advisor before acting, especially given the significant risk in derivatives trading.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Frequently_Asked_Questions_FAQs\"><\/span><strong>Frequently Asked Questions FAQs<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_does_this_Nifty_50_analysis_say_about_Thursdays_expected_range\"><\/span><strong>What does this Nifty 50 analysis say about Thursday&#8217;s expected range?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> This Nifty 50 analysis shows the options chain pricing an expected move of about plus or minus 694 points for the Sensex weekly expiry, framing a 75,810 to 77,198 range, with the Nifty 50 support at 23,692 and resistance at 24,186.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_did_the_Sensex_and_Nifty_50_crash_on_8_July_2026\"><\/span><strong>Why did the Sensex and Nifty 50 crash on 8 July 2026?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Sensex and Nifty 50 crashed after US President Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran was over, and reports of renewed US strikes on Iran and a tanker attack near the Strait of Hormuz sent crude oil surging more than 7 percent.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_max_pain_level_for_Thursdays_Sensex_expiry\"><\/span><strong>What is the max pain level for Thursday&#8217;s Sensex expiry?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Max pain for Thursday&#8217;s Sensex weekly expiry is 76,900, which sits 396 points above Wednesday&#8217;s spot close of 76,503.60, acting as a gravitational pin into settlement according to this Nifty 50 analysis.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_sectors_held_up_best_and_worst_in_this_Nifty_50_analysis\"><\/span><strong>Which sectors held up best and worst in this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Metal held up best, falling only 0.91 percent, followed by Pharma at negative 0.97 percent, while PSU Bank was the worst performer, falling 2.72 percent, with Chemicals and Cement also among the biggest laggards.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_GEX_flip_level_and_why_does_it_matter\"><\/span><strong>What is the GEX flip level and why does it matter?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The GEX flip sits at 76,600. Above this level dealers are net long gamma and dampen price moves, while below it they turn short gamma and tend to accelerate moves toward the put walls, a key input in this Nifty 50 analysis.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_were_FIIs_positioned_heading_into_Thursdays_expiry\"><\/span><strong>How were FIIs positioned heading into Thursday&#8217;s expiry?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> FIIs were strongly bearish in derivatives, net short 268,586 index futures and net short 283,151 calls while net long 546,664 puts, even as they were net buyers of Rs 1,962.80 crore in the cash market on 8 July.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_actionable_trade_setups_from_this_Nifty_50_analysis\"><\/span><strong>What are the actionable trade setups from this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Univest Derivatives Desk flagged a 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300 iron condor as the best rated setup, alongside a more aggressive 76,500 PE\/78,000 CE short strangle, a directional 76,300 PE buy, and a contingency 76,700 CE buy on a breakout above 76,600.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Should_investors_trade_based_on_this_Nifty_50_analysis\"><\/span><strong>Should investors trade based on this Nifty 50 analysis?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> These are technical, options chain based observations from the Univest Derivatives Desk, not personalised investment advice. Derivatives trading carries significant risk and may not suit all investors, so readers should consult a SEBI registered investment advisor before acting.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\">\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What does this Nifty 50 analysis say about Thursday's expected range?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"This Nifty 50 analysis shows the options chain pricing an expected move of about plus or minus 694 points for the Sensex weekly expiry, framing a 75,810 to 77,198 range, with the Nifty 50 support at 23,692 and resistance at 24,186.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why did the Sensex and Nifty 50 crash on 8 July 2026?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Sensex and Nifty 50 crashed after US President Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran was over, and reports of renewed US strikes on Iran and a tanker attack near the Strait of Hormuz sent crude oil surging more than 7 percent.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the max pain level for Thursday's Sensex expiry?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Max pain for Thursday's Sensex weekly expiry is 76,900, which sits 396 points above Wednesday's spot close of 76,503.60, acting as a gravitational pin into settlement according to this Nifty 50 analysis.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Which sectors held up best and worst in this Nifty 50 analysis?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Metal held up best, falling only 0.91 percent, followed by Pharma at negative 0.97 percent, while PSU Bank was the worst performer, falling 2.72 percent, with Chemicals and Cement also among the biggest laggards.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the GEX flip level and why does it matter?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The GEX flip sits at 76,600. Above this level dealers are net long gamma and dampen price moves, while below it they turn short gamma and tend to accelerate moves toward the put walls, a key input in this Nifty 50 analysis.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How were FIIs positioned heading into Thursday's expiry?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"FIIs were strongly bearish in derivatives, net short 268,586 index futures and net short 283,151 calls while net long 546,664 puts, even as they were net buyers of Rs 1,962.80 crore in the cash market on 8 July.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What are the actionable trade setups from this Nifty 50 analysis?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Univest Derivatives Desk flagged a 76,200\/76,500\/78,000\/78,300 iron condor as the best rated setup, alongside a more aggressive 76,500 PE\/78,000 CE short strangle, a directional 76,300 PE buy, and a contingency 76,700 CE buy on a breakout above 76,600.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Should investors trade based on this Nifty 50 analysis?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"These are technical, options chain based observations from the Univest Derivatives Desk, not personalised investment advice. 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