{"id":122841,"date":"2026-06-18T15:24:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T09:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/?p=122841"},"modified":"2026-06-18T15:24:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T09:54:01","slug":"oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil and Gas Is Most Under-Owned Sector in Indian Mutual Funds as Weight Falls to 5.2% After Iran Conflict Hit"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"meta-block\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"border-left: 4px solid #1F4E79; background: #EBF3FB; padding: 10px 16px; font-style: italic;\"><em>Oil and Gas is now the most under-owned sector in Indian mutual funds, with sector weight at 5.2%. Brent crude fell from $107 to $79 after US-Iran truce. ONGC Rs 245.40, BPCL Rs 316.10, IOC Rs 145.82.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Oil and Gas sector<\/strong> has become the most under-owned sector in Indian mutual fund portfolios, with the aggregate sector weight declining to 5.2%, a significant discount to the sector&#8217;s 9-11% representation in broader indices like the Nifty 500. The sector&#8217;s fall from favour has been driven by the sharp uncertainty during the US-Iran conflict that pushed Brent crude to $107 per barrel, compressing downstream refiner margins through government-imposed retail price caps and creating earnings visibility concerns across the value chain. With Brent now near $79 per barrel, down approximately 28% from the conflict peak, the Oil and Gas sector&#8217;s under-ownership has become a contrarian data point that analysts say warrants close attention.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/log-in?utm_source=blogs&amp;utm_medium=oil-gas-mf-under-owned-june-18-2026\"><strong>Click Here &#8211; Get Free Investment Predictions<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_65 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#Oil_and_Gas_Sector_MF_Allocation_at_a_Glance\" title=\"Oil and Gas Sector MF Allocation at a Glance\">Oil and Gas Sector MF Allocation at a Glance<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#Why_the_Oil_and_Gas_Sector_Became_Indias_Most_Under-Owned_in_Mutual_Funds\" title=\"Why the Oil and Gas Sector Became India&#8217;s Most Under-Owned in Mutual Funds\">Why the Oil and Gas Sector Became India&#8217;s Most Under-Owned in Mutual Funds<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#The_Under-Ownership_Case_Downstream_vs_Upstream\" title=\"The Under-Ownership Case: Downstream vs Upstream\">The Under-Ownership Case: Downstream vs Upstream<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#1_Downstream_OMCs_The_Primary_Re-Rating_Candidate\" title=\"1. Downstream OMCs: The Primary Re-Rating Candidate\">1. Downstream OMCs: The Primary Re-Rating Candidate<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#2_ONGC_Upstream_Caution_Despite_Under-Ownership\" title=\"2. ONGC: Upstream Caution Despite Under-Ownership\">2. ONGC: Upstream Caution Despite Under-Ownership<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#3_The_Institutional_Re-Rating_Catalyst\" title=\"3. The Institutional Re-Rating Catalyst\">3. The Institutional Re-Rating Catalyst<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#Conclusion\" title=\"Conclusion\">Conclusion<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#Why_has_the_Oil_and_Gas_sector_become_the_most_under-owned_in_mutual_funds\" title=\"Why has the Oil and Gas sector become the most under-owned in mutual funds?\">Why has the Oil and Gas sector become the most under-owned in mutual funds?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#What_does_under-owned_mean_for_mutual_fund_sector_allocation\" title=\"What does under-owned mean for mutual fund sector allocation?\">What does under-owned mean for mutual fund sector allocation?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#What_is_Brent_crude_oils_price_today_and_how_did_it_get_here\" title=\"What is Brent crude oil&#8217;s price today and how did it get here?\">What is Brent crude oil&#8217;s price today and how did it get here?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#How_does_lower_crude_oil_affect_Indian_Oil_and_Gas_companies\" title=\"How does lower crude oil affect Indian Oil and Gas companies?\">How does lower crude oil affect Indian Oil and Gas companies?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#What_are_the_current_prices_of_key_Oil_and_Gas_sector_stocks\" title=\"What are the current prices of key Oil and Gas sector stocks?\">What are the current prices of key Oil and Gas sector stocks?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#Is_there_a_contrarian_opportunity_in_Oil_and_Gas_stocks_after_the_under-ownership\" title=\"Is there a contrarian opportunity in Oil and Gas stocks after the under-ownership?\">Is there a contrarian opportunity in Oil and Gas stocks after the under-ownership?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#What_is_the_Oil_and_Gas_sectors_weight_in_Nifty_indices\" title=\"What is the Oil and Gas sector&#8217;s weight in Nifty indices?\">What is the Oil and Gas sector&#8217;s weight in Nifty indices?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/blogs-2\/oil-and-gas-most-under-owned-sector-mutual-funds-june-2026\/#What_risks_remain_for_Oil_and_Gas_sector_stocks_even_after_the_Iran_truce\" title=\"What risks remain for Oil and Gas sector stocks even after the Iran truce?\">What risks remain for Oil and Gas sector stocks even after the Iran truce?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Oil_and_Gas_Sector_MF_Allocation_at_a_Glance\"><\/span><strong>Oil and Gas Sector MF Allocation at a Glance<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; margin: 20px 0;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background: #000000;\">\n<th style=\"color: #ffffff; padding: 10px; text-align: left; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Oil and Gas Sector Data<\/th>\n<th style=\"color: #ffffff; padding: 10px; text-align: left; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Detail<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">MF Sector Weight (Oil and Gas)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">5.2% (most under-owned sector in Indian MF portfolios)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Index Weight (approx)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">~9-11% in Nifty 500; ~8-9% from Reliance alone in Nifty 50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Under-ownership Gap<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">~4-6 percentage points vs benchmark weight<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Brent Crude (June 18, 2026)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">~$77-79 per barrel<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Brent Crude Peak (Conflict)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">~$107 per barrel (April-May 2026)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Decline From Peak<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">~28% fall as US-Iran truce removes geopolitical premium<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ongc\/oil-and-natural-gas-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">ONGC (NSE: ONGC)<\/a><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Rs 245.40 (+0.16%) | Upstream; lower crude = lower realisations<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/bpcl\/bharat-petroleum-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">BPCL (NSE: BPCL)<\/a><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Rs 316.10 (-0.58%, high Rs 321.60) | Downstream; lower crude = better margins<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/ioc\/indian-oil-corporation-ltd-share-price-today\">Indian Oil Corp (NSE: IOC)<\/a><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Rs 145.82 (+0.28%) | Downstream refiner and retailer<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/gail\/gail-(india)-ltd-share-price-today\">GAIL (NSE: GAIL)<\/a><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Rs 176.25 (+0.70%) | Gas transmission<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/stocks\/reliance\/reliance-industries-ltd-share-price-today\">Reliance (NSE: RELIANCE)<\/a><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Rs 1,327.30 (broadly flat) | Largest O&amp;G sector constituent<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div style=\"background: #E8EAFF; border-radius: 14px; padding: 28px 32px 24px 32px; margin: 24px 0; font-family: -apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,sans-serif; cursor: pointer; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box;\">\n<p style=\"font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold; color: #0a0a23; margin: 0 0 12px 0; line-height: 1.3;\">Track Oil and Gas Sector Stocks With Univest Expert Research<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 15px; color: #3a3a5c; margin: 0 0 14px 0; line-height: 1.6;\">When <strong style=\"color: #0a0a23;\">Univest analysts<\/strong> flag sectoral contrarian plays, <em>investors position early.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 15px; color: #3a3a5c; margin: 0 0 14px 0; line-height: 1.6;\">Our research team has shortlisted the <strong style=\"color: #0a0a23;\">Top Stocks to Buy<\/strong> based on current market momentum, sector trends &amp; growth potential for 2026.<\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin: 0 0 16px 20px; padding: 0; color: #3a3a5c; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.8;\">\n<li>Discover stocks investors are actively accumulating<\/li>\n<li>High-conviction opportunities backed by research<\/li>\n<li>Designed for the next phase of market growth<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"font-size: 15px; color: #3a3a5c; margin: 0 0 20px 0;\">Unlock the latest <a style=\"color: #3b7fff; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/payment?planType=ALL_PRO%20PLANS\">Top Stock Picks<\/a> on Univest<\/p>\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #3B7FFF; color: #fff; font-size: 15px; font-weight: 600; padding: 13px 28px; border-radius: 50px; letter-spacing: 0.2px; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/user\/payment?planType=ALL_PRO%20PLANS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">See the Stocks \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_Oil_and_Gas_Sector_Became_Indias_Most_Under-Owned_in_Mutual_Funds\"><\/span><strong>Why the Oil and Gas Sector Became India&#8217;s Most Under-Owned in Mutual Funds<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Oil and Gas sector&#8217;s fall to a 5.2% weight in Indian mutual fund portfolios is the result of a perfect storm of factors over the April-June 2026 period. The US-Iran conflict, which shut the Strait of Hormuz and spiked Brent crude to $107 per barrel, created an extreme environment of earnings uncertainty for the entire sector. Upstream companies like ONGC and Oil India faced the prospect of windfall revenues at high crude prices being partially captured by the government through taxes and royalties. Meanwhile, downstream oil marketing companies including BPCL, HPCL and IOC bore the brunt of government-imposed retail price caps, which prevented them from passing the full $107 crude cost to consumers, hammering their marketing margins and profitability.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/univest.in\/screeners\"><strong>Use the Univest Screener to analyse Oil and Gas sector stocks by valuation and earnings<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Under-Ownership_Case_Downstream_vs_Upstream\"><\/span><strong>The Under-Ownership Case: Downstream vs Upstream<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The most important distinction in the Oil and Gas sector under-ownership thesis is between downstream and upstream. As Brent normalises from $107 to $77-79 following the US-Iran truce, the impact on individual companies is very different, and the contrarian opportunity is not uniform across the sector.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; margin: 20px 0;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"background: #000000;\">\n<th style=\"color: #ffffff; padding: 10px; text-align: left; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Company Type<\/th>\n<th style=\"color: #ffffff; padding: 10px; text-align: left; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Impact of Lower Crude<\/th>\n<th style=\"color: #ffffff; padding: 10px; text-align: left; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Key Companies<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Upstream (Exploration)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Lower realisations per barrel; earnings pressure<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">ONGC, Oil India<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Downstream (Refining\/Marketing)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Lower input costs; marketing margin recovery<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">BPCL, HPCL, IOC<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #FFFFFF;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Gas Transmission<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Lower direct crude linkage; stable volumes<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">GAIL, Petronet LNG<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #F9F9F9;\">\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Integrated (O2C)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Refining margin dependent; crude is both cost and product input<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: 10px; border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;\">Reliance Industries<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Downstream_OMCs_The_Primary_Re-Rating_Candidate\"><\/span><strong>1. Downstream OMCs: The Primary Re-Rating Candidate<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>With Brent falling approximately 28% from the peak, downstream oil marketing companies, specifically BPCL, HPCL and IOC, face the most direct margin improvement potential. During the conflict, these companies were forced to absorb high crude costs against capped retail prices. As crude normalises, their marketing margins recover, particularly if the government allows gradual retail fuel price adjustments. The combination of lower input cost and potential price action creates a meaningful earnings recovery trajectory for downstream OMCs, which are also trading at multi-year discount to historical valuations.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_ONGC_Upstream_Caution_Despite_Under-Ownership\"><\/span><strong>2. ONGC: Upstream Caution Despite Under-Ownership<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>For ONGC, the under-ownership narrative is more nuanced. While the stock has underperformed during the conflict period and mutual fund allocations have been cut, the upstream producer&#8217;s earnings are directly tied to crude realisations. Lower crude from $107 to $77-79 compresses the revenue per barrel, which can offset any geopolitical risk premium removal. ONGC investors need to weigh the valuation support from under-ownership against the fundamental earnings headwind from normalising oil prices.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_The_Institutional_Re-Rating_Catalyst\"><\/span><strong>3. The Institutional Re-Rating Catalyst<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The contrarian signal from sector under-ownership is most powerful when combined with an improving fundamental backdrop. For the Oil and Gas sector, that backdrop is emerging: Brent is stabilising at $77-79, Iran is returning to the market in an orderly way, the Strait of Hormuz is reopening, and downstream marketing margins are recovering. If mutual funds need to increase their 5.2% sector weight back toward the 7-9% range, the incremental buying across BPCL, IOC and GAIL could create meaningful support for these stocks regardless of crude direction.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 24px;\"><em>Download the <a href=\"http:\/\/apps.apple.com\/in\/app\/univest-stocks-investment\/id6443753518\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest iOS App<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.univest.capp&amp;hl=en_IN\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Univest Android App<\/a> to track Oil and Gas sector stocks and identify contrarian opportunities live.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The Oil and Gas sector has become the most under-owned in Indian mutual fund portfolios at 5.2%, a gap of approximately 4-6 percentage points below benchmark index weights. The under-ownership reflects the sector&#8217;s difficult environment during the US-Iran conflict, where Brent peaked at $107 and downstream OMCs were caught between high crude costs and capped retail prices. With Brent now near $79 following the US-Iran ceasefire, and the Strait of Hormuz reopening, the sector&#8217;s fundamentals are improving, particularly for downstream companies. However, upstream companies like ONGC face earnings pressure from lower crude realisations. The contrarian opportunity is real but differentiated across the value chain. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #CC0000; border-radius: 8px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 24px 0;\">\n<p style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0;\"><strong style=\"color: #ffffff;\">Disclaimer:<\/strong> Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_has_the_Oil_and_Gas_sector_become_the_most_under-owned_in_mutual_funds\"><\/span><strong>Why has the Oil and Gas sector become the most under-owned in mutual funds?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Oil and Gas sector has become the most under-owned in Indian mutual fund portfolios, with aggregate sector weight falling to 5.2%. The decline reflects the sector&#8217;s sharp underperformance during the US-Iran conflict that ran from April to June 2026. Upstream companies like ONGC faced earnings uncertainty as the geopolitical situation evolved, while downstream oil marketing companies like BPCL, HPCL and IOC were squeezed by retail fuel price caps that prevented them from passing on the full cost of $107 Brent crude to consumers, compressing marketing margins.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_does_under-owned_mean_for_mutual_fund_sector_allocation\"><\/span><strong>What does under-owned mean for mutual fund sector allocation?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Under-owned means that mutual funds collectively hold a smaller weight in a sector than that sector&#8217;s weight in the benchmark index. If the Oil and Gas sector represents approximately 9-11% of the Nifty 500 or broader market indices, and mutual funds have trimmed their collective allocation to 5.2%, the sector is approximately 4-6 percentage points underweight. This is a contrarian signal: when a sector is deeply under-owned by institutional investors, any improvement in fundamentals or sentiment can trigger rapid allocation increases, which can support stock prices.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_Brent_crude_oils_price_today_and_how_did_it_get_here\"><\/span><strong>What is Brent crude oil&#8217;s price today and how did it get here?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Brent crude oil is near $77-79 per barrel as of June 18, 2026, down approximately 28% from its conflict peak of approximately $107 per barrel reached during the height of the US-Iran war in April-May 2026. The decline accelerated after Washington and Tehran signed an interim ceasefire agreement, which is expected to allow Iran to resume oil exports immediately and reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping. Brent has fallen in five straight sessions, reaching its lowest level since early March 2026.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_does_lower_crude_oil_affect_Indian_Oil_and_Gas_companies\"><\/span><strong>How does lower crude oil affect Indian Oil and Gas companies?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Lower crude oil prices affect different Oil and Gas companies differently. For downstream companies like BPCL, HPCL and IOC, lower crude reduces their input costs, potentially improving marketing margins if retail fuel prices remain stable or rise modestly. For upstream producers like ONGC, lower crude reduces realisations per barrel, compressing earnings. For transmission companies like GAIL, the direct crude linkage is lower. For refiners with large refining margins, lower crude helps if product crack spreads remain healthy. The net impact on the sector is mixed but downstream benefits more.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_are_the_current_prices_of_key_Oil_and_Gas_sector_stocks\"><\/span><strong>What are the current prices of key Oil and Gas sector stocks?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Key Oil and Gas sector stocks as of June 18, 2026: ONGC at Rs 245.40 (up approximately 0.16%), BPCL at Rs 316.10 (down approximately 0.58%, day high Rs 321.60), Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) at Rs 145.82 (up approximately 0.28%), GAIL at Rs 176.25 (up approximately 0.70%), and Reliance Industries at Rs 1,327.30 (broadly flat). The sector is trading with mixed signals as investors weigh the contrasting impact of lower crude on upstream versus downstream companies.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_there_a_contrarian_opportunity_in_Oil_and_Gas_stocks_after_the_under-ownership\"><\/span><strong>Is there a contrarian opportunity in Oil and Gas stocks after the under-ownership?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> When a sector reaches historic under-ownership levels in mutual fund portfolios, it can represent a contrarian opportunity if the fundamentals are improving or stabilising. For Oil and Gas, the US-Iran truce has reduced geopolitical risk and crude is normalising from the extreme $107 level. Downstream companies like BPCL and IOC stand to benefit most if marketing margins recover and the government allows gradual retail price normalisation. ONGC may face earnings pressure as realisations fall, but geopolitical risk premium removal benefits the whole sector. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_is_the_Oil_and_Gas_sectors_weight_in_Nifty_indices\"><\/span><strong>What is the Oil and Gas sector&#8217;s weight in Nifty indices?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> The Oil and Gas sector has a combined weight of approximately 9-11% in the Nifty 500 index, driven by large-cap constituents including Reliance Industries, ONGC, BPCL, HPCL, IOC and GAIL. With mutual funds collectively at 5.2% sector weight, the gap of approximately 4-6 percentage points represents significant under-ownership relative to the benchmark. In the Nifty 50 specifically, Reliance Industries alone has a weight of approximately 8-9%, with ONGC and other O&amp;G names adding another 3-4 percentage points.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_risks_remain_for_Oil_and_Gas_sector_stocks_even_after_the_Iran_truce\"><\/span><strong>What risks remain for Oil and Gas sector stocks even after the Iran truce?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Ans.<\/strong> Even after the US-Iran ceasefire, key risks for Oil and Gas sector stocks remain. First, the Iran deal is an interim agreement and Trump has warned that military action could resume if Iran does not comply, creating potential re-escalation risk. Second, lower crude compresses ONGC&#8217;s earnings, and retail fuel price adjustments by the government are politically sensitive. Third, global oil oversupply concerns are rising as Iran re-enters the market alongside higher OPEC+ quotas and IEA forecasts of a supply glut. Fourth, the global energy transition narrative continues to weigh on long-term valuation multiples for fossil fuel companies.<\/p>\n<div class=\"faq-schema\"><script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Why has the Oil and Gas sector become the most under-owned in mutual funds?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Oil and Gas sector has become the most under-owned in Indian mutual fund portfolios, with aggregate sector weight falling to 5.2%. The decline reflects the sector's sharp underperformance during the US-Iran conflict that ran from April to June 2026. Upstream companies like ONGC faced earnings uncertainty as the geopolitical situation evolved, while downstream oil marketing companies like BPCL, HPCL and IOC were squeezed by retail fuel price caps that prevented them from passing on the full cost of $107 Brent crude to consumers, compressing marketing margins.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What does under-owned mean for mutual fund sector allocation?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Under-owned means that mutual funds collectively hold a smaller weight in a sector than that sector's weight in the benchmark index. If the Oil and Gas sector represents approximately 9-11% of the Nifty 500 or broader market indices, and mutual funds have trimmed their collective allocation to 5.2%, the sector is approximately 4-6 percentage points underweight. This is a contrarian signal: when a sector is deeply under-owned by institutional investors, any improvement in fundamentals or sentiment can trigger rapid allocation increases, which can support stock prices.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is Brent crude oil's price today and how did it get here?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Brent crude oil is near $77-79 per barrel as of June 18, 2026, down approximately 28% from its conflict peak of approximately $107 per barrel reached during the height of the US-Iran war in April-May 2026. The decline accelerated after Washington and Tehran signed an interim ceasefire agreement, which is expected to allow Iran to resume oil exports immediately and reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping. Brent has fallen in five straight sessions, reaching its lowest level since early March 2026.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"How does lower crude oil affect Indian Oil and Gas companies?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Lower crude oil prices affect different Oil and Gas companies differently. For downstream companies like BPCL, HPCL and IOC, lower crude reduces their input costs, potentially improving marketing margins if retail fuel prices remain stable or rise modestly. For upstream producers like ONGC, lower crude reduces realisations per barrel, compressing earnings. For transmission companies like GAIL, the direct crude linkage is lower. For refiners with large refining margins, lower crude helps if product crack spreads remain healthy. The net impact on the sector is mixed but downstream benefits more.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What are the current prices of key Oil and Gas sector stocks?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Key Oil and Gas sector stocks as of June 18, 2026: ONGC at Rs 245.40 (up approximately 0.16%), BPCL at Rs 316.10 (down approximately 0.58%, day high Rs 321.60), Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) at Rs 145.82 (up approximately 0.28%), GAIL at Rs 176.25 (up approximately 0.70%), and Reliance Industries at Rs 1,327.30 (broadly flat). The sector is trading with mixed signals as investors weigh the contrasting impact of lower crude on upstream versus downstream companies.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Is there a contrarian opportunity in Oil and Gas stocks after the under-ownership?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"When a sector reaches historic under-ownership levels in mutual fund portfolios, it can represent a contrarian opportunity if the fundamentals are improving or stabilising. For Oil and Gas, the US-Iran truce has reduced geopolitical risk and crude is normalising from the extreme $107 level. Downstream companies like BPCL and IOC stand to benefit most if marketing margins recover and the government allows gradual retail price normalisation. ONGC may face earnings pressure as realisations fall, but geopolitical risk premium removal benefits the whole sector. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What is the Oil and Gas sector's weight in Nifty indices?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"The Oil and Gas sector has a combined weight of approximately 9-11% in the Nifty 500 index, driven by large-cap constituents including Reliance Industries, ONGC, BPCL, HPCL, IOC and GAIL. With mutual funds collectively at 5.2% sector weight, the gap of approximately 4-6 percentage points represents significant under-ownership relative to the benchmark. In the Nifty 50 specifically, Reliance Industries alone has a weight of approximately 8-9%, with ONGC and other O&G names adding another 3-4 percentage points.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"What risks remain for Oil and Gas sector stocks even after the Iran truce?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Even after the US-Iran ceasefire, key risks for Oil and Gas sector stocks remain. First, the Iran deal is an interim agreement and Trump has warned that military action could resume if Iran does not comply, creating potential re-escalation risk. Second, lower crude compresses ONGC's earnings, and retail fuel price adjustments by the government are politically sensitive. Third, global oil oversupply concerns are rising as Iran re-enters the market alongside higher OPEC+ quotas and IEA forecasts of a supply glut. Fourth, the global energy transition narrative continues to weigh on long-term valuation multiples for fossil fuel companies.\"}}]}<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil and Gas is now the most under-owned sector in Indian mutual funds with weight at 5.2%. Brent fell from $107 to $79 after US-Iran truce. BPCL, IOC, ONGC, GAIL impact analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":122857,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[842],"tags":[4732],"class_list":["post-122841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-under-owned-sector"],"metadata":{"rank_math_internal_links_processed":["1"],"_edit_lock":["1781776445:23"],"_last_editor_used_jetpack":["block-editor"],"rank_math_primary_category":["842"],"rank_math_seo_score":["80"],"rank_math_title":["Oil and Gas Is Most Under-Owned MF Sector as Weight Falls to 5.2%"],"rank_math_description":["Oil and Gas sector weight in Indian mutual funds falls to 5.2%, the most under-owned sector. Brent crude near $79 from $107 peak after US-Iran truce. 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