Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow 25 May 2026: Natural Gas Crashes 4.55%, Zinc Stands Alone as Only Gainer
- May 24, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: Market
Commodity market prediction for tomorrow 25 May: Natural gas -4.55%, gold -0.64%, silver -1.24%, zinc +0.76% on 22 May. Memorial Day holiday.
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow on 25 May 2026 is the most differentiated MCX snapshot since May began: natural gas crashed 4.55 per cent to Rs 276.90 per MMBtu as the Memorial Day demand slump hit energy markets, precious metals fell on Dow Jones record risk-on sentiment (gold -0.64 per cent to Rs 1,58,588, silver -1.24 per cent to Rs 2,71,483) and copper slipped marginally (-0.06 per cent to Rs 1,344.30), while zinc stood alone as the only commodity gainer (+0.76 per cent to Rs 370.25). The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is therefore the most sector-specific analysis of the month, with each commodity facing a distinct driver.
Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, note that the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on Monday carries the Memorial Day holiday as the dominant structural feature: US markets are closed, removing overnight American cues for all dollar-denominated MCX commodities, while the Iran nuclear complication (uranium to stay in Iran; Trump rejects Hormuz toll) maintains energy and geopolitical risk premiums in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
MCX Commodity Dashboard: 22 May 2026 Closes
| Commodity | MCX Close (22 May) | Change | Tomorrow Outlook |
| Gold (June) | Rs 1,58,588/10g | -0.64% | Bearish; Dow record + Rupee strength |
| Silver (June) | Rs 2,71,483/kg | -1.24% | More bearish than gold; industrial weak |
| Natural Gas (June) | Rs 276.90/MMBtu | -4.55% | Bearish; Memorial Day demand slump |
| Copper (June) | Rs 1,344.30/kg | -0.06% | Range-bound; Iran uncertainty cap |
| Zinc (June) | Rs 370.25/kg | +0.76% | Mildly positive; only base metal gainer |
| Aluminium (June) | Rs 385.50/kg | -0.32% | Mildly bearish; follows base metals |
Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Energy Sector
Natural gas is the most bearish commodity in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow after its 4.55 per cent crash on 22 May to Rs 276.90 per MMBtu. The Memorial Day industrial demand reduction, Golden Pass LNG Train 1 adding 0.7 billion cubic feet per day of new export capacity and an expected in-line EIA storage injection of 96 billion cubic feet are the three converging bearish factors. US Henry Hub fell 3.21 per cent to $2.92 per MMBtu on 22 May.
Crude oil is range-bound to cautiously supported in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow with WTI at approximately $97 per barrel on 22 May. Iran’s Supreme Leader ordering uranium reserves to stay in Iran and Trump rejecting the Hormuz toll proposal maintain the geopolitical supply disruption premium, preventing crude from falling despite the broader Iran deal progress narrative.
Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow: Precious and Base Metals
Gold (Rs 1,58,588) and silver (Rs 2,71,483) are both bearish in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on the Dow Jones record risk-on signal and Rupee strengthening. Silver’s sharper decline (-1.24 per cent versus gold’s -0.64 per cent) confirms the widening gold-silver ratio and greater pressure on silver’s industrial demand component.
Zinc at Rs 370.25 (+0.76 per cent) is the sole bright spot in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow base metals segment, outperforming copper (-0.06 per cent) and aluminium (-0.32 per cent). Zinc’s outperformance is supported by the Dow Jones record signalling US construction and galvanised steel demand strength.
Key Events for Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow
- US Memorial Day Holiday: US markets closed Monday 25 May removes overnight Dollar and commodity futures signals for all MCX contracts in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- Iran Nuclear Complication: Uranium to stay in Iran, Trump rejects Hormuz toll; geopolitical risk premium maintained for crude and gold in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- EIA Natural Gas Storage Report: Expected 96 Bcf injection; in-line reading is neutral, surprise could move natural gas sharply in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
- 26 May NSE Monthly Expiry (Tuesday): Cross-market institutional activity from the Nifty monthly expiry may add intraday volatility to all MCX contracts on Monday.
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Conclusion: Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow 25 May 2026
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow on 25 May 2026 is bearish across most sectors: natural gas -4.55 per cent (biggest decliner), gold -0.64 per cent, silver -1.24 per cent, copper -0.06 per cent, with zinc the only positive at +0.76 per cent. Memorial Day removes US overnight cues and Iran nuclear complications maintain geopolitical risk in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Disclaimer: Investments in securities and commodities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered research analyst entity (Uniresearch Global Pvt Ltd, INH000012449). Commodity and F&O trading involves significant risk. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.
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FAQs
What is the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on 25 May 2026?
Ans. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is broadly bearish: MCX natural gas Rs 276.90 (-4.55 per cent), gold Rs 1,58,588 (-0.64 per cent), silver Rs 2,71,483 (-1.24 per cent), copper Rs 1,344.30 (-0.06 per cent). Zinc Rs 370.25 (+0.76 per cent) was the only gainer. All are 22 May closes. US Memorial Day holiday removes overnight US cues.
Which MCX commodity fell the most on 22 May 2026?
Ans. MCX natural gas suffered the largest single-commodity decline on 22 May, falling 4.55 per cent to Rs 276.90 per MMBtu. The primary driver was the Memorial Day industrial demand reduction, which cut US natural gas consumption by 15 to 18 per cent over the four-day weekend, while Golden Pass LNG added new export supply capacity. This is the dominant bearish factor in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Which MCX commodity is the only gainer in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. MCX zinc was the only base metal and the only commodity to register a gain on 22 May, closing at Rs 370.25 per kilogram (+0.76 per cent). Zinc outperformed copper (-0.06 per cent) and aluminium (-0.32 per cent) on the same session, driven by the Dow Jones record at 50,580 signalling US construction and manufacturing demand strength in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
How does the Iran situation affect commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Iran’s Supreme Leader ordered uranium reserves to stay in Iran on 22 May, complicating peace negotiations, while Trump rejected Iran’s Hormuz toll proposal. These developments maintain geopolitical supply disruption risk for crude oil (WTI at $97) and a partial geopolitical premium for gold in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, preventing sharper declines.
What is the impact of US Memorial Day on commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. US markets are closed on Monday 25 May for the Memorial Day holiday, removing overnight Dollar, COMEX and NYMEX signals that typically determine MCX commodity opening directions. For natural gas, Memorial Day also directly reduces US industrial demand by 15 to 18 per cent, making it the most Memorial Day-sensitive commodity in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
