Deepak Fertilisers Share Price Target 2027: Base and Bull Targets Built on FY26 Earnings
- October 9, 2026
- Posted by: Harsh Piplani
- Category: Market
Deepak Fertilisers share price Rs 1,396.90 (9 October 2026). Base target Rs 1,666, bull Rs 1,996, downside risk Rs 1,111. PE 17.8. 52W range Rs 866.40 to Rs 1,681.00.
Quick Answer
The Deepak Fertilisers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,666, about 19.3% above the current price of Rs 1,396.90. The bull case is Rs 1,996, and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 1,111. The base case assumes earnings per share grow 20.0% a year, a cap applied because the FY24 to FY26 pace was 27.6%, with the stock holding its PE of 17.8. These are model-based estimates built from reported financials, not guaranteed outcomes.
Investors weighing a Deepak Fertilisers target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 1,396.90 on 9 October 2026, it is 16.9% below its 52-week high of Rs 1,681.00 and 61.2% above its 52-week low of Rs 866.40. That range spans 94% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Deepak Fertilisers price forecast itself.
This article builds the Deepak Fertilisers share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario shows its assumptions, so you can see exactly how the Rs 1,666 base case and the Rs 1,996 bull case were reached, along with a downside risk level of Rs 1,111.
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Deepak Fertilisers Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats
Deepak Fertilisers (NSE: DEEPAKFERT) has a market capitalisation of Rs 17,534 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 11,609 crore and net profit of Rs 738.76 crore. The table collects the figures the Deepak Fertilisers share price target is built on.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Deepak Fertilisers |
| NSE Ticker | DEEPAKFERT |
| CMP (9 October 2026) | Rs 1,396.90 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 1,681.00 |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 866.40 |
| Market Cap | Rs 17,534 crore |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 17.80 |
| Industry PE | 36.60 |
| Price to Book | 2.56 |
| Return on Equity | 10.77% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.83 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 78.02 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.72% |
| 12-Month Base Target | Rs 1,666 |
| Bull Case | Rs 1,996 |
| Downside Risk Level (not a target) | Rs 1,111 |
Why Is Deepak Fertilisers Share Price Target Set at Rs 1,666 for 2027?
The base-case Deepak Fertilisers stock target of Rs 1,666 applies a PE multiple of 17.80 to a forward EPS estimate of Rs 93.62. That EPS assumes 20.0% yearly growth, the pace from FY24 to FY26, and puts the target 19.3% above the current price. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.
Earnings Growth Behind the Deepak Fertilisers Target Price: Five Years of Results
Deepak Fertilisers grew revenue from Rs 7,707 crore in FY22 to Rs 11,609 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of 10.8%. Net profit grew more slowly, from Rs 687.48 crore to Rs 738.76 crore (1.8% a year), which points to margin pressure alongside the sales growth.
| Financial Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Dividend per Share (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 7,707.22 | 687.48 | 58.25 | 9.00 |
| FY23 | 11,384.71 | 1,220.88 | 97.70 | 10.00 |
| FY24 | 8,798.85 | 467.56 | 35.87 | 8.50 |
| FY25 | 10,355.24 | 944.67 | 73.95 | 10.00 |
| FY26 | 11,609.03 | 738.76 | 58.40 | 10.00 |
FY26 revenue growth was 12.1%, close to the four-year average of 10.8%, and net profit moved down 21.8%. EPS rose from Rs 35.87 in FY24 to Rs 58.40 in FY26. The FY27 outlook depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.
Margins and the Latest Quarter
Deepak Fertilisers converted 6.4% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 9.1% in FY25, within a five-year range of 5.3% to 10.7%. EBITDA margin was 15.4% in FY26 versus 19.4% in FY25.
In the June 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 3,262 crore, up 21.6% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 490.04 crore was up 101.0%. EBITDA came in at Rs 851.35 crore, up 58.6% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption holds.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Debt to equity stands at 0.83, and shareholders’ equity grew from Rs 4,002 crore in FY22 to Rs 7,464 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was Rs 206.23 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 1,570 crore, leaving negative free cash flow of Rs 1,364 crore. In FY25 free cash flow was Rs 744.03 crore, so cash generation has not been steady year to year.
Valuation Check for the Deepak Fertilisers Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE
At a PE of 17.80 against an industry PE of 36.60, Deepak Fertilisers trades at a discount to its industry. Price to book is 2.56 on a book value of Rs 542.20 per share, and return on equity is 10.77%. A PE of 17.80 equals an earnings yield of 5.6%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 10.00 per share gives a yield of 0.72%.
Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding
Promoters held 45.63% of Deepak Fertilisers in June 2026, and promoter holding has stayed near 45.63% since June 2025. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 10.02% and domestic institutions (DII) held 14.69%, which puts total institutional holding at 24.71%. FII holding fell from 11.25% in June 2025 to 10.02% in June 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 29.67%. A meaningful institutional holding adds a layer of research coverage and trading depth.
Deepak Fertilisers Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months
Short Term Deepak Fertilisers Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup
At Rs 1,396.90 on 9 October 2026, Deepak Fertilisers trades below its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 1,420.30 and above its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 1,369.42. The 14-day RSI reads 56.4, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits above its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 1,420.30 (50-day simple moving average) and the nearest support is Rs 1,369.42 (200-day exponential moving average). A sustained move above Rs 1,420.30 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 1,369.42 would shift attention to the next support.
12 Month Deepak Fertilisers Target Price for 2027
The 12-month target for Deepak Fertilisers is Rs 1,666: forward EPS of Rs 93.62 at a PE of 17.80. That is 19.3% above Rs 1,396.90. It would still leave the stock 0.9% below its 52-week high of Rs 1,681.00.
How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Deepak Fertilisers Target Price
| EPS Growth | PE 14.24 | PE 17.80 | PE 20.47 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (EPS Rs 78.02) | Rs 1,111 | Rs 1,389 | Rs 1,597 |
| 20.0% (EPS Rs 93.62) | Rs 1,333 | Rs 1,666 | Rs 1,916 |
| 25.0% (EPS Rs 97.52) | Rs 1,389 | Rs 1,736 | Rs 1,996 |
Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Deepak Fertilisers price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.
Bull Case and Downside Risk for Deepak Fertilisers Stock Target in 2027
Bull Case Rs 1,996
The bull case Deepak Fertilisers price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 97.52, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 20.47. That gives Rs 1,996, 42.9% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 1,681.00, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high.
Downside Risk Level Rs 1,111
The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 78.02 and the PE falls 20% to 14.24. That gives Rs 1,111, 20.5% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 866.40.
| Scenario | EPS Growth | PE Multiple | Price (Rs) | Change vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | 25.0% | 20.47 | Rs 1,996 | +42.9% |
| Base Case | 20.0% | 17.80 | Rs 1,666 | +19.3% |
| Downside Risk | 0.0% | 14.24 | Rs 1,111 | -20.5% |
Key Risks to the Deepak Fertilisers Target Price for 2027
Growth Slowdown Risk for the Deepak Fertilisers Price Target
Revenue in the June 2026 quarter was up 21.6% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was 12.1%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Deepak Fertilisers stock target will need revising.
Liquidity and Size Risk
Deepak Fertilisers has a market capitalisation of Rs 17,534 crore. Institutional holding is 24.71%, and promoters hold 45.63%. Stocks of this size are usually liquid, though exits can take longer than entries when the market is falling.
Valuation and Margin Risk
Net margin was 6.4% in FY26, so a small slip in costs moves profit noticeably. At a PE of 17.80 versus an industry PE of 36.60, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 14.24 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
Market and Technical Risk
The stock trades 16.9% below its 52-week high, with an RSI of 56.4 and a MACD reading above its signal line. Broader market weakness can override company fundamentals in the short term.
How to Invest in Deepak Fertilisers
Start with the live price and volume. Any Deepak Fertilisers share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 9 October 2026, so refresh the Rs 1,396.90 price before acting on any level.
Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Deepak Fertilisers’ PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.
Check Deepak Fertilisers fundamentals on the Univest Screener
Then compare the three Deepak Fertilisers target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.
Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.
Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Deepak Fertilisers live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Conclusion
The Deepak Fertilisers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,666 in the base case, with Rs 1,996 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 27.6% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 17.80. The risks are equally concrete, including a stock that sits 16.9% below its 52-week high and a downside scenario that cuts the price 20% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Deepak Fertilisers Share Price Target 2027
What is the Deepak Fertilisers share price target for 2027?
Ans. The base-case Deepak Fertilisers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,666, with Rs 1,996 as the bull case. The downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 1,111. These are model estimates from reported earnings and the current PE, not guaranteed outcomes.
What is the Deepak Fertilisers share price today?
Ans. As of 9 October 2026, 12:52 PM IST, Deepak Fertilisers trades at Rs 1,396.90, up 0.48% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 866.40 to Rs 1,681.00.
Is Deepak Fertilisers a buy or sell at the current price?
Ans. The data is mixed rather than one-sided: EPS has grown 27.6% a year over FY24 to FY26, but the stock is 16.9% below its 52-week high. Whether Deepak Fertilisers fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon and risk appetite, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing. This article is not investment advice.
What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Deepak Fertilisers shares?
Ans. The bull case target is Rs 1,996, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 20.47. The downside risk level is Rs 1,111, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 14.24. It marks a risk, not a target.
What are the main risks to the Deepak Fertilisers price target?
Ans. The main risks are slower revenue growth, a small market capitalisation of Rs 17,534 crore, a PE de-rating and short-term weakness in the broader market. Each is covered in the risk section above.
What is the PE ratio of Deepak Fertilisers and how does it compare with the industry?
Ans. The PE ratio of Deepak Fertilisers is 17.80 against an industry PE of 36.60. Price to book is 2.56 and return on equity is 10.77%. The base case in the Deepak Fertilisers price target holds this PE constant.
Who owns Deepak Fertilisers, and what is the promoter holding?
Ans. Promoters held 45.63% of Deepak Fertilisers in June 2026. FII held 10.02%, DII held 14.69% and the public held 29.67%.
What were Deepak Fertilisers’ latest quarterly results?
Ans. In the June 2026 quarter, Deepak Fertilisers reported revenue of Rs 3,262 crore (up 21.6% year on year) and net profit of Rs 490.04 crore (up 101.0%).
