Commodity Market Prediction for Monday, 12 October 2026

Nifty Commodities index at 8,923.40, up 0.81%. Zinc, silver, copper and gold rose while crude oil and natural gas fell. Nifty 50 rose 1.30%. India VIX fell 5.76% to 14.40. Markets shut Saturday and Sunday, next session Monday.

This commodity market prediction for monday follows a Friday, 9 October 2026 session in which the Nifty Commodities index rose 0.81 percent to 8,923.40, with gold, silver, copper and zinc higher while crude oil and natural gas fell.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, are tracking commodity market and global cues over the weekend, with the next trading session on Monday, 12 October 2026.

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What Friday Told Us

• The Nifty Commodities index closed at 8,923.40, up 0.81 percent on 9 October 2026.
• Zinc, silver, copper and gold rose, while crude oil and natural gas fell on MCX.
• The broader Nifty 50 rose 1.30 percent and India VIX fell 5.76 percent to 14.40.

Commodity Market Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

The Nifty Commodities index traded between 8,827.35 and 8,934.65 on Friday, against a previous close of 8,851.40, and settled at 8,923.40. On the downside, 8,851.40 and 8,827.35 are the first reference levels to watch if the Friday gains are tested. On the upside, 8,934.65 marks the nearest resistance. Univest’s analysts treat these as reference points drawn from Friday’s trading range, not as targets.

The snapshot below shows the six MCX contracts we track, using Friday’s last traded prices. MCX trades into the evening, so prices can differ later. Gold Rs 151,132 (+1.02%), Silver Rs 224,605 (+1.52%), Crude Oil Rs 8,775 (-1.00%), Natural Gas Rs 302.80 (-0.98%), Copper Rs 1,422.35 (+1.06%), Zinc Rs 420.25 (+1.57%).

For traders, this commodity market prediction for monday is a framework for planning risk, with position size and stop levels left to the individual.

Key Drivers for Monday

• Metals led: zinc rose 1.57 percent, silver 1.52 percent, copper 1.06 percent and gold 1.02 percent.
• Energy fell: crude oil eased 1.00 percent and natural gas fell 0.98 percent.
• The Nifty Commodities index rose 0.81 percent to 8,923.40, a broad gauge of commodity-linked equities.

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla suggest revisiting this commodity market prediction for monday after the first thirty minutes of Monday’s trade.

Anyone following this commodity market prediction for monday should keep the next session’s opening range in view before reading too much into early moves.

What to Watch Alongside Commodity Market

Reliance Industries and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation are the most direct large-cap links to crude and gas. Reliance fell 0.65 percent on Friday while ONGC rose 0.67 percent. Nifty Metal rose 1.10 percent, matching the strength in base metals.

How Friday’s Broader Session Unfolded

The Nifty 50 closed at 22,520.45, up 1.30 percent, with a high of 22,580.75 and a low of 22,294.75. The Sensex closed at 72,472.33, up 1.23 percent, and the Bank Nifty closed at 55,256.65, up 1.36 percent. India VIX, the market’s fear gauge, fell 5.76 percent to 14.40, which usually points to calmer expectations for near-term swings. The Friday gains followed a sell-off in the previous session, so part of the move may be a rebound rather than a fresh trend. The trigger for the broad gain was not independently confirmed.

Univest’s analysts suggest treating this commodity market prediction for monday as a preparation note for Monday, 12 October 2026, rather than a signal that changes over the weekend.

Analyst View for Monday

Kunal Singla suggests that the split between firm metals and soft energy suggests a selective rather than broad commodity rally.

Ankit Jaiswal flags that the Nifty Commodities index rose 0.81 percent, but crude oil and natural gas fell, so the commodity market prediction depends on which group dominates on Monday.

This commodity market prediction for monday will be most useful when read alongside the support and resistance table above.

Why This Is Written for Monday

Indian equity markets are closed on Saturday and Sunday, so Friday’s closing prices remain the last cash-market data until trading resumes on Monday, 12 October 2026. Treat this commodity market prediction for monday as a briefing to prepare for that session, not a live call that updates over the weekend.

MCX futures trade into Friday night, so global moves late on Friday can shift Monday’s opening price.

A fair reading of this commodity market prediction for monday is that Friday’s data sets the context, while Monday’s first hour decides how much of it carries forward.

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Risks to This Prediction

• Any weekend rise in crude oil could reverse Friday’s softness in energy.
• A firmer US Dollar Index could weigh on the whole commodity complex.
• Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term moves.

Readers comparing views should note that this commodity market prediction for monday draws only on Friday’s closing numbers and the factors listed here.

As with any commodity market prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday’s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

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The commodity market prediction for monday also depends on India VIX, so a fresh rise in volatility would weaken the case made here.

Conclusion

The commodity market prediction for monday leans mixed into 12 October 2026, with global cues and the US Dollar Index as the key variables to track. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla will revisit this view once Monday’s opening trade confirms direction.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the commodity market prediction for monday?

Ans. It is mixed to firm for 12 October 2026, with gold, silver, copper and zinc higher and crude oil and natural gas lower after Friday’s MCX session.

Why is this a prediction for Monday and not for Saturday or Sunday?

Ans. Because Indian markets are closed on Saturday and Sunday, so the next regular trading session is Monday, 12 October 2026.

What drove the commodity market on Friday?

Ans. Metals rose and energy fell. Zinc, silver, copper and gold gained, while crude oil and natural gas declined. The specific triggers were not independently confirmed.

Which commodities are strongest going into Monday?

Ans. Zinc, silver, copper and gold were the firmest on Friday, based on MCX futures, while crude oil and natural gas were the weak spots.

Is this a buy or sell call?

Ans. No. This is an educational outlook from Univest’s research team, not a buy or sell call. Traders should check any view against their own risk plan before acting.