Sensex Prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026: Support at 77,308 After a Strong Breakout
- July 17, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: News
Sensex near 78,151, up 1.25% today. Day range 77,308 to 78,283. Support 77,308, 76,096. Resistance 78,283, 79,072. Reliance results today; 5 major banks report Saturday.
The sensex prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, points to a constructive session after the index staged a strong breakout today. The Sensex traded near 78,151, up 1.25 percent, after opening at 77,370.77 and touching an intraday high of 78,282.55, with 22 of its 30 constituents trading higher. The Nifty 50 mirrored the move, gaining 1.09 percent to near 24,334.
This sensex prediction for Monday specifically covers 20 July 2026, since Indian markets stay shut for the weekend on Saturday, 18 July and Sunday, 19 July. It is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, who track Sensex heavyweights, daily technicals, and global cues to build this sensex prediction for Monday.
Click Here – Get Free Investment Predictions
Confirmed: No Sensex Expiry on Monday
This sensex prediction for Monday confirms that Sensex’s next weekly options expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026, not Monday, so the session ahead does not carry added expiry driven volatility of its own. That makes the weekend’s corporate results calendar and any Iran-US developments the dominant drivers of Monday’s session rather than options positioning.
Today’s Market Recap Before the Sensex Prediction for Monday
Any accurate sensex prediction for Monday starts with what drove today’s rally:
- Sensex breaks out on broad based buying: The index jumped 1.25 percent to close near 78,151, clearing the resistance zone that had capped rallies earlier this week, led by Tech Mahindra, Infosys, HCL Technologies, TCS, Reliance Industries, and Axis Bank.
- IT and banking both contribute: IT stocks and private banks were the standout sectors today, a sharp reversal from banking’s weakness earlier in the week, a pattern central to the sensex prediction for Monday.
- Reliance Industries rallies ahead of results: The stock gained over 2 percent today ahead of tonight’s Q1 FY27 results announcement, keeping it the single most watched Sensex constituent heading into the weekend.
Sensex Prediction for Monday: Trend and Key Levels
Trend: Constructive, confirmed breakout. Support levels: 77,308, 76,096. Resistance levels: 78,283, 79,072.
| Level Type | Level | Why It Matters in the Sensex Prediction for Monday |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate Support | 77,308 | Today’s intraday low, the first cushion for Monday |
| Support 2 | 76,096 | 50 day moving average and SuperTrend level; the broader floor |
| Immediate Resistance | 78,283 | Today’s intraday high and the breakout confirmation level |
| Major Resistance | 79,072 | 200 day EMA; the level needed for a full trend reversal higher |
The sensex prediction for Monday turns constructive after today’s decisive breakout. The index closed well above its 50 day moving average of 76,096 and SuperTrend support, clearing a zone that had rejected rallies earlier this week. Ankit Jaiswal notes that a follow through close above 78,283 in the sensex prediction for Monday would open a path toward the 200 day EMA near 79,072, though this will depend on how the weekend’s results and global news are digested.
Global and Domestic Cues Shaping the Sensex Prediction for Monday
- Reliance Industries results today: India’s largest listed company reports Q1 FY27 results after market hours today, a major input into the sensex prediction for Monday given its heavy index weight.
- A mega Saturday for bank earnings: HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and Yes Bank all report results on Saturday, an unusual clustering that means Monday’s open must price in a full weekend of banking news together.
- Iran-US conflict remains unresolved: This year’s ceasefire framework has effectively broken down, with strikes continuing as recently as this week, keeping crude oil and risk sentiment sensitive to weekend headlines.
Key Triggers for the Sensex Prediction for Monday
- Q1 FY27 earnings season peaks: Beyond Reliance and the Saturday banks, JSW Steel, Federal Bank, Havells India, and Tata Technologies also report today, keeping stock specific volatility elevated within the Sensex.
- Weekend Iran-US developments: With no trading on Saturday or Sunday, any escalation or de-escalation will show up entirely in Monday’s opening gap.
- FII and DII flows: FIIs sold Rs 739 crore on 14 July while DIIs bought Rs 2,927 crore, a flow pattern worth tracking into next week.
Get Sensex Trading Calls from a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor
Top Sensex Stocks to Watch for Monday
These three Sensex heavyweights led today’s breakout. These are observational setups for research, not buy recommendations.
| Stock | CMP (Rs) | Entry Zone (Rs) | Target (Rs) | Stop Loss (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries | 1,327.20 | 1,305 – 1,330 | 1,360 / 1,390 | 1,275 |
| TCS | 2,269.00 | 2,235 – 2,270 | 2,310 / 2,350 | 2,190 |
| HDFC Bank | 819.60 | 805 – 820 | 838 / 855 | 790 |
Reliance Industries: The Results Day Headline
Reliance Industries surged 2.36 percent today to Rs 1,327.20, breaking above its 50 day average of Rs 1,322 just ahead of tonight’s results. Ankit Jaiswal notes RSI at 58.2 and a MACD histogram turning positive, making it the biggest single trigger in the sensex prediction for Monday. Targets sit at Rs 1,360 and Rs 1,390, with a stop loss at Rs 1,275 given the elevated event risk.
TCS: Today’s Standout Performer
TCS surged 3.09 percent today to Rs 2,269.00 on strong volumes, the best performer among large caps. Kunal Singla notes RSI at 64.3 and a powerfully positive MACD histogram of 28.7, keeping TCS a core pillar of the sensex prediction for Monday, with targets of Rs 2,310 and Rs 2,350 and a stop loss at Rs 2,190.
HDFC Bank: Improving Momentum Into Its Own Results
HDFC Bank gained 1.40 percent today to Rs 819.60, with Kunal Singla noting RSI at 59.7 and a MACD histogram close to turning positive, ahead of its own Saturday results announcement. This makes HDFC Bank a key banking pillar in the sensex prediction for Monday, with targets of Rs 838 and Rs 855 and a stop loss at Rs 790.
Sensex Trading Strategy for Monday
- Prepare for a gap open: With Reliance results tonight and major banks reporting Saturday, the sensex prediction for Monday favours planning for a gap rather than assuming Friday’s closing levels hold.
- Track results over the weekend: Reading Reliance’s results tonight and Saturday’s bank numbers where possible will help position ahead of Monday’s opening reaction.
- Favour today’s breakout leaders: Reliance Industries, TCS, and HDFC Bank led today’s move and are worth prioritising into next week.
- Size stop losses for gap risk: Weekend news flow can produce larger than usual opening gaps in the sensex prediction for Monday.
What Market Sentiment Indicates for the Sensex Prediction for Monday
Sentiment turned decisively more confident today after a choppy week. Ankit Jaiswal notes that today’s broad based rally across IT, banking, and Reliance Industries suggests investors are looking past this week’s Iran-US driven volatility toward the Q1 FY27 earnings season. Kunal Singla flags that Saturday’s unprecedented clustering of major bank results adds a genuinely unusual layer of event risk and opportunity to the sensex prediction for Monday, one that traders should not treat as a routine weekend.
Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Monday
- Disappointing Reliance or bank results: With so many major companies reporting over the next two days, weak numbers could quickly sour Monday’s opening sentiment.
- Weekend Iran-US escalation: A serious escalation over the weekend could produce a sharp gap down that the sensex prediction for Monday would need to reassess entirely.
- Profit booking after a strong week: After today’s sharp rally, some profit booking at higher levels is a normal risk heading into Monday.
- Banking sector disappointment: If the Saturday results from major banks fall short of expectations, today’s Bank Nifty bounce could quickly reverse.
Conclusion
The sensex prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026, turns constructive after today’s breakout, favouring a session between 77,308 support and 78,283 resistance. Ankit Jaiswal expects Reliance Industries and IT majors to set the early tone, while Kunal Singla flags Saturday’s unprecedented banking results wave as the biggest swing factor for the week ahead. Reliance Industries, TCS, and HDFC Bank are the Sensex constituents best placed to lead. Track the weekend’s results closely, and trade Monday’s gap with well sized stop losses.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Sensex levels and get the sensex prediction for Monday from SEBI registered research analysts.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Sensex Prediction for Monday
What is the Sensex prediction for Monday, 20 July 2026?
Ans. The sensex prediction for Monday points to a constructive session after Sensex surged 1.25 percent today to near 78,151. This sensex prediction for Monday sees support at 77,308 and resistance at 78,283, with Reliance Industries results and a wave of Saturday bank earnings as the key triggers.
Why does the Sensex prediction for Monday matter more than usual this week?
Ans. The sensex prediction for Monday matters more than usual because Indian markets are shut on Saturday, 18 July and Sunday, 19 July. Reliance Industries reports results tonight, and HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and Yes Bank all report Saturday, meaning all this news lands fresh at Monday’s open.
Is Monday, 20 July 2026 a Sensex expiry day?
Ans. No. This sensex prediction for Monday confirms that Sensex’s next weekly options expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026, not Monday, so the session does not carry added expiry driven volatility of its own.
What are the key support and resistance levels in the Sensex prediction for Monday?
Ans. The sensex prediction for Monday places support at 77,308, today’s intraday low, then 76,096, the 50 day moving average. Resistance sits at 78,283, today’s high, followed by the 200 day EMA near 79,072, the bigger target once cleared.
Which analysts have shared this Sensex prediction for Monday?
Ans. This sensex prediction for Monday is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, who track Sensex heavyweights, institutional flows, and global cues daily.
Which stocks support the Sensex prediction for Monday?
Ans. Reliance Industries, TCS, and HDFC Bank are the Sensex heavyweights best placed to support the sensex prediction for Monday. Reliance Industries reports results today, TCS was today’s strongest large cap gainer, and HDFC Bank heads into its own Saturday results with improving momentum.
