Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 14 July 2026: Crude Surges on Hormuz Closure, Precious Metals Fall on Rising Yields
- July 13, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Commodity market prediction for tomorrow 14 July 2026: Crude Oil Rs 7,029 (+3.16%), Gold Rs 1,42,295 (-0.82%), Silver Rs 2,20,127 (-1.14%), Copper Rs 1,293.9 (+0.02%), Zinc Rs 374.2 (-0.57%).
Commodity market prediction for tomorrow: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 14 July 2026, is sharply divergent: crude oil surged over 3 percent after Iran re-closed the Strait of Hormuz, while gold, silver and base metals all stayed soft, weighed down by rising US Treasury yields rather than the usual safe-haven flight that geopolitical escalation typically triggers. This commodity market prediction for tomorrow is built on Friday, 10 July 2026’s closing data, the last completed session before markets reopen on Monday, 13 July 2026.
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest have put together this commodity market prediction for tomorrow covering energy, precious metals and base metals together, since Monday’s cross-commodity moves reveal an unusual dynamic worth understanding heading into Tuesday’s session.
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Market Recap Behind the Commodity market prediction for tomorrow
Monday’s commodity session was dominated by a single theme for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow: rising US Treasury yields on inflation concerns from the crude oil spike overwhelmed the safe-haven bid that Middle East escalation would normally generate. MCX Crude Oil jumped 3.16 percent to Rs 7,029 on the Hormuz closure, while gold fell 0.82 percent to Rs 1,42,295 and silver fell 1.14 percent to Rs 2,20,127. Base metals stayed largely directionless, with copper flat at Rs 1,293.90 and zinc down 0.57 percent to Rs 374.20.
Commodity market prediction for tomorrow: Trend and Key Levels
Trend: Sharply Divergent Across Asset Classes
| Level Type | Value |
|---|---|
| Crude Oil Support/Resistance | Rs 6,950 / Rs 7,150 |
| Gold Support/Resistance | Rs 1,40,500 / Rs 1,44,000 |
| Silver Support/Resistance | Rs 2,17,000 / Rs 2,23,000 |
| Copper Support/Resistance | Rs 1,283 / Rs 1,300 |
| Zinc Support/Resistance | Rs 368 / Rs 378 |
Kunal Singla notes that the commodity market prediction for tomorrow requires tracking each segment separately more than usual: energy is being driven by the Hormuz closure specifically, precious metals are trading against their usual geopolitical playbook due to rising yields, and base metals remain in a holding pattern awaiting clearer Chinese demand signals.
Why Gold Fell While Crude Oil Surged: The Key Theme for Tomorrow
Ankit Jaiswal flags this as the most important nuance in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow: Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and expanded strikes on Qatar and the UAE would normally be expected to lift both crude oil and gold together as investors seek safety. Instead, the resulting spike in crude oil pushed US Treasury yields higher on inflation fears, and that yield rise outweighed the safe-haven bid for gold and silver, leaving precious metals lower even as the geopolitical backdrop worsened.
Key Triggers in the Commodity market prediction for tomorrow
These triggers dominate the outlook heading into Monday, 13 July 2026:
- Actual Hormuz shipping flows: Whether tankers continue transiting despite Iran’s declared closure is the single biggest swing factor across the entire commodity complex for tomorrow.
- US Treasury yield direction: Continued yield strength would keep pressuring gold and silver even if crude stays elevated.
- Fed rate expectations: Any dovish shift would ease the yield pressure currently weighing on precious metals.
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Individual Commodity Predictions for Tomorrow
For deeper dives into each commodity referenced in this commodity market prediction for tomorrow, Univest has published separate analyses covering crude oil, gold, silver, copper, zinc and natural gas individually.
Crude Oil: Bullish above Rs 6,950, driven directly by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
Gold and Silver: Both sideways to bearish, an unusual reaction to rising geopolitical risk driven by higher Treasury yields.
Copper and Zinc: Base metals stayed largely range-bound, tracking Chinese demand signals rather than the Middle East headlines.
Risks to the Commodity market prediction for tomorrow
These factors can invalidate this outlook:
- Further Hormuz escalation: Would extend crude’s rally and could eventually overwhelm the yield-driven pressure on precious metals too.
- Shipping normalising: Would quickly unwind crude’s Monday spike and remove the yield pressure weighing on gold and silver.
- China demand data: Weak readings would add a separate layer of pressure to the base metals segment specifically.
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Conclusion
The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 14 July 2026, is sharply divergent: crude oil stays bullish above Rs 6,950 on the Strait of Hormuz closure, while gold and silver lean bearish on rising Treasury yields, an unusual reaction to escalating geopolitical risk. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest agree that actual shipping flows through Hormuz, more than the closure declaration itself, will determine whether this commodity market prediction for tomorrow holds through Tuesday’s session.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on the Commodity market prediction for tomorrow
What is the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 14 July 2026?
Ans. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 14 July 2026, is sharply divergent. Crude oil surged 3.16 percent to Rs 7,029 on Monday after Iran re-closed the Strait of Hormuz, while gold fell 0.82 percent and silver fell 1.14 percent on rising US Treasury yields.
Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, and Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, have jointly prepared the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Why did gold fall even as crude oil surged on Monday?
Ans. Gold fell despite crude oil’s sharp Monday rally because the resulting spike in oil prices pushed US Treasury yields higher on inflation fears, and that yield rise outweighed the safe-haven demand that would normally accompany escalating Middle East tensions. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow flags this as the key theme to understand.
Which commodity moved most in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Crude oil was by far the most active commodity on Monday, jumping 3.16 percent on the Strait of Hormuz closure, while precious metals moved in the opposite direction of what the geopolitical backdrop would typically suggest, and base metals stayed comparatively quiet.
