Commodity Market Prediction for Monday, 13 July 2026: Metals Mixed, Crude Firm, Precious Metals Retreat
- July 10, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: News
Commodity market prediction for Monday 13 July 2026: Crude Oil Rs 6,906 (+0.76%), Gold Rs 1,44,229 (-0.74%), Silver Rs 2,22,761 (-1.60%), Copper Rs 1,294 (+0.12%), Zinc Rs 373.5 (-0.64%).
Commodity market prediction for monday: The commodity market prediction for Monday, 13 July 2026, is mixed across asset classes: crude oil firmed on Middle East risk, precious metals retreated as risk appetite returned to equities, and base metals were largely directionless. This commodity market prediction for monday is built on Friday, 10 July 2026’s closing data, the last completed session before markets reopen on Monday, 13 July 2026.
Kunal Singla and Ankit Jaiswal of Univest have put together this commodity market prediction for Monday covering energy, precious metals and base metals together, since Friday’s cross-commodity moves tell a consistent story: geopolitical risk is being priced differently across asset classes depending on each commodity’s underlying demand drivers.
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Market Recap Behind the Commodity market prediction for monday
Friday’s commodity session split cleanly into three camps for the commodity market prediction for Monday. Energy stayed firm, with MCX Crude Oil closing 0.76 percent higher at Rs 6,906 as the Strait of Hormuz situation kept a risk premium in prices. Precious metals fell sharply as safe-haven demand eased, with silver down 1.60 percent to Rs 2,22,761 and gold down 0.74 percent to Rs 1,44,229. Base metals were mixed, with copper up a marginal 0.12 percent to Rs 1,294.40 while zinc slipped 0.64 percent to Rs 373.50.
Commodity market prediction for monday: Trend and Key Levels
Trend: Mixed Across Asset Classes
| Level Type | Value |
|---|---|
| Crude Oil Support/Resistance | Rs 6,820 / Rs 6,950 |
| Gold Support/Resistance | Rs 1,43,000 / Rs 1,45,500 |
| Silver Support/Resistance | Rs 2,20,000 / Rs 2,27,000 |
| Copper Support/Resistance | Rs 1,285 / Rs 1,305 |
| Zinc Support/Resistance | Rs 368 / Rs 378 |
Kunal Singla notes that the commodity market prediction for Monday requires tracking each segment separately: energy remains geopolitically driven, precious metals are trading inversely to equity risk appetite, and base metals are responding to Chinese demand signals more than to the Middle East headlines dominating crude and gold.
Global Cues Behind Monday’s Commodity Outlook
Reports that Iran reached out to Washington for talks lifted global sentiment on Friday, Asian markets surged with the Kospi up 4.47 percent, and Wall Street rose on a chip-stock rally. Brent crude eased to near 76 dollars a barrel but is still headed for a weekly gain near 6 percent. These cues cut differently across the complex: bullish for equities and bearish for gold and silver, but a genuine wildcard for crude oil given the unresolved Strait of Hormuz situation.
Key Triggers in the Commodity market prediction for monday
These triggers dominate the outlook heading into Monday, 13 July 2026:
- Weekend US-Iran headlines: The single biggest swing factor across the entire commodity market prediction for Monday, capable of moving crude, gold and silver simultaneously but in different directions.
- Dollar index moves: A weaker dollar would support most of the commodity complex, from gold to copper.
- India VIX: At a multi-month low of 12.25, any spike would likely revive precious metals demand even as it could pressure crude if it reflects broader risk-off sentiment.
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Individual Commodity Predictions for Monday
For deeper dives into each commodity referenced in this commodity market prediction for Monday, Univest has published separate analyses covering crude oil, gold, silver, copper, zinc and natural gas individually.
Crude Oil: Sideways to bullish above Rs 6,820, driven by the Strait of Hormuz situation.
Gold and Silver: Both sideways to bearish as safe-haven demand eases, with silver the more volatile of the two.
Copper and Zinc: Base metals stayed largely range-bound, tracking Chinese demand signals more than geopolitical headlines.
Risks to the Commodity market prediction for monday
These factors can invalidate this outlook:
- Weekend escalation: Any Strait of Hormuz disruption would spike crude while also reviving safe-haven demand for gold and silver.
- Dollar strength: A stronger dollar would pressure most of the commodity complex simultaneously.
- China demand data: Weak readings would weigh on the base metals segment of the commodity market prediction for Monday specifically.
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Conclusion
The commodity market prediction for Monday, 13 July 2026, is mixed: crude oil stays sideways to bullish on Middle East risk, gold and silver lean sideways to bearish as safe-haven demand eases, and base metals like copper and zinc remain range-bound on Chinese demand signals. Kunal Singla and Ankit Jaiswal of Univest agree that weekend US-Iran headlines are the dominant variable across this entire commodity market prediction for Monday, capable of moving every segment simultaneously in different directions.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on the Commodity market prediction for monday
What is the commodity market prediction for Monday, 13 July 2026?
Ans. The commodity market prediction for Monday, 13 July 2026, is mixed across asset classes. Crude oil stays firm on Middle East risk, closing at Rs 6,906, up 0.76 percent. Gold and silver retreated as safe-haven demand eased, down 0.74 and 1.60 percent respectively. Base metals like copper and zinc were largely range-bound.
Which analysts gave the commodity market prediction for Monday?
Ans. Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, and Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, have jointly prepared the commodity market prediction for Monday, covering energy, precious metals and base metals together.
Why did gold and crude oil move in opposite directions on Friday?
Ans. Gold fell 0.74 percent while crude oil rose 0.76 percent on Friday because the same US-Iran de-escalation headlines that reduced safe-haven demand for gold also kept a residual risk premium in crude oil due to the still-partially-closed Strait of Hormuz. The commodity market prediction for Monday treats this divergence as a key theme.
Which commodity is most volatile in the commodity market prediction for Monday?
Ans. Silver was the most volatile major commodity on Friday, falling 1.60 percent, more than double gold’s decline, reflecting its higher-beta profile. The commodity market prediction for Monday flags silver as the commodity most likely to see outsized moves in either direction.
