Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target 2026: Stock Analysis, Share Price Today, Bull Case and Bear Case After Q1 FY27
- July 2, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: News
Paradeep Phosphates Rs 156.76 (6 Oct 2026 close). 52-week range Rs 99.70 to Rs 201.59. Q1 FY27 revenue Rs 6,124 cr, up 36%; profit Rs 393 cr, up 24%.
Quick Answer
The Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2026 is Rs 144 to Rs 180, which is between 8 percent below and 15 percent above the last close of Rs 156.76, with bull and bear cases of Rs 225 to Rs 255 and Rs 72 to Rs 88. Paradeep Phosphates reported Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue up 36 percent to Rs 6,124 crore and profit up 24 percent to Rs 392.5 crore, with EBITDA up 24 percent to Rs 764 crore and sales volume up 4 percent to 9.85 lakh tonnes. DAP sales jumped 55 percent while NPK and urea fell, management said the DAP shift may reverse, and the stock trades at 15 times earnings against an industry average of 22 times. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 6 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario.
The Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2026 is Rs 144 to Rs 180 in the Univest base case, with the stock at Rs 156.76 at the 6 October 2026 close. That is 22.2 percent below its 52-week high of Rs 201.59 and 57.2 percent above its 52-week low of Rs 99.70, and the stock moved down 11.5 percent over the past year. Paradeep Phosphates makes DAP, NPK and urea at plants in Paradeep, Odisha and Zuarinagar, Goa. Debt to equity is 1.02 and the dividend yield is 0.96 percent.
Three things changed since the last update: Q1 FY27 results on 28 July showed record revenue, the stock jumped 12.5 percent to Rs 156.70 on 29 July, and it rose a further 11.7 percent in the week of 24 August before easing. This Paradeep Phosphates stock analysis covers the Paradeep Phosphates share price today, the Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2026, 2027 and 2030, the Q1 FY27 numbers, catalysts and risks, key price levels and a Paradeep Phosphates buy or sell view.
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What Is the Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target for 2026?
The 2026 target for Paradeep Phosphates shares is Rs 144 to Rs 180 in the Univest base case, which is -8.1% to +14.8% against the last close. The bull case is Rs 225 to Rs 255 and the bear case is Rs 72 to Rs 88. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 6 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. Analyst consensus is used as a cross-check, not as the base.
Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target Scenarios: Bull Case, Base Case and Bear Case
| Scenario | FY28E EPS | Target Multiple | Price Target (Rs) | Move vs Rs 156.76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | Rs 15 | 15x to 17x | 225 to 255 | +43.5% to +62.7% |
| Base Case | Rs 12 | 12x to 15x | 144 to 180 | -8.1% to +14.8% |
| Bear Case | Rs 8 | 9x to 11x | 72 to 88 | -54.1% to -43.9% |
FY28 EPS of Rs 12 in the base case compares with trailing EPS of Rs 10.32 and assumes volume growth near 5 percent and margins close to the Q1 level. Fertiliser makers trade at 10 to 15 times earnings, and the stock trades at about 13 times the base estimate. The PE multiple used for each case is shown in the table, and the EPS estimate is a Univest assumption, not company guidance. Those assumptions set the Paradeep Phosphates share price target range around the current price.
Paradeep Phosphates Company Overview and Share Price Today as of 6 October 2026
Paradeep Phosphates share price today is Rs 156.76 on the NSE at the 6 October 2026 close, before the market opens on 7 October. The market capitalisation is Rs 16,274 crore, and the stock trades at 15.2 times earnings against an industry average of 21.7 times. The Univest base case Paradeep Phosphates share price target of Rs 144 to Rs 180 is -8.1% to +14.8% from here. The table below sets out the key numbers behind the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
| Parameter | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| NSE Ticker | PARADEEP | BSE code 543530 |
| Sector | Phosphatic fertilisers | Per Univest sector classification |
| Last Close (NSE) | Rs 156.76 | 6 Oct 2026 close |
| 52-Week High | Rs 201.59 | CMP is 22.2% below |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 99.70 | CMP is 57.2% above |
| 1-Year Return | About -12% | Weekly close Rs 177.15 on 10 Oct 2025 to Rs 156.76 |
| Market Capitalisation | Rs 16,274 crore | Mid cap fertiliser maker |
| Trailing P/E | About 15.2x | Industry P/E about 21.70x |
| P/B Ratio | About 2.40x | Book value Rs 65.31 per share |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 10.32 | Trailing twelve months |
| Return on Equity | About 14.7% | Debt to equity 1.02 |
| Dividend Yield | About 0.96% | Dividend paid yearly |
| 12-Month Target (Base Case) | Rs 144 to Rs 180 | Univest base case |
| Bull Case | Rs 225 to Rs 255 | +43.5% to +62.7% |
| Bear Case | Rs 72 to Rs 88 | -54.1% to -43.9% |
Track live price, fundamentals and results for Paradeep Phosphates on the Univest Screener.
How Did Paradeep Phosphates Perform in Q1 FY27?
Paradeep Phosphates reported Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue from operations of Rs 6,124.25 crore, up 36 percent from Rs 4,503.5 crore, and profit after tax of Rs 392.5 crore, up 24 percent from Rs 316.75 crore. Profit before tax rose 24 percent to Rs 526 crore. Together these Q1 FY27 numbers anchor the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
| Metric | Q1 FY27 | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue from Operations | Rs 6,124.25 crore | Up 36% YoY |
| EBITDA | Rs 764 crore | Up 24% YoY |
| Profit After Tax | Rs 392.5 crore | Up 24%; up 152% QoQ |
| Sales Volume | 9.85 lakh tonnes | Up 4% YoY |
| DAP Sales | 2,45,189 tonnes | Up 55.1% |
| NPK and Urea Sales | 4,72,707 and 1,96,646 tonnes | Down 8.8% and 15.8% |
Management cited integrated operations and competitive raw material sourcing during volatility from the Middle East conflict. The phosphoric acid expansion from 5 lakh to 7 lakh tonnes a year is on track, and an aluminium fluoride plant is planned.
The company also reported higher sales of specialty products, with MOP volume doubling and Nano DAP rising 62 percent. Managing Director and CEO Suresh Krishnan said the plants ran efficiently and that key raw materials were sourced competitively. A new performance stock option plan was also considered by the board, and the earnings call was held on 31 July.
The FY27 outlook from management is the main input for these estimates. These numbers sit behind every range in the scenario table above, so they anchor the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
Why Is Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Down 22 Percent From Its October High?
Paradeep Phosphates shares are about 22 percent below the Rs 201.59 high of the week of 6 October 2025, but 57 percent above the Rs 99.70 low of March 2026. The stock rose 12.5 percent on 29 July after the Q1 results and 8.3 percent in the week of 27 July on 21 crore shares.
A further 11.7 percent jump in the week of 24 August to Rs 165.88 faded, and the stock has traded in a Rs 145 to Rs 158 range since September. Management warned that the shift toward DAP may reverse. The Paradeep Phosphates share price target scenarios below account for that move.
Key Catalysts for the Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target in 2026
4 catalysts matter most for the Paradeep Phosphates share price target, and sector tailwinds in Phosphatic fertilisers are part of the case. Together they decide whether the base case is reached.
1. DAP Volume
DAP sales rose 55 percent on better pricing against NPK. Strong DAP demand lifts revenue. If it plays out, the Paradeep Phosphates share price target moves toward the top of the base range.
2. Backward Integration
Management says integration improved the quality of earnings. Captive phosphoric acid cuts input risk. Strength here would support the upper end of the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
3. Capacity Expansion
Phosphoric acid capacity rises from 5 lakh to 7 lakh tonnes a year. More acid supports volume and margin. Delivery on this point keeps the Paradeep Phosphates share price target on track.
4. New Products
Nano DAP sales rose 62 percent and MOP sales doubled. Specialty products add margin. Better news here would lift the Paradeep Phosphates share price target toward the bull case.
What Are the Key Risks to the Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target?
The main risks are raw material costs, a reversal in DAP demand, subsidy policy and debt. Each can pull the Paradeep Phosphates share price target lower.
Raw Material Costs
Phosphoric acid and ammonia prices swing with global markets. A spike would cut margin. If it materialises, the Paradeep Phosphates share price target would slip toward the bear case.
DAP Demand Reversal
Management said the DAP shift is partly tactical. If it reverses, NPK volume must recover. This is the main downside risk to the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
Subsidy Policy
Earnings depend on government subsidy rates. A cut would hit profit. A worsening here would cut the Paradeep Phosphates share price target toward the low end of the range.
Debt
Debt to equity is 1.02. A bear case EPS of Rs 8 at 9 times would put the price near Rs 72. Watch it closely, because it can pull the Paradeep Phosphates share price target lower quickly.
Paradeep Phosphates Stock Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels for the Share Price Target
Paradeep Phosphates stock analysis on weekly charts shows a range of Rs 145 to Rs 158 since mid-September, with the stock near the upper end.
The first support level is Rs 148.50 to Rs 150, the lows of the weeks of 28 September and 5 October. Below that, Rs 145 is the low of the week of 14 September and Rs 146 marks the August low.
The first resistance level is Rs 157.40 to Rs 158.40, the highs of the weeks of 5 and 28 September. Above that, Rs 159.50 is the high of the week of 27 July and Rs 166.50 to Rs 168 marks the August and early-September highs. These levels come from weekly price action, are not trade recommendations, and frame the near-term Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target 2026, 2027 and 2030: Short, Medium and Long Term
Short-Term Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target (3 to 6 Months)
In the near term the stock is likely to trade between Rs 145 and Rs 158, from the mid-September low to the late-September high. A close above Rs 158.40 would put Rs 166 in play, while a weekly close under Rs 148.50 would put Rs 145 in play. The Q2 FY27 results are the main trigger. This range anchors the near-term Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
12-Month and 2027 Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target
The 12-month target price is Rs 144 to Rs 180, valued on 12 to 15 times FY28 EPS of Rs 12. The range across scenarios runs from Rs 72 in the bear case to Rs 255 in the bull case.
Long-Term Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target for FY29 to 2030
For FY29 to 2030 the Univest scenario range is Rs 154 to Rs 231. This assumes EPS of Rs 14 in FY29 and Rs 16.5 in FY30 and a multiple of 11 to 14 times. It needs raw material costs to stay manageable and the phosphoric acid expansion to finish on time. This is the long-term Paradeep Phosphates share price target in the Univest scenarios.
Bull Case and Bear Case for Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target
Bull Case Rs 225 to Rs 255
The bull case of Rs 225 to Rs 255 for the Paradeep Phosphates share price target needs EPS of Rs 15 and the market to pay 15 to 17 times for it. It is +43.5% to +62.7% from the last close.
Bear Case Rs 72 to Rs 88
The bear case of Rs 72 to Rs 88 for the Paradeep Phosphates share price target equals 9 to 11 times FY28 EPS of Rs 8 and sits below the Rs 99.7 low. It is -54.1% to -43.9% from the last close.
Is Paradeep Phosphates a Good Buy at Rs 157? Paradeep Phosphates Buy or Sell View
Whether Paradeep Phosphates is a buy at Rs 156.76 depends on horizon and risk appetite. The base case sits between 8 percent below and 15 percent above the current price, the stock is 22 percent below its high, and the open question is margin. The Paradeep Phosphates share price target range is the starting point for that decision.
Long-term holders may focus on DAP demand, input costs and the acid expansion, and treat Rs 148.50 as the level to watch. Short-term traders may prefer to wait for a close above Rs 158.40. Check institutional holding in the September quarter filing for signs of accumulation or selling. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting, since this Paradeep Phosphates buy or sell view is educational.
How to Invest in Paradeep Phosphates Shares
Step 1: Check the live price, valuation and the latest Paradeep Phosphates share price target range on the Univest Screener.
Step 2: Open a demat and trading account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest before acting on any Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
Step 3: Search for PARADEEP on the NSE or 543530 on the BSE in your trading app.
Step 4: Place a limit order near your planned entry and size the position so a fall to Rs 72 is bearable.
Step 5: Track input costs, DAP demand and Q2 FY27 results and set price alerts on the Univest App to follow any change in the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
Conclusion
Paradeep Phosphates closed at Rs 156.76 against a Univest base case share price target of Rs 144 to Rs 180, a bull case of Rs 225 to Rs 255 and a bear case of Rs 72 to Rs 88. Q1 FY27 delivered revenue growth of 36 percent and profit growth of 24 percent, with sales volume at 9.85 lakh tonnes. The main risks are raw material costs, a DAP reversal and subsidy policy.
The stock is 22.2 percent below its 52-week high, so the base case sits between 8 percent below and 15 percent above the current price. The triggers to watch are input costs, DAP demand and Q2 FY27 results and the Rs 148.50 and Rs 158.40 levels. Re-check the Paradeep Phosphates share price target after each quarterly result. Investors with a long horizon and tolerance for volatility can track these triggers, while others may prefer to size positions carefully.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Paradeep Phosphates live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Paradeep Phosphates Share Price Target 2026
What is the Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2026?
Ans. The Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2026 is Rs 144 to Rs 180 in the Univest base case, with a bull case of Rs 225 to Rs 255 and a bear case of Rs 72 to Rs 88. No brokerage target was available on the sources we track as of 6 October 2026, so these are Univest research scenarios. These are estimates and can change after the Q2 FY27 results.
What is the Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2027?
Ans. The Paradeep Phosphates share price target for 2027 is Rs 144 to Rs 180 in the base case, valued on 12 to 15 times FY28 EPS of Rs 12. The scenario range runs from Rs 72 to Rs 255.
Is Paradeep Phosphates a good buy at Rs 156.76?
Ans. Whether Paradeep Phosphates is a good buy at Rs 156.76 depends on your horizon, risk appetite and how you read the Paradeep Phosphates share price target. Revenue and profit are growing and the multiple is below the industry, but earnings depend on subsidy and input costs. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
What are the key risks to the Paradeep Phosphates share price target?
Ans. The key risks to the Paradeep Phosphates share price target are raw material costs, dap demand reversal, subsidy policy and debt. Phosphoric acid and ammonia prices swing with global markets. A spike would cut margin.
What are the key catalysts for the Paradeep Phosphates share price target?
Ans. The key catalysts for the Paradeep Phosphates share price target are dap volume, backward integration, capacity expansion and new products. DAP sales rose 55 percent on better pricing against NPK. Strong DAP demand lifts revenue.
Where can I track Paradeep Phosphates share price today and Paradeep Phosphates share price target updates?
Ans. You can track the live Paradeep Phosphates share price, results and any change to the Paradeep Phosphates share price target on the Univest Screener and the Univest App. Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App for research from SEBI-registered analysts.
What are Paradeep Phosphates’s 52-week high and low?
Ans. Paradeep Phosphates’s 52-week high is Rs 201.59 and its 52-week low is Rs 99.70, based on weekly NSE data. At Rs 156.76 the stock is 22.2 percent below the high and 57.2 percent above the low. Both levels frame the Paradeep Phosphates share price target.
How to buy Paradeep Phosphates shares?
Ans. Open a demat account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest, search for PARADEEP on the NSE or 543530 on the BSE, and place a limit order near your entry price, using the Paradeep Phosphates share price target range as a guide. Size the position so a fall to Rs 72 is bearable, and check the live price on the Univest Screener first.
