Sensex Prediction for Monday: Index Slides to 76,872 on IT Drag but Futures Hold +121-Point Premium, Outlook for 22 June 2026

Sensex prediction for Monday, 22 June 2026: closed 76,871.95 (-0.35%), dragged by IT. Futures +121 pts. Pivot 76,748, R1 77,026, S1 76,594. VIX 12.77.

The sensex prediction for monday, 22 June 2026, frames a market that took a hawkish Fed hit through its IT heavyweights but held up better than the headline number suggests. The Sensex closed at 76,871.95 on Friday, down 0.35 percent as Infosys and TCS each fell sharply. Yet Sensex futures closed at 76,993, a +121-point premium over spot, the clearest signal that buyers expect a recovery on Monday.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest explains the sensex prediction for monday with the IT drag dynamic, the futures premium signal and the pivot structure for Monday 22 June.

Click Here – Get Free Investment Predictions

How Friday Set Up the Sensex Prediction for Monday

The Sensex opened at 76,852.86, hit a high of 76,901.65 and closed at 76,871.95, a session that spent almost the entire day in a narrow 430-point range. The direction was set by Infosys and TCS, which together carry a significant weighting and fell 6.75 percent and 3.55 percent respectively. Non-IT names like Eternal, Sun Pharma, L&T and ICICI Bank held steady or gained, which is why the Sensex ultimately closed near the middle of its range rather than at the day’s low. That broad resilience anchors the sensex prediction for monday.

Key Levels in the Sensex Prediction for Monday

The Monday pivot for the sensex prediction for monday sits at 76,748. A hold above this level keeps the index constructive. The 77,000 round number sits just above R1 at 77,026 and is the psychological ceiling for the sensex prediction for monday on a positive open. The 76,594 support is the first line to watch on a gap-down.

F&O Signals in the Sensex Prediction for Monday

• Futures premium +121 pts: Sensex futures at 76,993 signals the market is positioning for a Monday recovery toward 77,000 in the sensex prediction for monday
• VIX at 12.77: Week’s lowest reading even after the IT correction, suggesting the market is not pricing a Monday panic
• IT is the swing factor: Infosys and TCS carry more Sensex weight than Nifty weight; their Monday direction is the primary variable
• Non-IT breadth: Strong across pharma, consumption and capital goods on Friday, suggesting the Sensex can recover quickly if IT stabilises

Track the Sensex and All 30 Constituents Live on the Univest Screener

What Will Drive the Sensex Prediction for Monday

• IT stabilisation: Infosys and TCS each fell 3.5-6.75 percent on Friday; stabilisation on Monday triggers a Sensex bounce
• Global markets Friday night: US tech performance after the hawkish Fed is the overnight input Monday watches first
• Reliance direction: The largest Sensex constituent by weight fell 1.40 percent on Friday; its recovery on Monday contributes meaningfully
• 77,000 as the magnet: The round number with futures already above it is the first natural target in the sensex prediction for monday

Sensex Prediction for Monday: Bull and Bear

Bull case: US markets recover Friday night, IT stabilises or bounces at Monday’s open, and the sensex prediction for monday drives the index toward 77,026 and 77,180.

Bear case: US tech extends its fall over the weekend, IT opens with fresh selling, and the sensex prediction for monday sees the index retest 76,594 and potentially 76,316.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track the sensex prediction for monday with live levels and analyst research from Univest.

Conclusion

The sensex prediction for monday, 22 June 2026, is for a recovery-oriented session if IT stabilises. The index closed at 76,871.95 on Friday, dragged by IT but supported by broad market resilience. Futures held a +121-point premium and VIX cooled to 12.77. The sensex prediction for monday pivots at 76,748 with 77,026 as the first resistance and 76,594 as the floor to defend. Univest analysts will refresh the sensex prediction for monday as the weekend cues land. Check back for the next update.

FAQs on the Sensex Prediction for Monday

What is the sensex prediction for monday, 22 June 2026?

Ans. The Sensex closed at 76,871.95 on Friday, down 0.35 percent as IT heavyweights Infosys and TCS dragged it lower. The sensex prediction for monday remains cautiously positive: futures closed with a +121-point premium, a clear positive carry signal. Monday pivot at 76,748, resistance 77,026, support 76,594.

What are the Sensex support and resistance levels for Monday?

Ans. Monday pivot: 76,748. Resistance at 77,026 and 77,180. Support at 76,594 and 76,316. The 77,000 round number is the first psychological resistance and 76,500 is the first key support. Friday’s range was 76,469.72 to 76,901.65.

Why did the Sensex fall more than Nifty on Friday?

Ans. The Sensex has a higher weighting of IT stocks than the Nifty 50. Infosys and TCS together carry more percentage weight in the Sensex, so their sharp Friday falls had a bigger arithmetic impact. The IT overhang means Monday stabilisation in these names is especially important for the Sensex.

What does the Sensex futures premium signal for Monday?

Ans. Sensex futures closed at 76,993, a premium of 121 points over spot. This positive carry reading is the key counter-signal to Friday’s price fall. Futures buyers are pricing in a recovery toward 77,000 on Monday.

What will drive the Sensex on Monday?

Ans. The sensex prediction for monday is driven by three forces: whether Infosys and TCS open higher or lower on Monday, how global markets close Friday night, and whether the IT correction is seen as a buying opportunity after a 6-7 percent single-day fall. If IT stabilises, the sensex prediction for monday quickly recovers toward 77,000 and above.