SBI Q1 FY27 Results Preview: What to Expect

June 18, 2026
Posted by: Kunal Singla
Category: News

SBI Q1 FY27E: NII Rs 42,800 Cr (Motilal). PAT Rs 17,500 Cr. Loan growth 13% YoY. GNPA est. 2.1%. Results expected in Q1 FY27.

The SBI Q1 FY27 results preview from major brokerages including Motilal Oswal, HDFC Securities and Kotak Equities signals a market-watched quarter. Analysts have published their estimates based on company guidance, sector trends and macroeconomic inputs from the HDFC Securities Q4FY26 Quarterly Flipbook and individual brokerage previews.

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Table of Contents

State Bank of India Q1 FY27 Results Preview at a Glance

Metric	Q1 FY26 (Actual)	Q1 FY27 Estimate (Analyst)	YoY Change (Est.)
Net Interest Income – NII (Rs Cr)	36,032	42,800 (Motilal) / 42,200 (HDFC Sec)	+18-19%
NIM (%)	3.22%	3.02-3.08% (consensus)	Slight compression
PAT (Rs Cr)	17,035	17,500 (Motilal) / 17,200 (HDFC Sec)	+1-3%
Loan Growth (YoY %)	15%	13-14% (consensus)	Moderation
GNPA (%)	2.21%	2.05-2.15% (estimate)	Improving

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The SBI Q1 FY27 results preview reflects a bank navigating a complex balance between NIM pressure from rate cuts and sustained volume growth from its massive loan book. Motilal Oswal estimates NII at Rs 42,800 Cr for Q1 FY27, up 18.8% YoY from Rs 36,032 Cr in Q1 FY26, even as NIM is expected to compress slightly to 3.02-3.08% from 3.22% as RBI rate cuts flow through to loan yields faster than deposit costs fall.

HDFC Securities, in its Quarterly Flipbook (Q1 FY27), estimates SBI Q1 FY27 PAT at Rs 17,200 Cr, broadly flat with Q1 FY26’s Rs 17,035 Cr, reflecting the twin offset of volume-driven NII growth versus NIM compression. Emkay Global estimates NII at Rs 41,800 Cr and PAT at Rs 16,800 Cr, projecting a marginally conservative view on NIM recovery pace.

Key Factors Driving SBI Q1 FY27 Performance

1. NII Growth Driven by Volume Despite NIM Pressure

SBI’s total loan book is expected to grow 13-14% YoY in Q1 FY27, compared to approximately 15% in Q1 FY26. While the growth rate moderates slightly, the absolute NII continues to rise strongly because the loan book base has compounded significantly. Motilal Oswal projects the total advances book at approximately Rs 42 lakh Cr by Q1 FY27 end.

2. Asset Quality Improvement and Credit Cost Moderation

SBI’s Gross NPA ratio has been on a consistent declining trajectory. From 2.21% in Q1 FY26, Motilal Oswal estimates GNPA at 2.08% by Q1 FY27. HDFC Securities projects credit cost at 40-45 basis points in Q1 FY27, down from 55 basis points in Q1 FY26, which will help partially offset the NIM compression impact on PAT.

3. Fee Income and Non-Interest Revenue Diversification

SBI’s fee income from cross-selling (insurance, mutual funds, cards) is expected to grow 15-18% YoY in Q1 FY27. HDFC Securities highlights that SBI Life and SBI Cards profitability indirectly boosts SBI’s overall financial performance through dividend income and bancassurance fee streams.

Analyst Estimates for SBI Q1 FY27 Results

Motilal Oswal: NII Rs 42,800 Cr; PAT Rs 17,500 Cr; NIM 3.08%; Loan growth 14%
HDFC Securities (Quarterly Flipbook, Q1 FY27): NII Rs 42,200 Cr; PAT Rs 17,200 Cr; Credit cost 42 bps
Emkay Global: NII Rs 41,800 Cr; PAT Rs 16,800 Cr; NIM 3.02%; GNPA 2.12%

The consensus PAT range for SBI Q1 FY27 is Rs 16,800-17,500 Cr, implying a broadly flat to low single-digit growth over Q1 FY26’s Rs 17,035 Cr. The NIM trajectory is the key swing factor for the final PAT outcome.

Key Risks to SBI Q1 FY27 Performance

1. Faster-than-Expected NIM Compression

If RBI cuts the repo rate more aggressively in Q1 FY27, SBI’s MCLR-linked loans will reprice downward faster than fixed-rate deposits mature. Emkay Global notes that each 10 basis point NIM compression reduces quarterly PAT by approximately Rs 600-700 Cr for SBI.

2. Slippage Risk in MSME and Agriculture Book

While SBI’s large corporate NPA cycle appears to have peaked, MSME and agriculture loan stress remains a monitoring point. HDFC Securities flags that rural agricultural slippage may rise modestly if the kharif crop season (Q1 FY27 coincides with onset of monsoon) disappoints in certain geographies.

3. Government Dividend Outflow Impact

SBI paid a significant dividend in FY26, and any increase in the FY27 dividend payout ratio could modestly pressure the bank’s capital buffer, affecting credit growth appetite in subsequent quarters.

Conclusion

The SBI Q1 FY27 results preview paints a picture of steady but moderate profit delivery, with PAT expected in the Rs 16,800-17,500 Cr range on NII growth of 18-19% YoY. The key swing factor is the NIM trajectory: if NIM holds above 3.05%, PAT could positively surprise consensus. Investors tracking the SBI Q1 FY27 results should focus on NIM print, GNPA movement and management commentary on the FY27 credit growth target during the earnings call.

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Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions on State Bank of India Q1 FY27 Results Preview

When will SBI Q1 FY27 results be announced?

Ans. SBI Q1 FY27 results are expected to be announced during Q1 FY27 results season. The Board of Directors will meet to approve the results approximately a few weeks after the quarter end. The exact date will be disclosed on NSE and BSE.

What PAT is expected from SBI in Q1 FY27?

Ans. SBI Q1 FY27 PAT is estimated at Rs 16,800-17,500 Cr by analysts. Motilal Oswal projects Rs 17,500 Cr, HDFC Securities estimates Rs 17,200 Cr and Emkay Global estimates Rs 16,800 Cr. This is broadly flat to slightly higher than Q1 FY26’s Rs 17,035 Cr.

What NII is expected from SBI in Q1 FY27?

Ans. SBI Q1 FY27 NII is estimated at Rs 41,800-42,800 Cr. Motilal Oswal projects Rs 42,800 Cr, HDFC Securities estimates Rs 42,200 Cr and Emkay Global estimates Rs 41,800 Cr, representing 16-19% YoY growth from Rs 36,032 Cr in Q1 FY26.

What is SBI’s NIM expectation for Q1 FY27?

Ans. SBI Q1 FY27 NIM is expected at 3.02-3.08%, slightly lower than 3.22% in Q1 FY26. The compression reflects RBI rate cuts flowing through to loan yields faster than deposit costs reduce. Motilal Oswal estimates NIM at 3.08%.

What loan growth is expected from SBI in Q1 FY27?

Ans. SBI loan growth in Q1 FY27 is expected at 13-14% YoY, a slight moderation from 15% in Q1 FY26. Motilal Oswal estimates 14% growth, with retail and home loans leading. The total advances book is projected at approximately Rs 42 lakh Cr.

What are the key risks for SBI Q1 FY27 results?

Ans. Key risks for SBI Q1 FY27 include faster-than-expected NIM compression due to RBI rate cuts, MSME and agriculture loan slippage risk and any increase in government dividend outflow pressuring capital adequacy.

Where can I track SBI Q1 FY27 results live?

Ans. SBI Q1 FY27 results can be tracked on NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com). The Univest Screener provides live price data and analyst research on SBIN stock for informed investment decisions.

Author: Kunal Singla

Kunal Singla is the Associate Director - Research at Univest, leading quantitative equity research, intraday trading setups, and derivatives strategy. With 4+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he combines rigorous quantitative methods with classical technical analysis to build high-conviction research frameworks for retail and advisory clients. He holds an MSc from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi — one of India's most selective institutions — and has completed the Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF), a globally recognised programme covering derivatives pricing, risk modelling, machine learning for finance, and advanced portfolio theory. This combination places him in a small group of Indian analysts with both deep academic training in quantitative methods and SEBI-recognised research credentials. Kunal holds seven SEBI-recognised NISM certifications spanning research, derivatives, portfolio management, and securities operations: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-XXI-A (Portfolio Managers), Series-XVI (Commodity Derivatives), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors), and Series-I (Currency Derivatives). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Kunal leads research inputs for Pro Lite, Pro Super, Pro Gold, and Pro Commodity advisory services, alongside publishing intraday stock picks on Univest Blogs.